I hope you give startups another go if that sounds good to you, and as you say, it sounds like you will be able to see the things you dont want at least. Good luck.

Something im trying to lean into in my games is to ask the players who are voting no what their win condition or what they think they can make a go of is.

I think what ive said above could make me sound like one of the folks who "want the tightest possible loop to winning and restarting", so to add some nuance there, I think playing a game where the conclusion is foregone lacks agency, and in a game where one team eventually loses of course there is a blurry area where the team agrees that they are in fact never going to win, and then another question on whether they lie to play regardless. Because of the variation there, i like the vote, and i am in favor of coms around why someone wants to resign or stay.

I actually think it is up to players in an open loby system to communicate their intentions and reasons, and while it is true that it means people who spam coms trying to push folks around are possible, i would echo ptaqs sentiment to use that report function! and on a softer level, i really like the mute. if someone is too much, mute them and continue to enjoy your game.

Additionally it doesn't appear to reference the actual HUD report from 2025 https://www.huduser.gov/portal//portal/sites/default/files/p...

This at least has AFAICT the 100% figure, but the causal link seems unsubstantiated. The exact, unreferenced quote from the document is "Immigration accounts for up to 100 percent of housing demand growth in some regions, and for two-thirds of rental demand growth nationwide. In California and New York, immigrants have accounted for 100 percent of all rental growth and over one-half of all growth in owner-occupied housing in recent years." p45 with no further citation to back that up. I know its not an academic paper, but some citation would be good to back this up.

Id be interested in more information on causal data, or at least a more nuanced stance on such a strong statement. Or a less politically charged comment.

Full disclosure, i (obviously from my comment) dont lean right, but one thing i appreciate about HN is a more nuanced comment, and i think this is a chance for that.

  - "from my ai to yours" where ive pointed my ai at some relevant context, and asked it to transform it for other ai context that a coworker needs
  - "my thoughts prettied by AI" where i just polished up my own words, often for outside coms, but indicating that i wrote the bones of it.
  - "i wrote this myself" in my case i tend to be very casual with my written coms, and ive been leaning into this in the past year rather than looking to correct it, as it gives the personal feel. but for cases where ive written more thoughtfully, i just flat out say that.

Helps my team is small. interested in how this could be translated to more widespread "company culture"

I think there are trades where tool (or process if i may be allowed to extend the analogy) specialists exist and are highly valued. My dad is a plumber, so ill use that example but id trust similar is true for carpentry. there are specialists by task/output (new construction, repairs, boilers etc) but also tool specialist plumbers and companies for example drain clearing equipment or certain kinds of pipe for handling chemicals other than water are very specialised, and there are roles for them because the thing they enable, and the criticality of the task, and often the cost and complexity of using the tool are high enough to make specialisation valuable.

IMO software has, for the 10 years ive been working in it, been in an unusual position where the tools (languages, engineering practices, tech stacks) were super technical and involved, but also could be applied to a large number of problems. That is the perfect recipe for tool specialists: complex tool with high value and broad domain/problem space applicability.

Because of that tool specialisation, we've separated the application of the tool to a problem/domain from the tool use. reduction of complexity of applying these tools to many problems, means all domain specialists will use them, relying less on tool specialists.

imaging a mcguffin tool for attaching any two materials together, but which took a degree to figure out (loose hyperbole here), that sudenly you could use for 5 bucks and a quick glance at the first page of the manual. An industry that used to have lots of mcguffin engineers, would be mega disrupted, and you could argue that those tool specialists would have to identify more with what they were building than the mcguffin they were using.

I wish more corps took themselves so lightly, while remaining serious about what they do.

Its probably nitpick correct, because the 12GW is planned capacity, while the solar might be measured use? but simple assumptins or conversions, as another comment points out, get you comparable numbers. taking the title into account, the whole article is a little bit smoke and mirrors on clear communication, despite having plenty of numbers. Thats a shame because it sounds like even unvarnished its good results!

If it was guaranteed that it will not be abused or that I would regret it, it would not _be_ vulnerable. Just like its not bravery if I am not afraid or I am assured of my safety. Such a paradox. Being vulnerable for me is acknowledging that it might have an increased probability of a more negative outcome, but still trying to be vulnerable because of the huge connection unlocks that (often) occur in my experience.

On balance intellectually i am coming to see the expected value from being vulnerable in communications is high, but my little lizard brain keeps saying to me "what if you get hurt though" and being closed off haha. its an exercise to shut it up.

From that newseltter:

> At the Financial Times, Jill Shah and Eric Platt report:

>JPMorgan Chase ... informed private credit lenders that it had marked down the value of certain loans in their portfolios, which serve as the collateral the funds use to borrow from the bank, according to people familiar with the matter. >...

>The loans that have been devalued are to software companies, which are seen as particularly vulnerable to the onset of AI. ...

From what i can tell the problem isn't that an individual who had cash to invest in a private (tech in this case) company goes down

the problem is that a company "private credit firms run retail-focused funds (“business development companies” or BDCs)" which took out a bunch of loans to invest in private tech companies is now having the underlying assets that they got those loans against (long term investments in private tech companies) valued lower.

the link im missing is what happens when people who also invested in BDCs want their money back, where their actual money is locked up in long term investments made to private tech companies, and their ability to get loans is now valued lower. I think this is called a "run" where if someone starts pulling money out, and ultimately you cant, then its a race to get your money out before others do, which applies to both the individuals and the institutional loans.

Note: my quotes are from the bloomberg newsletter i mention, which helped me, not the OP article. And i am writing as much to clarify my own thinking as from a place of understanding. I welcome clarification.

My interest in fine tuning at all is based on an adjacent interest in self hosting small models, although i tested this on aws bedrock for ease of comparison, so my hope is that given we are self hosting, then fine tuning and hosting our tuned model shouldn't be terribly difficult, at least compared to managed finetuning solutions on cloud providers which im generally wary of. Happy for those assumptions to be challenged.

I just ran a benchmark against haiku of a very simple document classification task that at the moment we farm out to haiku in parallel. very naive same prompt system via same api AWS bedrock, and can see that the a few of the 4b models are pretty good match, and could be easily run locally or just for cheap via a hosted provider. The "how much data and how much improvement" is a question i dont have a good intuition for anymore. I dont even have an order of magnitude guess on those two axis.

Heres raw numbers to spark discussion:

| Model | DocType% | Year% | Subject% | In $/MTok |

|---------------|----------|-------|----------|-----------|

| llama-70b -----| 83 | 98 | 96 | $0.72 |

| gpt-oss-20b --| 83 | 97 | 92 | $0.07 |

| ministral-14b -| 84 | 100 | 90 | $0.20 |

| gemma-4b ----| 75 | 93 | 91 | $0.04 |

| glm-flash-30b -| 83 | 93 | 90 | $0.07 |

| llama-1b ------| 47 | 90 | 58 | $0.10 |

percents are doc type (categorical), year, and subject name match against haiku. just uses the first 4 pages.

in the old world where these were my own in house models, id be interested in seeing if i could uplift those nubmers with traingin, but i haven't done that with the new LLMs in a while. keen to get even a finger to the air if possible.

Can easily generate tens of thousands of examples.

Might try myself, but always keen for an opinion.

_edit for table formatting_

Kinda like the dialogue/story paths in something like hades, where IIRC they made a whole system to manage it, but the reality is that system only matters when the tree is suuuuuuuuper complex. or maybe it was disco elysium, or both ...

i think the culture war point is also super true of the game design industry, not just the consumers, where the already ultra competitive nature of the work means that the creatives and the industry as a whole have taken a veeeery strong stance against genai. Thats a reckon, and i dont know if its good or bad.

It does feel a little counter to the march of progress, but in a medium where high effort can be enjoyed by many, im personally cool with artisinal handmade games.

Is referring to the nemesis system in Middle-Earth: Shadow of Mordor and Shadow of War, and its an amazing set of interlocking procedural systems that do genuinely feel like its AI, but is really AI in the sense its always been used by games (the rules the games follow to govern NPCs+world) and not AI in the sense of modern LLMs or even other generative systems. This video is a great look at what it is and why its great IMO https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lm_AzK27mZY

I think a system like this could really work well with some modern LLM stuff, but it certainly feels magic without it.

We've spent the last three years making climate finance data at a fraction of the time and cost using AI. We started pre GPT and have continued to evolve and rebuild our stack with the times. These days we are fully agentic, powered by opus/haiku using python/js as best fits the job, but we ride the wave and aren't attached to the past. We are a small, focused, in-person, and technically capable team with deep industry connections.

We are looking for an early career builder to take ownership of end to end data creation, and who can stay on their toes with rapidly changing tech stack and ways of working as the models continue to evolve.

Reach out to our CEO aleksi[at]climatealigned[dot]co to discuss, or drop me a line (founding engineer)

Check some of our past work at https://climatealigned.co or touch base with any of the team with questions on LI

If most software is just used by me to do a specific task, then being able to make software for me to do that task will become the norm. Following that thought, we are going to see a drastic reduction in SASS solutions, as many people who were buying a flexible-toolbox for one usecase to use occasionally, just get an llm to make them the script/software to do that task as and when they need it, without any concern for things like security, longevity, ease of use by others (for better or for worse).

I guess what im circling around is that if we define engineering as building the complex tools that have to interact with many other systems, persist, be generally useful and understandable to many people, and we consider that many people actually dont need that complexity for their use of the system, the complexity arises from it needing to serve its purpose at huge scale over time. then maybe there will be less need for enginners, but perhaps first and foremost because the problems that engineering is required to solve are much less if much more focused and bespoke solutions to peoples problems are available on demand.

As an engineer i have often felt threatened by LLMs and agents of late, but i find that if i reframe it from Agents replacing me, to Agents causing the type of problems that are even valuable to solve to shift, it feels less threatening for some reason. Ill have to mull more.

I am genuinely curious to understand the incentives for companies who have the power to mitigate risk to actually do so. Are there good examples in the past of companies taking action that is harmful to their bottom line to mitigate societal risk of harm their products on society? My premise being that their primary motive is profit/growth, and that is revenue or investment dictated for mature and growth companies respectively (collectively "bottom line").

Im only in my mid 30s so dont have as much perspective on past examples of voluntary action of this sort with respect to tech or pre-tech corporates where there was concern of harm. Probably too late to this thread for replies, but ill think about it for the next time this comes up.