Hacker News: SocialGradientshttps://news.ycombinator.com/user?id=SocialGradientsHacker News RSShttps://hnrss.org/hnrss v2.1.1Sat, 05 Sep 2026 06:42:21 +0000<![CDATA[New comment by SocialGradients in "Discovery of a new OpenAI agent message board"]]>Agreed. Assuming the ~6 month gap stays, by end of year people will be able to train and control hacker-genius swarms that even labs with much stronger safety incentives are unable to keep in check

]]>Fri, 04 Sep 2026 18:39:33 +0000https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49568472SocialGradientshttps://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49568472https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49568472<![CDATA[New comment by SocialGradients in "Austin’s surge of new housing construction drove down rents"]]>Not to mention, Austin could just make it cheaper to build to offset lower sell prices. Gruber et al estimate permits are 50% of an LA home's price. Fix permitting and rent goes down 50% by your assumptions that developers build until margins are 0.

Assume austin is only half as bad as LA, a 25% rent decrease would be incredible

Gruber's paper: https://evansoltas.com/papers/Permitting_SoltasGruber2026.pd...

]]>Thu, 19 Mar 2026 04:03:04 +0000https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47434796SocialGradientshttps://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47434796https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47434796<![CDATA[New comment by SocialGradients in "Austin’s surge of new housing construction drove down rents"]]>This is an empirical claim. It looks like new monthly permits are down from ~4k a month in 2021-2022 to ~3k a month. They're still up significantly from before 2020. The building boom has slowed but it's still elevated. Not particularly close to zeroing out.

The data is here: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/AUST448BPPRIVSA.

]]>Thu, 19 Mar 2026 03:58:46 +0000https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47434762SocialGradientshttps://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47434762https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47434762