You can't distill or catch up if you can't access the models. You'll basically have a situation where nation-states will need to try and steal the models Oceans 11 style.

Probably because the future "monster" models will be insane. 100T+ param models might be the type of things that can independently run a small business, which means anyone not using them is at a distinct disadvantage to their competitors.

The top model from 2025 looks silly compared to the top model of the first half of 2026. Do you feel like progress has stalled?

The American business model is exceedingly efficient at building large businesses from zero. I wouldn't dismiss it as just a jobs creation thing.

The Kansas landscape is very underrated. Just infinite sky in all directions.

That's how it works in the US as well. You might be conflating Apple Pay with Apple Wallet, which stores your credit cards for tap-to-pay. Most people in the US use Apple Wallet/Google Wallet to digitally store their credit/debit cards, and use those cards to pay at the store by tapping the POS terminal.

For example, I use Apple Wallet for nearly every transaction, but I never use Apple Pay/Apple Card as the payment method.

With cmux your agents can access the browser, spawn full shells, and you aren't locked-in to a specific vendor. It's really powerful but you need to update your instruction file so your coding harness knows it can use the cmux tools to test.

You can also download Handy to use voice so you can just give your feedback via voice into the CLI during the planning phase of a project.

"I don't have a reliable way to read that number, so I'd be guessing if I gave you one — and this is exactly the kind of question where a confident guess is worse than none.

What I can tell you is what I actually observe:"

I really like this update - gave me a clear sense of the facts but didn't give me a guess just for the sake of guessing.

One oddity is that it appears to only have a 200K context window right now via CC. Hopefully the 1M version will appear soon!

You would have avoided that cache hit if the LLM session was kept "alive" for those few hours. Why not automate the part where you keep the large main thread alive until you're ready to analyze the results?

Both sides have extremely smart people. One side has more $$$ and exclusive access to the best chips. For progress to converge without a corresponding breakthrough suggests there's something else at work.

> This whole narrative has just been a massive cope.

So wait, US AI companies all use distillation because... it's not effective and it's all just cope? Or is distillation really powerful and they all do it, which Musk was forced to admit under oath? But when China does distillation it isn't powerful and they don't need to do it, but they do it anyway because it's fun?

Either it's powerful and everyone, including the Chinese labs, use it as a way to rapidly catch-up against the SOTA models, or it's a red herring and the huge amounts of energy spent to protect and enable distillation is all just wasted money. Which is it?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Single-stream_recycling

I think you guys are working yourself into a lather about this topic while other people are quietly getting a ton of shit done with Anthropic's models.