I recently built a calculator to try to quantify the gains an org could expect as they become more "AI-native." I tried to account for a bunch of things including env, which I call "AI roadway," but I'm definitely missing codebase readiness (thank you, author), and also bottleneck analysis. Even without those considerations, though, gains are usually modest. It's hard to get to 2x.

Tool is here if useful: https://timvasil.com/ai-native

The article resonated with me personally, though. I taught a continuing ed course on creating personal websites (with AOLpress!) in the late 90s and had my own until giving it up in 2016 or so, but coincidentally decided to try again this month.