Hacker News: B56b

New comment by B56b in "After the AI Crash"

B56b — Wed, 29 Jul 2026 19:57:49 +0000

He might be referring to this? https://www.wheresyoured.at/big-tech-2tr/

That figure is $2T in the next 4 years though. $2T/year would be quite silly.

New comment by B56b in "What we call "age verification" is actually mass surveillance"

B56b — Tue, 23 Jun 2026 17:27:34 +0000

yay?

New comment by B56b in "AI is slowing down"

B56b — Mon, 08 Jun 2026 19:09:37 +0000

The problem is that $1500/engineer/month would be a pretty modest amount of demand for labs. OpenAI/Anthropic are basing their $1T valuations on the explosive uncapped growth of unlimited agentic token spending. On so many levels of the industry this growth is now priced in. You don't think so?

New comment by B56b in "The end of responsive images"

B56b — Thu, 23 Apr 2026 18:18:07 +0000

What, why? This is the web, so it has to be a solution that can handle old browser versions. Take away the old version and it's as small as it can be.

New comment by B56b in "Renewables reached nearly 50% of global electricity capacity last year"

B56b — Thu, 02 Apr 2026 20:57:38 +0000

This forum is oddly hesitant to accept good news, a weird feature of online communities.

New comment by B56b in "How the AI Bubble Bursts"

B56b — Mon, 30 Mar 2026 15:24:47 +0000

So just ignoring the link entirely, cool cool cool

New comment by B56b in "How the AI Bubble Bursts"

B56b — Mon, 30 Mar 2026 15:18:34 +0000

Ya, that sounds right to me. Coastal city housing is very supply constrained, part of why it's so expensive, but it is hugely in demand and provides tons of value to many by letting them live near high paying companies. Unless by "overinflated" you mean a constrained supply/demand curve?

New comment by B56b in "I am leaving the AI party after one drink"

B56b — Fri, 27 Mar 2026 17:25:12 +0000

What's wrong with choosing to care about coding manually then?

New comment by B56b in "We are changing our developer productivity experiment design"

B56b — Fri, 06 Mar 2026 16:41:17 +0000

How do you reconcile this with Ed Zitron's reporting that just the AWS bill in 2024/2025 was more than their entire revenue?

https://www.wheresyoured.at/costs/#how-much-did-anthropic-an...

New comment by B56b in "Nvidia and OpenAI abandon unfinished $100B deal in favour of $30B investment"

B56b — Fri, 20 Feb 2026 14:43:13 +0000

The problem with this hype cycle has always been that the hyperscalers are pouring unbelievable amounts of capital into a technology that hasn't proven it can generate the revenues needed to justify that.

Nvidia might have an ok P/E right now, but the question is if the industry can sustain buying over $50B of GPUs every quarter(or that it even needs to).

New comment by B56b in "Nobody knows how the whole system works"

B56b — Mon, 09 Feb 2026 19:21:05 +0000

The task isn't "make something that you could plausibly call a pencil". It's "understand every step of how a modern pencil is produced".

New comment by B56b in "Nobody knows how the whole system works"

B56b — Mon, 09 Feb 2026 19:14:37 +0000

That's the critical difference. You could always find some person who understood a particular piece of a complex puzzle. It's a very new, worrying thing to have pieces that no one understands.

New comment by B56b in "Every country should set 16 as the minimum age for social media accounts"

B56b — Wed, 14 Jan 2026 21:15:51 +0000

I actually do think that Dr. Haidt is a good source for getting a fair understanding of both sides of the issue. If you've read or listened to him you'll know that it's a huge part of his ethos.

Here's his rebuttal to that article: https://www.afterbabel.com/p/phone-based-childhood-cause-epi....

I think you'd struggle to find someone more earnestly trying to get an unbiased understanding of the reality of this topic.

New comment by B56b in "Every country should set 16 as the minimum age for social media accounts"

B56b — Wed, 14 Jan 2026 20:30:45 +0000

Social media being bad for mental health in childhood is one of the most robust theories I've ever seen for these kind of society-wide problems. You can peruse the After Babel Substack for the evidence if you're not convinced, but Jonathan Haidt has consistently done incredible work here.

New comment by B56b in "Opus 4.5 is not the normal AI agent experience that I have had thus far"

B56b — Wed, 07 Jan 2026 18:43:29 +0000

This hits the nail on the head. There's a marked difference between a JSON parser and a real world feature in a product. Real world features are complex because they have opaque dependencies, or ones that are unknown altogether. Creating a good solution requires building a mental model of the actual complex system you're working with, which an LLM can't do. A JSON parser is effectively a book problem with no dependencies.

New comment by B56b in "Anthropic acquires Bun"

B56b — Tue, 02 Dec 2025 19:34:21 +0000

This is why: https://bun.com/blog/behind-the-scenes-of-bun-install

New comment by B56b in "How high are OpenAI's compute costs? Possibly a lot higher than we thought"

B56b — Wed, 12 Nov 2025 22:17:56 +0000

Not exactly, this article is expanding on your linked one.

New comment by B56b in "GPT-5.1: A smarter, more conversational ChatGPT"

B56b — Wed, 12 Nov 2025 20:21:17 +0000

Oh you meant 0% of your usage, lol

New comment by B56b in "How Much OpenAI Spends on Inference and Its Revenue Share with Microsoft"

B56b — Wed, 12 Nov 2025 19:35:32 +0000

Explains why Sam was so panicked when asked about revenues recently.

New comment by B56b in "I analyzed 180M jobs to see what jobs AI is replacing today"

B56b — Mon, 03 Nov 2025 15:27:13 +0000

Why would that be?