<rss version="2.0" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"><channel><title>Hacker News: aorloff</title><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/user?id=aorloff</link><description>Hacker News RSS</description><docs>https://hnrss.org/</docs><generator>hnrss v2.1.1</generator><lastBuildDate>Sun, 08 Nov 2026 20:34:26 +0000</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="https://hnrss.org/user?id=aorloff" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"></atom:link><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by aorloff in "OpenAI raises $11B at a $1.25T valuation"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>> Deepseek could blow both out of the water unexpectedly<p>This is tantamount to saying that the value proposition is unknown, if a supposed trillion dollar company could get upended overnight by a startup<p>Where's the moat, the unassailable first mover advantage, the enterprise lock intengrations that mean nobody could realistically move you out of the way even if they had slightly better tech ?  If none of these exist, investors should be scared.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sun, 08 Nov 2026 18:06:54 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50415565</link><dc:creator>aorloff</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50415565</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50415565</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by aorloff in "Mathematics has changed. Let's act like it"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Unfortunately, I cannot think of a single politician right now who is a thought leader on regulating technology, which is exactly the kind of person we should be looking for.  People who understand that we don't need every website to give us an annoying popup saying that they are using tracking cookies but we do need the option to opt out of AI features for basic services.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sun, 01 Nov 2026 23:01:02 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50330799</link><dc:creator>aorloff</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50330799</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50330799</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by aorloff in "Woman charged with computer fraud due to scam CashApp account being in her name"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>I was in a jury pool for a case where the DA was attempting to prosecute petty vandalism to pressure a young adult over a minor crime ($500 worth of graffiti) because they wanted cooperation on another larger crime.<p>It wasn't going anywhere.  When I finally got called up to voir dir I explained that I thought the real crime was sequestering 300 people for a day over $500.  I suggested we collect $2 from each person in the jury pool (far less than we paid for parking that day) and cover the alleged damages and not only be done for the day, but have achieved some real measure of justice.<p>Lets just say the judge didn't agree and I got let out of voir dir.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Thu, 22 Oct 2026 20:29:26 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50200585</link><dc:creator>aorloff</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50200585</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50200585</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by aorloff in "Things to know when you get cancer – 2026 Edition"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Yes and in fact, this is where the future of healthcare really should start.<p>If we healthcare customers realized that our data is really the future of medicine, and we had a way to give each individual their own records (like some encrypted block chain or something) that they can hand out access to their healthcare professionals to (instead of the other way round), we could get a lot further in detection diagnosis and treatment</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Wed, 14 Oct 2026 22:29:02 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50096379</link><dc:creator>aorloff</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50096379</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50096379</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by aorloff in "The gap in shared understanding of LLM capability is widening"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>>  if we’re able to create a competent humanoid robot<p>If we have ham, we'll have ham and eggs, if we have eggs.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Mon, 12 Oct 2026 04:50:19 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50051506</link><dc:creator>aorloff</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50051506</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50051506</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by aorloff in "The gap in shared understanding of LLM capability is widening"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>> And I know at least 1 startup, which only hired a dev after having 20+ B2B customers. They sure do not go around advertising themself as vibe coded.<p>Let me tell you something, I don't know jack about this new world.<p>But I do know about the old world.  And in that old world, when you had 20 customers that actually needed your product for their business, your team of 5 people who built YOUR product are eagerly trying to talk to each one of them to figure out why your product works for them, how they found you, what they need now and in the future from your product.  They reached out, took people to lunch, they went to meetups and hackathons and boring ass sales pitches to make connections.<p>Tell me about how all THAT stuff happens when your core dev team is agents in the cloud ?</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Mon, 12 Oct 2026 04:36:42 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50051441</link><dc:creator>aorloff</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50051441</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50051441</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by aorloff in "The gap in shared understanding of LLM capability is widening"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>You could say the same about Amazon</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Mon, 12 Oct 2026 02:32:42 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50050630</link><dc:creator>aorloff</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50050630</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50050630</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by aorloff in "The gap in shared understanding of LLM capability is widening"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>That's what I'm saying.<p>Not only from the big companies.  Where is the explosion of disruption ?</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sun, 11 Oct 2026 23:19:48 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50049095</link><dc:creator>aorloff</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50049095</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50049095</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by aorloff in "I would like the value of my home to rise, while my property taxes fall"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Land-value taxation is an idea that only works because we restrict building homes.  If we said, look starting tomorrow anyone who wants a permit to build housing can get it in 30 days and if the local control won't permit it we have a state-wide (I live in CA) office that will review your building permit (and zoning), issue you a building permit, and do the inspections, specifically for housing, there wouldn't be a housing shortage in 15 years.<p>Basically land-value scarcity is not because we lack the homebuilding capacity, its because we severely restrict building in places that have high demand</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sun, 11 Oct 2026 00:16:07 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50038433</link><dc:creator>aorloff</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50038433</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50038433</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by aorloff in "High Diesel Prices Bankrupted 16 Trucking Companies in Just 30 Days"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>> Honestly I'm not sure why we started this war.<p>If you watched the film City of God, there's a voice over contemplating murder as the crew robs banks : the first time, the rule is the exception... the second time, he learned there's an exception to every rule... the third time, the exception is the rule.<p>The United States has gone to war so many times without (or with a faulty) casus belli that it no longer needed one, that's why "we" started this war.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Tue, 06 Oct 2026 03:21:04 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49973770</link><dc:creator>aorloff</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49973770</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49973770</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by aorloff in "The top secret URSALA, RAQUEL, and FARRAH satellites (2025)"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Cell triangulation is practically consumer grade technology now<p>For a while just before smartphones, at least 15 years ago now, carriers were experimenting with APIs that allow opted-in dumbphones to be triangulated (via cell  tower) and tracked via API.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Thu, 01 Oct 2026 04:23:10 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49917712</link><dc:creator>aorloff</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49917712</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49917712</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by aorloff in "Burning Man death rates – A short lesson in statistics"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>I recall laughing with a friend as we realized the railing on the second story art car we were on was attached by staple and hot glue, but back when I went we assumed things unsafe</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Wed, 30 Sep 2026 22:59:19 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49915576</link><dc:creator>aorloff</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49915576</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49915576</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by aorloff in "Burning Man death rates – A short lesson in statistics"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>You wouldn't need to look much further than the evolution of the BRC DMV<p>My friends who went in the late 90s recounted shooting at propane tanks from moving vehicles and having to camp inside of a ring of parked cars to protect your camp (from vehicular traffic)<p>After 2000 you had to show some decent design (not just a golf cart with dingleberries) and that was about it, they passed our moon car and shark van without much question, and the shark van was a giant sharp thing without lights.<p>Others will have to fill in the regs now, I understand things have gotten progressively more rigorous.<p>My understanding is that anything built on the playa, including the art (eg. temple of gravity) has an engineer's stamp just like would in Reno.  Or just a bit more dusty.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Wed, 30 Sep 2026 22:48:24 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49915478</link><dc:creator>aorloff</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49915478</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49915478</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by aorloff in "The Hierarchy of Money"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Try reading Debt : the first 5000 years<p>Money is about trust, not about the problems of bartering</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Mon, 21 Sep 2026 00:50:43 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49781746</link><dc:creator>aorloff</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49781746</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49781746</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by aorloff in "Everyone should slow down AI development except for me"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>> Unless you ignore realities.<p>Tell me about making capital investments while interest rates are rising but revenue growth is slowing, if you want to really talk dirty.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Tue, 15 Sep 2026 21:49:14 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49719336</link><dc:creator>aorloff</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49719336</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49719336</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by aorloff in "Everyone should slow down AI development except for me"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>The very best outcomes involve us intentionally and collectively turning our attention away from this technology.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sun, 13 Sep 2026 03:55:17 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49679865</link><dc:creator>aorloff</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49679865</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49679865</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by aorloff in "I spent $220 on Google app ads and 60% of the installs were robots"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Yes and no.  ROI tracking is not hard if you want to run 1 campaign on Google and nothing else.<p>ROI tracking is a whole subspecialty of adtech if you want to parse out one medium or campaign's spend from all the other spend have running -- imagine you spend $10m / month on media, you have ROI and you have spend across platforms and nobody except you is incentivized to figure out what ad spend should be credited for which response.  That's real ROI tracking and it is quite hard</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sat, 12 Sep 2026 15:26:12 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49673295</link><dc:creator>aorloff</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49673295</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49673295</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by aorloff in "I spent $220 on Google app ads and 60% of the installs were robots"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Would the casinos benefit from a careful presentation of the mathematical odds of all the games and how to best position your wagers ?<p>Or would they benefit by seeming like a fantastic place to wine, dine, splurge on things you can spend money on, and also make a few wagers on fun betting games while you are at it ?<p>The advertising market is a place that used to be dominated by the big advertisers meeting with the big networks (upfronts), but now is dominated by large platforms that only marginally care about the biggest users because the tail is so long</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sat, 12 Sep 2026 15:22:16 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49673245</link><dc:creator>aorloff</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49673245</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49673245</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by aorloff in "I spent $220 on Google app ads and 60% of the installs were robots"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>I think Google's business model in large part is having a super complicated ad console that very few, if anyone, actually knows how to most efficiently operate.<p>So what happens is that the savvy media teams figure out what works through meticulous trial and error, and constantly monitor Googles weird changes to the levers you are given to operate the "console."</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sat, 12 Sep 2026 04:22:55 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49668798</link><dc:creator>aorloff</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49668798</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49668798</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by aorloff in "Algorithmic rent-pricing litigation expands under new state and local laws"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>The primary argument against Rent Control is that it leaves tenants worse off.<p>Look at the places without Rent Control that have adopted a pro-housing development stance - rents are declining !<p>But, that doesn't keep a large staff of people working for the rent board at the expense of the local housing economy</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Wed, 02 Sep 2026 01:09:47 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49530510</link><dc:creator>aorloff</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49530510</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49530510</guid></item></channel></rss>