But Zitron isn't just blogging about how we're in a bubble. The assertions he makes are not minutiae, he basically continuously says that all the big SW firms are walking corpses. He's not having a rational conversation about the long term prospects for companies who invest in AI. There is a population of people who (rightfully) hate Google et al and want them to fail, and he just stokes their anger and frustration.

He doesn't add anything substantial, and (as the article indicates), even when he brings economic figures into the conversation, he's frequently wrong or misrepresents them.

It's great, but I think being dependent on all that stuff can make you soft. I still do some of my best work from my laptop in the garden, coffee shops, the library, etc.

To each their own.

But do you think that once that has leveled out a bit, the bandwidth/market bottleneck you referenced will be identified as the new bottleneck[0]? Like, new businesses will launch, or existing companies will identify new growth areas that they did not have the capacity to move into.

I don't know how to respond to your second paragraph. Looking in that direction is a bit too overwhelming.

[0] I think this was always the problem, not developer productivity

I dunno, I guess I just don't like him.

This logic is fundamentally flawed. Pointing this out to people (often in strong language) makes them defensive. This creates the perfect combination to get people to vote against their best interests.

It's not about "being progressive" or "elite". It's about playing to the fears of people who are already fearful.

I saw a tweet where some Zoomer was roasting an "Elder Millenial" for switching devices from a mobile phone to a desktop when making a big purchase (airline tickets? I forget).

I didn't feel like wading into that argument (what's the point? like spitting in a campfire), but... yeah.

Some folks say that we are regressing wrt technological proficiency, but it's really just that more people use technology than they used to. Regression to the mean, maybe? Is that the right expression?

It's quite possible that the lasting effects are more dramatic, as this plays out over time and we move increasingly towards casual dress.

I think part of the problem of this talk is that it introduces the fact that older people/people with disabilities are judged on their appearances instead of their capabilities (which, with respect, you have just demonstrated). Then the talk sortof goes off into a "how to age gracefully" direction and abandons that original line of thinking (disclaimer, I only watched the first 30 minutes so far).

I definitely would be interested in addressing the first issue because, as they say, everyone becomes a old and/or disabled (unless like Tom Petty, you're dead).

"Explain it like I'm a lowly web dev"

Or I'll go to great pains to be explicit about what I want (no code snippets unless I ask for them specifically, responses hundreds of lines long with dozens of steps it wants me to take), and for a little while it does that, and then boom, back to barfing out code snippets.

People talk about this tool as some kind of miracle worker and to me while it is helpful it is also a source of major frustration for me, because it cannot do these most basic things. When I hear about people talking about how amazing LLMs are, I'm extremely confused. What am I doing wrong? I really would like to know.

I dislike arguments made in this vein, it's sortof a way to intellectually dismiss someone's point without addressing it.

I share the grandparent poster's concern. Parasocial relationships feed us in a certain way, but do not nourish.

Don't get me wrong; I'd rather have OnlyFans than pimps. But that's not the point.

I think it's because they look so fucking cool.

We moved during COVID from one of those cities where "a park is a giant empty field of grass". Major life changer.