In fact, Trump had authorised more than Obama did. Trump had just stopped the reporting of the drone strikes.

Is that about right?

None are futures he wants. I wonder what the long term vision is? If the Palestinians have a hard enough time they'll just migrate away faster than they have children?

The most likely best future is when Western support is predicated on making decent concessions to the Palestinians. I'm not in the position to say what they are at the moment but more autonomy for the Palestinian state proposed in Oslo would be a good start.

The difference between the Irish and the Palestinians is the Irish took a real compromise and peace deal. They didn't demand the instant return of Northern Ireland and refuse all compromise to that issue, committing multiple generations to fruitless violence and high death rates.

Everyone has factors influencing their decisions but everyone still has their own agency and responsibility.

Because the preWW2 era was a very different time, the Ottoman Empire that previously held the region lost WW1, disintegrated, and the victors were entitled to manage the breakup and created many states.

They thought it would be a good idea for the Jews to have a go at making a state, felt that they needed one to pursue self-determination considering their historical treatment, and had some very wishful ideas about how well the existing population would react or how partition would go.

The British didn't evict Arabs to move Jews in. (Tenant farmer evictions and the associated legal land purchases aside.)

The issues arise when there isn't a sufficient public system taking the bulk of the demand, giving people options and a floor to the quality and utility of the private system.

Reform is preferable to revolution which is preferable to oppression.

He can't take a worse deal than the Obama deal he spent years criticizing then personally destroyed, and the Iranians don't seem very inclined to give him anything better.

I also seriously doubt the ability of the Trump admin to co-ordinate the required reforms and investments in nuclear energy.

Renewables, batteries and gas are probably going to be the only viable option.

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/iran-oil-shock-mark-zandi-aro...

"Based on the simulations of our global macroeconomic model, oil prices would only need to average close to $125 per barrel in the second quarter of this year for a recession to ensue soon thereafter, all else equal. And it is not difficult to envisage oil prices increasing to $125 per barrel. It only requires that the conflict and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz last a few weeks longer, say through July 4, or even much sooner, if the combatants increasingly target the region's energy-producing infrastructure."