Web front-end and backend developer as a career dies, probably desktop/mobile application development too. However, some of the more specialized software developer roles are likely to survive; none of the people on the Linux kernel team have anything to worry about and the same goes for the GCC folks.

A system of heavily subsidized post-secondary vocational schools, like what Germany has, seems like a better path.

There was no "switch"; the transition took literally decades. Assembler and high level languages co-existed in the mainstream all the way until the 1990s because it was well understood that there was a trade off getting the best performance using assembler (e.g. DOOM's renderer in 1993) and ease of development and portability (something that really mattered when there were a dozen different CPU architectures around) using high level languages.

There is no need to get past the argument because it doesn't exist. Nobody said that.

"He's dead, Jim" and the remains are completely desiccated.

There's a lot of FUD today about LLM's being sapient because the ignorant public mistakes their complex token prediction skills for intelligence. But it's just embarrassing to see people making that mistake on a forum ostensibly filled with hackers.

Hopefully the HN administrators will get around to noticing this domain eventually as well and banning it.

It isn't even a good job of cherry picking: we never got mainstream supersonic passenger aircraft after the Concorde because aerospace technology hasn't advanced far enough to make it economically viable and the decrease in progress and massively increasing costs in semiconductors for cutting edge processes is very well known.

LLM access is a paid service. HN concerns itself with inequality constantly and it's not inconceivable that some individuals get ahead because they can afford to pay for more tokens and better models than those who are poorer.