Hacker News: _aavaa_

New comment by _aavaa_ in "Italian parliament votes for return to nuclear energy"

_aavaa_ — Wed, 23 Sep 2026 19:08:05 +0000

Are we prepared to play kingmaker and pick one SMR design to standardize on so that those can ride their theoretical learning curve (assuming we get enough buyers)? Because politically that doesn't seem likely, and I think we'll end up with the units that do get contracted to be spread across multiple firms, none of which make it out of the expensive first few units.

> Even Flameville 3 in France was significantly cheaper than Hinkley point C

Per wikipedia: initial cost estimate €3.3 billion, cost in 2020 (6 years before it was done) €19.1 billion, so 5.8x the budget. Supposed to enter operation in 2012, entered in 2026 "only" 14 years late.

These are terrible results.

That EPR2 series are "expected" to cost less says absolutely nothing. Flameville 3 was expected to cost 83% less too, and I except that if they swindle people for the money to build it we'll see it'll be just as much of an overrun.

The nuclear industry seem absolutely incapable of sticking to a timeline or budget. And any one of these failures should have been disqualifying. But they get to do it over and over again.

New comment by _aavaa_ in "Italian parliament votes for return to nuclear energy"

_aavaa_ — Wed, 23 Sep 2026 18:23:07 +0000

It will reliably cost only 10x, and it theory it will roll of a production line.

The AP1000 reactors at Vogtle were explicitly marked for the modular construction as a key selling feature, which would reduce time and cost. It came out 20B over budget and 7 years late.

New comment by _aavaa_ in "Trump says US is officially renaming AI 'super intelligence'"

_aavaa_ — Tue, 22 Sep 2026 19:52:35 +0000

After the two previous America themed rebrands, I'm really surprised it's not American Intelligence.

New comment by _aavaa_ in "There's a high chance of devices being sold with GrapheneOS preinstalled in 2027"

_aavaa_ — Tue, 22 Sep 2026 17:35:28 +0000

That’s not saying much. The selling point of pixels has always been the software.

New comment by _aavaa_ in "The Claude Delusion"

_aavaa_ — Mon, 21 Sep 2026 18:46:41 +0000

> Article says that there's no human intention or design directing the output we get

I mean that’s objectively wrong for any model using RLHF.

New comment by _aavaa_ in "How GLM built its own inference infrastructure"

_aavaa_ — Thu, 17 Sep 2026 13:06:04 +0000

If you are using their coding plan for coding, then yes you can easily hit such cache rates, with a good harness.

I’m getting 97%.

New comment by _aavaa_ in "How GLM built its own inference infrastructure"

_aavaa_ — Thu, 17 Sep 2026 12:26:51 +0000

I'm not defending their actions, but we should be clear about where the law currently stands: Anthropic was found to infringe because of the torrenting, not because of the training.

New comment by _aavaa_ in "How GLM built its own inference infrastructure"

_aavaa_ — Thu, 17 Sep 2026 12:25:33 +0000

Their plans are still worth it if you use their models. You can see how many tokens you can except to get based on plan here: https://docs.z.ai/devpack/overview#estimated-token-allowance

The max plan will provide ~1,100 USD of GLM-5.3 or ~260 USD of GLM-5.3-flash per month for 168 USD. I can personally attest to these numbers through omp (~97% cache hit rate).

Unless you are able to highly parallelize (your work, you won't be able to hit your hourly or weekly quota using the flash model simply because it's so slow.

They give you ~3x more flash tokens, which maybe comes out to ~2x more actual work after accounting for the extra thinking it does to achieve the same result. The mental model, for not getting angry, is 5.3 is fast mode by default, and you can disable fast mode for 2x the work output at 1/3-1/10th the speed.

They're serving me 5.3 at ~40 tok/s and 5.3-flash at 30 tok/s (according to omp).

New comment by _aavaa_ in "EU chief opens door for Canada to become 'associate member'"

_aavaa_ — Wed, 16 Sep 2026 11:58:12 +0000

Would that means Canadians would be protected by the GDPR and DMA?

New comment by _aavaa_ in "Steam Frame: Valve's standalone SteamOS VR headset ($1,059)"

_aavaa_ — Tue, 15 Sep 2026 17:57:46 +0000

I think cellphones are in fact PCs. Thinking of them as some other category is part of how Apple justifies it’s behaviour with regards to preventing you from installing whatever software you want on your own device; an action that would never fly on macs, but somehow and iPhone and an iPad don’t cause because they’re not PCs, they’re smartphone and tablets.

The only real difference between and iPad and a MacBook at this point is formfactor. There is no reason for not treating them both like the computers they are.

New comment by _aavaa_ in "Steam Frame: Valve's standalone SteamOS VR headset ($1,059)"

_aavaa_ — Mon, 14 Sep 2026 18:15:16 +0000

Why is it stretching the definition? If compute sticks running windows are PCs why isn’t this?

New comment by _aavaa_ in "Global Shortage Has Led to Motor Oil Rationing at Costco"

_aavaa_ — Sun, 13 Sep 2026 20:07:41 +0000

The biggest one that needs changing would be the differential.

New comment by _aavaa_ in "DeepSeek v4.1 Flash"

_aavaa_ — Thu, 10 Sep 2026 18:24:16 +0000

What’s better about it the say oh-my-pi?

New comment by _aavaa_ in "DeepSeek launching v4.1 flash cheaper and more capable than v4 pro"

_aavaa_ — Wed, 09 Sep 2026 14:14:50 +0000

Yes, and? This is their current off-peak pricing for their flash model [0]: $0.007 cache, $0.22 input, $0.66.

0.007 -> 0.003

0.22 -> 0.15

0.66 -> 0.60

Each one is now cheaper.

[0]: https://api-docs.deepseek.com/quick_start/pricing/

New comment by _aavaa_ in "Formalizing Fermat's Last Theorem"

_aavaa_ — Wed, 09 Sep 2026 14:00:59 +0000

I don't see them turning people back from buying tokens through the API. Until then, I don't see why we should follow this argument.

New comment by _aavaa_ in "DeepSeek launching v4.1 flash cheaper and more capable than v4 pro"

_aavaa_ — Wed, 09 Sep 2026 13:59:08 +0000

They might need to step up their product offerings and offer cheaper.

New comment by _aavaa_ in "DeepSeek launching v4.1 flash cheaper and more capable than v4 pro"

_aavaa_ — Wed, 09 Sep 2026 13:01:17 +0000

What are you talking about? Current flash prices are 0.66 for output, this is dropping it to 0.60.

New comment by _aavaa_ in "Chinese AI Companies Conducting Distillation Campaigns Against U.S. AI Companies [pdf]"

_aavaa_ — Wed, 09 Sep 2026 02:53:51 +0000

They’re trying to kidnap what we have rightfully stolen.

New comment by _aavaa_ in "Formalizing Fermat's Last Theorem"

_aavaa_ — Fri, 04 Sep 2026 20:42:43 +0000

Whether on net they turn a profit as company overall is neither here nor there.. My point is that they are selling API tokens at a profit (or if being pedantic, then at a price higher than the cost to serve them ignoring research costs). And that that price is got a healthy margin which they don't charge themselves.

New comment by _aavaa_ in "Formalizing Fermat's Last Theorem"

_aavaa_ — Fri, 04 Sep 2026 20:02:37 +0000

Unlikely, api pricing includes a healthy profit margin (as near as we can tell from the outside) which they wouldn’t charge themselves.