How can you tell if your prompt process works? I feel like the outputs from SDLC process are so much more high level than could be done with evals, but I am no eval expert.

How would you benchmark this?

Ever get an email or handout with a massive schedule - in text, image or pdf - and you have to hand re-enter dozens of events? I built ChatMyCal to fix this.

Copy/paste the email, or take a pic and it will perfectly extract the schedule and publish it as a subscribe-able calendar. Then “transfer” it to the group admin and save everyone else from the same thing.

On the inside, it’s basically Cursor for calendars. So you can use AI to batch edit things, decorate with coordinated icons, add rules to apply to all events, etc. It can also develop full schedules like “make a monthly book club for zombie books” or plan a weekend foodie trip to Miami. Not sure all the best uses yet!

My EV gets only 230mi range at max, and I only charge to 85% which is like 190mi. But I do it at home and never have any range anxiety.

The trajectories for battery improvements indicate it is just a matter of time before those with larger range needs are addressed satisfactorily.

If you cannot slow charge at home or work, it’s a tough story, EV’s aren’t right for you yet, and that’s ok. Roll out of slow charging is less clear that it will be solved in a scaled way. I am not one that believes that 5-10m EV charging is a good goal, it’s very high power and likely not a good price trade off for the time saved. Current 20-30m will likely be the broad solution for those that want EV and cannot charge at home, though I think that’s not a very good solution.

The cost to serve a particular level of AI drops by like 10x a year. AI has gotten good enough that next year people can continue to use the current gen AI but at that point it will be profitable. Probably 70%+ gross margin.

Right now it’s a race for market share.

But once that backs off, prices will adjust to profitability. Not unlike the Uber/Lyft wars.

Stripe processes a LOT of money. The customers that get that money need to move it around. Often to banks. Stripe makes no money on that.

Over the last few years, stablecoins have become a preferred means to hold and move money (for convenience, etc).

Stablecoin providers make money on their float -- selling stablecoins means you get free deposits, and risk-free rates are presently around 4%. For every $1M in stablecoins your customers hold, you can make $40k/year. Stablecoin providers like Circle pay about half of that back out to partners that sell the tokens.

Stripe is huge, and well-trusted by customers for handling payments. By adoption stablecoin infrastructure to control financial flows into stablecoins, they can amass huge amounts of stablecoin sales.

If even ~3% of their transaction volume gets held in Stablecoins, and they make 1% a year on that, it's about $1B a year in bottom line.

~$10e9 (daily avg vol) * 365 * 3% (converted to stablecoins) * 1% (net income) = ~$1B

https://taggs.hhs.gov/Content/Data/HHS_Grants_Terminated.pdf

Still a great nominal achievement but anytime a sponsored research study doesn’t even attempt to control for basic things it raises a lot of red flags.

- effectively shopping around items like title insurance, appraisals, etc by pointing out differences b/c competing vendors - identifying BS items that are not even on all offers, and simply having them removed. people like to add bogus fee lines.

For sure doing this as lead-gen is great. Agree that there is a huge risk of uploading personal info -- in the future local AI's will be able to do this. In the short term, they should partner with a known brand to give credibility.

This issue is a mess and has been kicked down the road for literal decades at this point. Maybe finally it will get passed…

So I have been following GS tech for a while. I’ve not yet seen anything (open source / papers) that quite gets there yet. I do think it will.

In my opinion, there are two useful ways GS can bring to this industry.

The first is ability to use photo capture to re-render as a high production quality video similar to what people do with Luma AI today. While this is a really cool capability, it’s also not really that hard to do anymore with drones and gimbals. So, the experience of creating the same thing via GS has to be better and easier, and it’s not clear when that will likely happen due to how painful the capture side is. You really need good real time capture feedback to make sure you have good coverage. Finding out there’s a hole once you’re off location is a deal breaker.

The second is to create VR capable experiences. I think the first real useful thing for consumers will be so you can walk around in a small three or 4 foot area and get a stereo sense of what it’s like to be there. This is an amazing consumer experience. But the practicality of scaling this depends on VR hardware and adoption, and that hasn’t yet become commonplace enough to make consumer use “adjacent possible” for broad deployment.

I could see it being used on super high end to start out.

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Founders often have slightly higher market value (though not always) than first employees, so they are giving up more to go the startup route.

Separately, TFA further underestimates founder risk as they are typically not taking salary during pre-seed, and no or low salary during seed. However employees 1-5 typically get mostly cash, often much closer to market.

Thirdly, there is also often a lot more stress in being the founder. It is a complex, all day job. You have the weight of keeping things going for all employees, and when cash is low it’s your paycheck that gets delayed/cut first, not your employees.

That said I am all for reasonable early stage liquidity where it makes sense, but as many other commenters have mentioned, it tends to not be life changing super early for most early employees. Most employees would rather keep the bet on the table. Also, I am strongly against large founder secondaries. I think it’s helpful for founder to remain feeling “not financially successful”, especially first time founders, so that they keep their heart in the game. I followed this practice with my companies.

So the lack of that sensor will cause the brain to develop poor representations of motion in 3d space.

How lack of those representations would affect other representations is less clear; because seeing the fusion between the LLM (which similarly doesn't have an embodied world model representation) and the robot AI (which presumable does) obviously works really well.

Now, it's possible that the 2 models are just inter-communicating between their own features (apple the concept and apple the image/object) and then being able to connect that together. The point of this meaning that there could be benefits from separate training and then post-training connection to bridge any gaps in learned representations.

However, I'd think that ultimately a model that can train simultaneously on more sensory input vs less will have a better/more efficient world model with more useful & interesting cross-connections between that space and applied uses in non-physical domains.

I also taught my whole family a passphrase to verify that any call “from family” is actually that family member and not a shakedown scam.

Super easy precautions against really painful consequences.

On the tech side, I’m just guessing, but it looks like Apple has an even better version of VR189. A 6dof version of VR180 seems entirely plausible for Apple to pull off with NeRFs and would be even more incredible.

Again, I agree that it’s a bit weird for personal memories, both on the recording side (possibly awkward to wear goggles in those situations) and even watching personal memories.

However, I’d expect Apple to make recording spatial videos possible w iPhone/iPad, which at least fixes the awkward recording issue.

Even with that possibility, I think Apple hurt themselves using this “personal memory spatial video” example.

For me, the far better use cases are for entertainment. Professional, live (and recorded) spatial video will be huge. Everyone can have front row, court side, or even birds-eye views of all forms of in-person entertainment. Sports, plays, comedy, concerts, orchestras. The experience of watching it is so intimate experientially I think it will be amazing. Looks like the tech to make it happen is finally here. Imagine them owning “the App Store” for spatial video pay-per-view…

Excited to see where this goes!

https://demo.microblink.com/self-hosted-api/pdf417

> Results: Of the 223,128 citizens of Itajaí considered for the study, a total of 159,561 subjects were included in the analysis: 113,845 (71.3%) regular ivermectin users and 45,716 (23.3%) non-users.

That reads to me like 160k people participated, and 113k optionally choose to take Ivermectin as prophylaxis.

Am I missing something ?