Hacker News: chaos_emergent

New comment by chaos_emergent in "California to begin ticketing driverless cars that violate traffic laws"

chaos_emergent — Sat, 02 May 2026 20:03:25 +0000

We can look to other forms of automation to get a sense of what to do. For example, planes largely fly themselves and a loss of life due to manufacturing errors from the manufacturer would deem them liable for those deaths. Seems like the solution here is large penalties and generally broad disincentives for incurring harm.

New comment by chaos_emergent in "Microsoft and OpenAI end their exclusive and revenue-sharing deal"

chaos_emergent — Mon, 27 Apr 2026 16:30:54 +0000

Yeah I think this is more coherent than people realize. Economically relevant knowledge work is things that humans find cognitively demanding. Otherwise they wouldn't be valued in the first place.

It ties the definition to economic value, which I think is the best definition that we can conjure given that AGI is otherwise highly subjective. Economically relevant work is dictated by markets, which I think is the best proxy we have for something so ambiguous.

New comment by chaos_emergent in "Dear friend, you have built a Kubernetes (2024)"

chaos_emergent — Sun, 26 Apr 2026 23:46:55 +0000

I wouldn’t really call it “DIY” per se, k8s has the resource API and you can create whatever scaling policies you want to with it, but I do see how that’s not obvious when it’s advertised as ‘batteries included’

New comment by chaos_emergent in "Hyperscalers have already outspent most famous US megaprojects"

chaos_emergent — Fri, 17 Apr 2026 17:13:33 +0000

I posted just that on the Twitter feed but then I realized that railroad started at the beginning of an industrial revolution where labor was a far larger portion of GDP compared to industrial production. So it kind of makes sense that the first enabling technology consumed far more GDP than current investments do, even on a marginal basis.

New comment by chaos_emergent in "Codex for almost everything"

chaos_emergent — Thu, 16 Apr 2026 21:40:41 +0000

Thinking in counterfactuals, how would the hype around Codex would be different if it was organic and because they had built a genuinely good product? Asking as someone who genuinely loves Codex and has been in the OpenAI camp for months after buying a Claude Max plan from November to February.

New comment by chaos_emergent in "AI will never be ethical or safe"

chaos_emergent — Tue, 14 Apr 2026 15:52:48 +0000

Yeah I hate the title because it almost verges on clickbaity because one assumes that he's making the assertion that AI has a moral stance in the first place, versus AI being morally neutral and driven by its wielder

New comment by chaos_emergent in "We've raised $17M to build what comes after Git"

chaos_emergent — Fri, 10 Apr 2026 15:30:56 +0000

The reality is that none of that shit matters if you can build a product that people use and want to pay for. I would back someone who has made a dollar off of a product over someone who has built a great product that no one uses 100% of the time.

The reality is that you can make a successful business with okay engineering and great product insight. It's much more difficult to build a successful business with great engineering and poor product insight. Getting people to use and pay for what you've built gives you the product insight that you need.

New comment by chaos_emergent in "System Card: Claude Mythos Preview [pdf]"

chaos_emergent — Tue, 07 Apr 2026 19:46:29 +0000

> All thinking does is burn output tokens for accuracy

“All that phenomenon X does is make a tradeoff of Y for Z”

It sounds like you’re indignant about it being called thinking, that’s fine, but surely you can realize that the mechanism you’re criticizing actually works really well?

New comment by chaos_emergent in "System Card: Claude Mythos Preview [pdf]"

chaos_emergent — Tue, 07 Apr 2026 19:32:49 +0000

An alternative but similar formulation of that statement is that Anthropic has spent more training effort in getting the model to “feel good” rather than being correct on verifiable tasks. Which more or less tracks with my experience of using the model.

New comment by chaos_emergent in "The Claude Code Source Leak: fake tools, frustration regexes, undercover mode"

chaos_emergent — Wed, 01 Apr 2026 00:10:55 +0000

Most of the value I’ve gotten out of is has been observability. Graph and DAG workflow abstractions just help OTel structure your LLM logs in a clean hierarchy of spans. I could imagine figuring out a better solution to this than the whole graph abstraction.

Other than that I’m not too sure.

New comment by chaos_emergent in "Claude Code runs Git reset –hard origin/main against project repo every 10 mins"

chaos_emergent — Mon, 30 Mar 2026 00:49:50 +0000

Have you considered that Claude set up a crontab that does that programmatically? Every 10 mins seems awfully, idk, regular.

New comment by chaos_emergent in "Just Put It on a Map"

chaos_emergent — Fri, 20 Mar 2026 18:14:06 +0000

The writer mentioned that people's intuitions about the distribution of land and where it's most valuable are wildly off, what exactly are people's intuitions that run counter to the data presented? It seems fairly intuitive to me that property values, as you get closer to an urban center

New comment by chaos_emergent in "Scaling Karpathy's Autoresearch: What Happens When the Agent Gets a GPU Cluster"

chaos_emergent — Thu, 19 Mar 2026 18:49:55 +0000

Human-driven research is also brute-force but with a more efficient search strategy. One can think of a parameter that represents research-search-space-navigation efficiency. RL-trained agents will inevitably optimize for that parameter. I agree with your statement insomuch as the value of that efficiency parameter is lower for agents than humans today.

It's really hard to imagine that they __won't__ exceed the human value for that efficiency parameter rather soon given that 1. there are plenty of scalar value functions that can represent research efficiency, of which a subset will result in robust training, and 2. that AI labs have a massive incentive to increase their research efficiency overall, along with billions of dollars and really good human researchers working on the problem.

New comment by chaos_emergent in "OpenAI resets spending expectations, from $1.4T to $600B"

chaos_emergent — Tue, 24 Feb 2026 20:58:10 +0000

I feel like the dropping cost of using AI doesn't tell the full story - I feel like I'm using agents easily a hundred to two hundred times more than I used chat interfaces. The build-out seems entirely reasonable if we believe that there's going to be a similar increase in usage through the rest of the economy as user interfaces are figured out for these models.

New comment by chaos_emergent in "Anthropic officially bans using subscription auth for third party use"

chaos_emergent — Thu, 19 Feb 2026 15:05:02 +0000

Probably not, they’re like four years old and they’re 2500 people at the company. My guess is that there are but a handful of PMs.

New comment by chaos_emergent in "AI adoption and Solow's productivity paradox"

chaos_emergent — Wed, 18 Feb 2026 02:12:02 +0000

100% All of the people who are floored by AI capabilities right now are software engineers, and everyone who's extremely skeptical basically has any other office job. On investigating their primary AI interaction surface, it's Microsoft Co-Pilot, which has to be the absolute shittiest implementation of any AI system so far. As a progress-driven person, it's just super disappointing to see how few people are benefiting from the productive gains of these systems.

New comment by chaos_emergent in "GPT-5.2 derives a new result in theoretical physics"

chaos_emergent — Sat, 14 Feb 2026 16:38:43 +0000

It’s almost like the iteration loop refines itself between checks notes in Sutton search and learning

New comment by chaos_emergent in "GPT‑5.3‑Codex‑Spark"

chaos_emergent — Fri, 13 Feb 2026 09:18:37 +0000

Not at all, the limitation is software to get the model on the chip and executing correctly. My bet is that they had a FDE who specializes in the chip implement Spark’s architecture on device.

New comment by chaos_emergent in "GPT‑5.3‑Codex‑Spark"

chaos_emergent — Thu, 12 Feb 2026 19:33:15 +0000

I think it's a beta so they're trying to figure out pricing by deploying it.

Show HN: GW – manage Git worktrees when you're babysitting multiple AI agents

chaos_emergent — Mon, 09 Feb 2026 10:09:57 +0000

Article URL: https://github.com/nikhilshinday/gw

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46943587

Points: 1

# Comments: 0