<rss version="2.0" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"><channel><title>Hacker News: bayesian_horse</title><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/user?id=bayesian_horse</link><description>Hacker News RSS</description><docs>https://hnrss.org/</docs><generator>hnrss v2.1.1</generator><lastBuildDate>Sat, 13 Jun 2026 13:14:37 +0000</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="https://hnrss.org/user?id=bayesian_horse" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"></atom:link><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by bayesian_horse in "The lesson about the end of nuclear in Germany"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>I just tried deleting my account. Which isn't possible, counter to best practice and even many data privacy laws (not in california I guess). But I'm logging out and using a new account from now on (if at all). Congratulations.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Thu, 27 Apr 2023 07:41:14 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35724559</link><dc:creator>bayesian_horse</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35724559</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35724559</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by bayesian_horse in "The lesson about the end of nuclear in Germany"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>No more dissent. Got it. I would encourage a ban. I will just make another account. I get that I should reduce some of the "flame war" stuff but I think this is one-sided.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Thu, 27 Apr 2023 07:36:06 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35724530</link><dc:creator>bayesian_horse</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35724530</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35724530</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by bayesian_horse in "The lesson about the end of nuclear in Germany"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Bullshit argument. How would such a cleanup even work? The claim that the Fukushima clean up is excessive is completely pulled out of someones ass. What would be the rationale? You DO understand that exposure to radiation is cumulative, and having radioactive dirt lying around or distributing through wind and whatever else is a problem, right? And we don't even perfectly know what damage that would do long term, if you just leave it alone. There is an exclusion zone around Tschernobyl for a reason. Japan can't afford such an exclusion zone.<p>Cleaning up "harmful emissions from burning lignite" is complete bullshit. How would that even work? For one thing those emissions or whatever is not radioactive, which is a big plus. For another, those emissions are continously reduced and once they are sufficiently reduced, the planet as a whole will actually clean it up by itself. This will take a long time, of course. Not as long as leaving nuclear waste and radioactive dirt alone and hoping it won't get blown around and harm anyone.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Thu, 27 Apr 2023 07:35:14 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35724520</link><dc:creator>bayesian_horse</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35724520</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35724520</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by bayesian_horse in "The lesson about the end of nuclear in Germany"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>The Chinese ramp up in nuclear power is fairly decent. Give them time. Unfortunately I don't think they will have more luck in terms of safety, rather the opposite...<p>The Fukushima incident was a result of regulations being too weak or ignored and the government not keeping good enough tabs on the operator. I really don't think the Chinese government does a better job. They suck at regulating and enforcing plenty of things they care about.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Wed, 26 Apr 2023 17:44:34 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35717450</link><dc:creator>bayesian_horse</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35717450</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35717450</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by bayesian_horse in "The lesson about the end of nuclear in Germany"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>And most of them are not a commercial reality or viable option for at least a decade or so...</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Wed, 26 Apr 2023 17:42:08 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35717422</link><dc:creator>bayesian_horse</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35717422</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35717422</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by bayesian_horse in "The lesson about the end of nuclear in Germany"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>The group-think around nuclear power on HN is indistinguishable from religious fervor and doesn't agree with average public opinions in any countries I know of. Certainly not Germany...</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Wed, 26 Apr 2023 17:39:28 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35717383</link><dc:creator>bayesian_horse</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35717383</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35717383</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by bayesian_horse in "The lesson about the end of nuclear in Germany"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>That "minor nuclear incident" required a clean up that still isn't finished and already ran up a tab of about a trillion Dollars.<p>Pro-nuclear propaganda tries to focus on "only" one direct fatality, and conveniently ignores all the cost associated with not running up that number.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Wed, 26 Apr 2023 17:37:42 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35717365</link><dc:creator>bayesian_horse</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35717365</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35717365</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by bayesian_horse in "The lesson about the end of nuclear in Germany"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>"Flexible generation" also means coal and gas... So it is not an elusive technology. Neither are hydro power plants which can be varied in their output.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Wed, 26 Apr 2023 17:35:11 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35717334</link><dc:creator>bayesian_horse</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35717334</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35717334</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by bayesian_horse in "The lesson about the end of nuclear in Germany"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Nuclear power projects are not just over-budget, they start off with a budget of a couple of billions, whereas individual solar or wind power projects are way smaller and therefor carry less of a risk. Nuclear power requires a huge financial backing from a single entity (even it is "fed" by multiple sources). Almost always, the risk is carried by society, the profit, if any is gobbled up by some corporation.<p>There is no need to "overbuild" wind or solar. There has never been any illusion those sources will produce at 100% capacity all the time. There will eventually be energy storage to level out the peaks, but most countries still have years to build up to the point where this is necessary.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Wed, 26 Apr 2023 17:32:22 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35717287</link><dc:creator>bayesian_horse</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35717287</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35717287</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by bayesian_horse in "The lesson about the end of nuclear in Germany"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>To be in favor of nuclear power you need to ignore the fat tail risk structure.<p>And nuclear power proponents are using plenty of lies. Like the one where the only alternative to nuclear power is coal power.<p>What you claim to be "reality" and "science" is just a convenient selection of either. It is entirely rational to claim that the risk of nuclear power is not calculable, and to not have enough appetite to carry that risk.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Wed, 26 Apr 2023 17:26:28 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35717196</link><dc:creator>bayesian_horse</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35717196</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35717196</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by bayesian_horse in "The lesson about the end of nuclear in Germany"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Once you do any of the sort, nuclear power loses the rest of its cost advantage (if there is any to begin with).</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Wed, 26 Apr 2023 17:21:13 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35717123</link><dc:creator>bayesian_horse</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35717123</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35717123</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by bayesian_horse in "The lesson about the end of nuclear in Germany"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Most dams carry way more risk and way higher benefits.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Wed, 26 Apr 2023 17:20:19 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35717115</link><dc:creator>bayesian_horse</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35717115</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35717115</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by bayesian_horse in "The lesson about the end of nuclear in Germany"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Because nuclear power projects are never finished on time and within budget. Partly for political reasons (as in: People really don't like it), partly because engineers suck at estimating large projects.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Wed, 26 Apr 2023 17:19:10 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35717094</link><dc:creator>bayesian_horse</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35717094</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35717094</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by bayesian_horse in "The lesson about the end of nuclear in Germany"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Bullshit. Germany is still a decade or two away from needing energy storage to even out renewable power peaks. Until then, all the capacity provided by renewable sources reduces the overall emissions, which is the reason we are doing this at all.<p>The purpose of building up renewable energy sources right now is NOT to sustain peak loads entirely from renewables. But such simplifications are convenient, right?</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Wed, 26 Apr 2023 17:14:30 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35717021</link><dc:creator>bayesian_horse</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35717021</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35717021</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by bayesian_horse in "The lesson about the end of nuclear in Germany"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Of course running below maximum output drives up cost. Are you disagreeing with basic math? Consumption of fuel is not the main cost of a nuclear power plant, and  even if you shut it down completely, it still needs external power for the cooling.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Wed, 26 Apr 2023 17:08:16 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35716936</link><dc:creator>bayesian_horse</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35716936</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35716936</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by bayesian_horse in "The lesson about the end of nuclear in Germany"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>How is it immaterial to build twice as many nuclear power plants as necessary instead of using energy storage? You'd have to believe battery storage is way more expensive than an idle nuclear plant. But that's just not the case. The real killer in that comparison is that people really don't want to live near a nuclear plant and in any case, regulation and such politics makes it hard or impossible to scale up nuclear power in that way.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Wed, 26 Apr 2023 17:06:09 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35716900</link><dc:creator>bayesian_horse</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35716900</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35716900</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by bayesian_horse in "The lesson about the end of nuclear in Germany"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>You can't prove a long term trend via short term observation. That's kindergarden level...</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Wed, 26 Apr 2023 17:02:58 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35716864</link><dc:creator>bayesian_horse</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35716864</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35716864</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by bayesian_horse in "The lesson about the end of nuclear in Germany"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>My point is actually that the risk of coal is calculable and the risk of nuclear is not. And if you provide any estimate, it is most certainly wrong, because it is based on false and dangerous assumptions.<p>Yet you repeat the lie that coal power is the only alternative to nuclear. That convenient lie is the core assumption between most or all your arguments.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Wed, 26 Apr 2023 17:00:33 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35716818</link><dc:creator>bayesian_horse</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35716818</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35716818</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by bayesian_horse in "The lesson about the end of nuclear in Germany"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>I don't believe people are special.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Wed, 26 Apr 2023 13:47:23 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35713595</link><dc:creator>bayesian_horse</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35713595</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35713595</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by bayesian_horse in "The lesson about the end of nuclear in Germany"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>You're still lying about the alternatives to nuclear power. You are still underestimating the impact of a nuclear disaster. You are still underestimating the risk of a nuclear disaster. These things have always occurred more frequently than expected, and we haven't seen anyone intentionally blow up a nuclear facility yet. The possibility for someone to actually make that happen intentionally (as supposed to the also criminal but less intentional neglect in the case of Fukushima) makes the risk calculations around nuclear impossible.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Wed, 26 Apr 2023 13:46:57 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35713593</link><dc:creator>bayesian_horse</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35713593</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35713593</guid></item></channel></rss>