It seems that they themselves are discovering the capabilities of models purely empirically by training them, and just have a few months head start before they release the model and everyone else can witness those same capabilities.

What do they have that make their multi-years (if not multi-decades) predictions more insightful than any other observer?

be me

click link

typical ai-designed website

Because contrarily to the author's assumption, all labs, Western or not, have sufficient skills to discover the optimizations anyway, and publishing or not is not actually that important?

If there was any sort of coarse insight that "they're trying to solve it this way", then both those things can be true:

- The massive amount of compute from OpenAI re-discovering Buckmaster's work solely from the coarse insight (and solving the rest as well).

- OpenAI still acknowledging they basically scooped the coarse insight using compute, and they're willing to credit Buckmaster.

Buckmaster says "Concretely, what Levent and I did was to take the Cordoba and Martinez-Zoroa program, which achieved blowup results with rough forcing, and, with a great deal of help from LLMs, push it to smooth forcing and to the incompressible Euler equations".

Could that simply be the prompt they used at OpenAI? How "stolen" would the proof be in that case?

All models in the leaderboard probably have had access to the original source code in their training data.

If the only argument for a piece of tech in comparison to another one is "future-proofing", that's pretty much acknowledging the other one is simpler to setup and maintain.

Which is basically phishing:

> The meeting link itself directed to a spoofed Zoom meeting that was hosted on the threat actor's infrastructure, zoom[.]uswe05[.]us.

> Once in the "meeting," the fake video call facilitated a ruse that gave the impression to the end user that they were experiencing audio issues.

> The recovered web page provided two sets of commands to be run for "troubleshooting": one for macOS systems, and one for Windows systems. Embedded within the string of commands was a single command that initiated the infection chain.