Hacker News: blazespin

New comment by blazespin in "I’ve joined Anthropic"

blazespin — Wed, 20 May 2026 02:43:35 +0000

yes, pure engagement farmer. Marketing yourself is a big part of the biz these days. Thanks, social media

New comment by blazespin in "I believe there are entire companies right now under AI psychosis"

blazespin — Sun, 17 May 2026 06:06:47 +0000

not hard, massive elo stuff. every decision point needs to think up and implement 25 ideas and then rank them.

New comment by blazespin in "I believe there are entire companies right now under AI psychosis"

blazespin — Sat, 16 May 2026 20:51:16 +0000

The problem is that the only thing that has proved out so far is cyber security. Unfortunately cyber security improvements is not going to improve living standards, and it's just going to increase the cost of just doing business. There is no productivity boost, in fact it's the opposite.

What we need is automated research that leads to real results. This is possible, but it has yet to prove out. I am concerned that unless the AI companies focus entirely on this, it may be a while before we actually see true benefits from this.

What's worse, is there is an urgent and desperate need for automated research, as we have been seeing diminishing returns in human produced research for some time now: https://web.stanford.edu/~chadj/IdeaPF.pdf

New comment by blazespin in "New arXiv policy: 1-year ban for hallucinated references"

blazespin — Thu, 14 May 2026 23:26:27 +0000

it's very silly, but not a big deal. Arxiv is becoming irrelevant these days anyways.

In fact would be better if they just banned AI, so we could just get off the luddite platforms.

Automated research is the future, end of story. And really it couldn't have come out at a better time, given the increasingly diminishing returns on human powered research.

New comment by blazespin in "U.S. Senators Vote to Ban Themselves from Trading on Prediction Markets"

blazespin — Thu, 30 Apr 2026 20:31:03 +0000

Pure gaslighting. The PM panic is because people want to look like they 'care' about corrupt trading. It's peanuts compared to the 500M they were betting on oil futures.

New comment by blazespin in "U.S. Senators Vote to Ban Themselves from Trading on Prediction Markets"

blazespin — Thu, 30 Apr 2026 20:30:25 +0000

No, because that's real money.

New comment by blazespin in "Claude Opus 4.7"

blazespin — Thu, 16 Apr 2026 17:36:52 +0000

Safety versus Distillation, guess we see what's more important.

New comment by blazespin in "Muse Spark: Scaling towards personal superintelligence"

blazespin — Wed, 08 Apr 2026 21:26:05 +0000

Because bots and trillion dollar ipos and even bigger stakes. People need to better appreciate the level of manipulation going on. Social media has an outsized impact. Bots and even people are getting paid to post and upvote/downvote narratives.

New comment by blazespin in "GLM-5.1: Towards Long-Horizon Tasks"

blazespin — Tue, 07 Apr 2026 22:00:50 +0000

Anthropic's reply? A model you can't use.

New comment by blazespin in "Project Glasswing: Securing critical software for the AI era"

blazespin — Tue, 07 Apr 2026 21:19:55 +0000

Dario is big on beating china, and no doubt he believes cyber security is how to do that. You can tell, but anthropic is sht at everything else. Nobody uses it for real research.

New comment by blazespin in "System Card: Claude Mythos Preview [pdf]"

blazespin — Tue, 07 Apr 2026 20:51:10 +0000

Anthropic needs money like the 112B OpenAI got. They could be hyping and this is good hype. Who knows how benchmaxxed they are.

If they provide access to 3rd party benchmarking (not just one) than maybe I'll believe it. Until then...

New comment by blazespin in "System Card: Claude Mythos Preview [pdf]"

blazespin — Tue, 07 Apr 2026 20:48:53 +0000

Yeah, need some good RE benchmarks for the LLMs. :)

RE is very interesting problem. A lot more that SWE can be RE'd. I've found the LLMs are reluctant to assist, though you can workaround.

New comment by blazespin in "A new Polymarket account made over $500k betting on the U.S. strike against Iran"

blazespin — Sun, 01 Mar 2026 20:00:22 +0000

All I've ever seen is it encouraging people and not discouraging them. The thrill of the easy money, right?

Forget it jake, it's Polymarket.

New comment by blazespin in "A new Polymarket account made over $500k betting on the U.S. strike against Iran"

blazespin — Sun, 01 Mar 2026 19:56:55 +0000

Yeah, trying to beat the market on actually predicting will get you pretty lame returns. Probably do better in non zero sum games like the stock market. At least there you get the benefit of the market always going up eventually.

No, the best way to win on Polymarket is purely by insider trading. Which is why it's a useful thing to watch. Insider news..

That said, the definition of 'insider trading' is always tricky. At what point does it become insider? Some things people call insider others just call clever detective work.

New comment by blazespin in "A new Polymarket account made over $500k betting on the U.S. strike against Iran"

blazespin — Sun, 01 Mar 2026 19:55:17 +0000

"People don't play in corrupt markets for very long." ... ahhh, it's not a bug with Polymarket - it's a feature.

New comment by blazespin in ""Cancel ChatGPT" movement goes mainstream after OpenAI closes deal with U.S. Dow"

blazespin — Sun, 01 Mar 2026 19:39:42 +0000

I'd say it's more a kowtow to his voters and democracy. Whatever you think of him, he was democratically elected. Do remember to show up this November, though, and remind all your friends..

New comment by blazespin in "US blocks all offshore wind construction, says reason is classified"

blazespin — Tue, 23 Dec 2025 19:41:37 +0000

trump literally said he wants venez to return the oil it 'stole' when it nationalized.

Advanced fusion control breakthrough brings clean, reliable energy closer

blazespin — Wed, 17 Dec 2025 16:55:31 +0000

Article URL: https://www.jpost.com/science/article-880512

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46302026

Points: 2

# Comments: 0

New comment by blazespin in "AI agents are starting to eat SaaS"

blazespin — Mon, 15 Dec 2025 00:47:39 +0000

There is a significant risk of uncertainty in all of this, the most damaging aspect really. If AI improves, and it is threatening to, then growth in SaaS may decline to a point where investing in it needs to be reconsidered.

The problem is, nobody knows how much and how fast AI will improve or how much it will cost if it does.

That uncertainty alone is very problematic and I think is being underestimated in terms of its impact on everything it can potentially touch.

For now though, I've seen a wall form in benchmarks like swe-rebench and swebench pro. Greenfield is expanding, but maintenance is still a problem.

I think AI needs to get much better at maintenance before serious companies can choose build over buy for anything but the most trivial apps.

New comment by blazespin in "The Gorman Paradox: Where Are All the AI-Generated Apps?"

blazespin — Sun, 14 Dec 2025 23:16:55 +0000

Nobody collapses, everything just shrinks.

And we're seeing that in the labor numbers.

Sometimes things are harder to see because it's chipping away and everywhere at the margins.