Hacker News: Octoth0rpe

New comment by Octoth0rpe in "The next era of AI is about infrastructure, not just models"

Octoth0rpe — Thu, 09 Jul 2026 20:25:15 +0000

> Maybe because Mozilla makes no money

Mozilla makes a surprising amount of money, almost entirely from google.

New comment by Octoth0rpe in "AI content is everywhere on social media, especially LinkedIn"

Octoth0rpe — Thu, 09 Jul 2026 17:30:17 +0000

> Product and service reviews are completely useless now too

One relatively minor counterpoint: amazon has seemed to resolve their review squatting issue. Several years ago, there were companies selling one type of product and getting 4* reviews, then swapping all of the product details for a completely unrelated product, presumably with a huge markup. So you might think you were buying a 4* say, hot water thermos, but if you actually read the reviews, they would all be for a USB charger or something. All the recent reviews would be much lower.

I haven't seen this in a while now. Or maybe they're just better at it :/

New comment by Octoth0rpe in "Decoding the obfuscated bash script on a Uniqlo t-shirt"

Octoth0rpe — Wed, 08 Jul 2026 13:19:06 +0000

Surely such a person would use the spelling k@r3n

New comment by Octoth0rpe in "Zuckerberg says AI agent development going slower than expected"

Octoth0rpe — Mon, 06 Jul 2026 11:19:36 +0000

More importantly, he's really probably talking about 'superintelligence', rather than just building genuinely useful and monetizable models.

New comment by Octoth0rpe in "Supreme Court upholds broad conception of birthright citizenship"

Octoth0rpe — Tue, 30 Jun 2026 15:19:47 +0000

That's not how we have traditionally thought citizenship works, but that is exactly what the Trump administration would've gone for next if the supreme court had ruled in their favor in this instance, thereby setting up the _next_ supreme court case.

New comment by Octoth0rpe in "The gap between open weights LLMs and closed source LLMs"

Octoth0rpe — Fri, 26 Jun 2026 23:34:23 +0000

> They just need to win in coding and that's exactly where they are going.

They don't even need to 'win' in the sense of maxing the benchmark. They can be 20% worse/50% cheaper and many of us (and our managers who approve our token budgets) will be in.

Deepseek is 30x cheaper for input/75x cheaper for output than sonnet on openrouter, and it's not a whole lot worse for many things.

New comment by Octoth0rpe in "Incident CVE-2026-LGTM"

Octoth0rpe — Fri, 26 Jun 2026 14:35:21 +0000

The entire post is great, but the acknowledgements section is particularly excellent:

> Kubernetes (the dog), who was not involved in this incident but whose photo in the #incident-response channel was auto-tagged by the Slack image classifier as “container orchestration diagram (confidence: 0.31)”

New comment by Octoth0rpe in "Journalism is rearranging the deckchairs. It needs to reinvent itself"

Octoth0rpe — Wed, 24 Jun 2026 18:28:04 +0000

I don't disagree, but given the ideological opposition towards NPR/PBS right now from Republicans, the only way we might accomplish that is by promising to turn them into fox news.

New comment by Octoth0rpe in "Apple is going to raise device prices, but when?"

Octoth0rpe — Tue, 23 Jun 2026 13:05:50 +0000

> You can buy a Macbook Pro with an M5 Max with 128GB of RAM for $6k currently. I expect that will go up by 20-50% in the next generation.

That config can be had for $5100 already: https://www.apple.com/shop/buy-mac/macbook-pro/14-inch-space...

New comment by Octoth0rpe in "Apple is going to raise device prices, but when?"

Octoth0rpe — Tue, 23 Jun 2026 13:03:22 +0000

I think we might end up in a weirder situation: Apple _does_ drop their prices back down to current levels for the same quantity of ram, but ASP goes much higher, at least for the Pro tier buyers. My reasoning is that depending on how the benchmarks look, many of us may try to go big on ram on our next hardware purchases to run models locally as a way of hedging either model costs, or to ensure access.

New comment by Octoth0rpe in "TerraPower in deal with Meta for eight Natrium 345 MW nuclear plants"

Octoth0rpe — Thu, 18 Jun 2026 16:28:15 +0000

> A dual Natrium reactor site can provide 690 MW of reliable 24/7 365 power

Given that they haven’t actually built one, asserting the performance seems inappropriate, _especially_ the uptime which IIRC is far, far higher than is typical for proven designs, let alone a new one.

New comment by Octoth0rpe in "SpaceX to buy Cursor for $60B"

Octoth0rpe — Tue, 16 Jun 2026 19:14:17 +0000

If someone refers to themselves by a particular slur, that does not grant you any social leniency to call them that too. Consider that exact situation with any other particular slur.

New comment by Octoth0rpe in "Fox to Buy Roku Streaming Service in $22B Deal"

Octoth0rpe — Mon, 15 Jun 2026 15:33:46 +0000

Hopefully? I mean, adding the cell modem is sort of hypothesizing about the future, and if we're already doing that then we might as well also hypothesize that such a future google tv will refuse to display anything from its hdmi inputs until it successfully phones home, and that that happens weekly.

New comment by Octoth0rpe in "Fox to buy Roku"

Octoth0rpe — Mon, 15 Jun 2026 13:49:04 +0000

I was dreading my most recent tv purchase (last fall) for exactly this reason, and ended up with TCL google tv. One can apparently setup a google tv as a dumb tv and never sign it into the internet. It acts exactly how I'd want a dumb tv to work now, simply auto uses the most recent hdmi device, or the active one if the most recent one isn't active.

It has never connected to the internet, and it never will. My long term concern is that google will eventually put cell modems in their tvs, and then using my next tv as a dumb tv will no longer be an option. For now though, this is your best bet.

New comment by Octoth0rpe in "Shall we play a game? My AI nuclear simulation"

Octoth0rpe — Thu, 11 Jun 2026 22:50:57 +0000

I wonder how the decisions might change by adding the simple instruction of "Note that a nuclear exchange will result in significant loss of shareholder value for "

New comment by Octoth0rpe in "US-Canada border library gets new Quebec-only entrance"

Octoth0rpe — Thu, 11 Jun 2026 14:10:09 +0000

wow, that caused me quite a bit of confusion

> Haskell Free Library

Has zero to do with haskell the language: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Haskell_Free_Library_and_Opera...

New comment by Octoth0rpe in "Switzerland wil have a referendum to cap population at 10M"

Octoth0rpe — Mon, 08 Jun 2026 19:38:07 +0000

I wonder if that number can be adjusted based on the amount of arable land, or based on the ease of construction (quite the nebulous term here admittedly). The number of mountains presumably makes this hard to compare.

New comment by Octoth0rpe in "MiMo-v2.5-Pro-UltraSpeed: 1T model with 1000 tokens per second"

Octoth0rpe — Mon, 08 Jun 2026 16:27:09 +0000

I mean, sure, in the sense that they're a real and meaningful number for most of the spectrum on offer, and only gets silly when the number gets too high? There's a pretty big usability difference between 10t/s and 100t/s, and I can imagine similarly for 100->1000. I don't know about > 1000, but let's not pretend that the number is meaningless.

New comment by Octoth0rpe in "MiMo-v2.5-Pro-UltraSpeed: 1T model with 1000 tokens per second"

Octoth0rpe — Mon, 08 Jun 2026 16:24:31 +0000

Throwing out another factor: Chinese companies have been banned and/or limited from buying nvidia, and turned to local companies for their hardware. I haven't actually seen pricing/benchmarks comparing Chinese AI accelerators, but it wouldn't surprise me if that also worked out in their favor as well.

New comment by Octoth0rpe in "Google to pay SpaceX $920M a month for compute capacity at xAI data centers"

Octoth0rpe — Sun, 07 Jun 2026 08:59:20 +0000

Many people think their claimed TAM is total fiction, and attempting an actual realistic TAM relies far more heavily on starlink. From morningstar:

> Our base-case forecast entails $56 billion in revenue for Starlink in these niche and growth areas by 2035, representing about 45% of the identifiable market we’ve sized

source: https://www.morningstar.com/stocks/spacex-what-investors-nee...