I’ve read a lot of code hand-written by programmers. By smart and hard working people. And I know from experience that the code the average programmer writes is not great either.

Being hand written is no guarantee of high quality, just like using LLMs is no guarantee of low quality.

Your guess is as good as mine on whether these companies will continue growing, stall, or decline. Don’t try to pretend your methodology is more sound though.

Tech companies are capital intensive. AI ones especially. Not a surprise that they don’t have GAAP profitability after 5 years.

That's a lot already and growing quickly.

That’s what makes Apple different than other tech companies. They have an extreme attention to detail that extends even to their packaging.

I greatly prefer this, since it lets me iterate on the plan with Claude for a while without it repeatedly asking if I’m ready to implement the plan.

Once I’m satisfied, I usually start a fresh session and tell it to implement the plan.

For smaller plans, you don’t need the file. Just ask it to come up with a plan. I don’t recall the last time it just started implementing if I only asked for a plan.

Not such an easy thing to say if you’re the one facing that threat. Nobody wants their own country to be invaded and conquered.

And Russia would take that as a green light to keep on conquering other former Soviet states. Where do you draw the line?

Obviously it’s the speed and cost that make it compelling. The tradeoff is accuracy.

Enough to matter? Maybe, maybe not. It’s not like it’s way down the chart. It’s probably good enough for a lot of tasks.

Compared to a $100k salary, a few hundred dollars a month is insignificant. If you can make the employee even just a few percent more efficient, it’s worth it.

Though for tasks where you are trying to search through billions of documents, social media posts, etc. and extract certain information, where each individual post is of low value and only the data in aggregate is valuable, then that’s where you’d want something cheaper and faster.

Such as if you want to look at all posts on X in the last few months and find how many have a negative or positive sentiment about the economy (or are unrelated).

Of course you could use a special-purpose model for this, but the whole point of something like Jev is to ask whatever questions you want without having to train something new.

It seems more like a spirit drainer for the experienced maintainers who have to deal with the onslaught.

I suspect we’re going to see much more strict projects with fewer allowed contributors going forward.

Though on the upside, an experienced dev can use AI to become more productive, so perhaps they will be less dependent on contributions.

Halo was originally conceived as an RTS, then turned out to be a successful FPS. Then they made a fairly successful RTS too.

Everything Blizzard does is met with such absurd hostility. Gamers pay $60 for 100+ hours of entertainment and still feel like they’re getting screwed at every turn.

I think a rogue AI could try to manipulate society through hacking, propaganda, etc., though. To what end? Not sure.

More likely, it’ll be used by rogue human actors to steal money or cause major disruptions to critical technology of an adversary.

And I don’t even know if it’s true that people have more free time. A lot of people have side hustles like Uber or whatever to make extra money.

What will it look like? Will everybody spend their time playing sports and games? Or on art? Perhaps exploring the solar system or beyond if our technology advances enough?

Quite a time to be alive to even have to think of such things outside of science fiction.

I personally use AI all the time and am not against it. But I think the importance of alignment is highly under-appreciated.