Hacker News: cl42

New comment by cl42 in "Sumida Aquarium Posts 2026 Penguin Relationship Chart, with Drama and Breakups"

cl42 — Sun, 19 Apr 2026 04:08:10 +0000

Goodbye Zachary's Karate Club, hello Sumida Penguin Romance Chart!

Neal Stephenson: Reflections on the Latest and Greatest Death of the Metaverse

cl42 — Fri, 27 Mar 2026 00:24:36 +0000

Article URL: https://nealstephenson.substack.com/p/my-prodigal-brainchild

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47537614

Points: 13

# Comments: 2

New comment by cl42 in "Ask HN: What Are You Working On? (March 2026)"

cl42 — Mon, 09 Mar 2026 08:04:20 +0000

I'm building AthenaOS: https://athena-os.ai/

Basically OpenClaw but with investing dashboards for my portfolio, additional tools specifically for investing, and exploring an AI-Human collaboration on researching economics (check the 'community' tab).

The data models are all in markdown and Excel so that there's no lockin and you can manually edit positions, personalities, etc.

This comes from frustration around most investing tools basically scraping your personal data + forcing you to lock into subscriptions. I think it's now possible to just vibe code most of what one needs, aside form raw data subscriptions.

It's all open source, too: https://github.com/wgryc/athena-os

New comment by cl42 in "Marcus AI Claims Dataset"

cl42 — Wed, 04 Mar 2026 02:03:38 +0000

I'll add one more point. If you scroll through his Substack, a lot of his posts are incredibly negative and unproductive. I was (and continue to be) someone who cares deeply about responsible AI... But there's a difference between working on AI responsibly or pushing the debate, versus simply criticizing everything that is done as folly, useless, crap, etc.

New comment by cl42 in "Man's Search for Meaning (1963)"

cl42 — Sun, 01 Mar 2026 03:39:51 +0000

"Everything can be taken from a man but one thing: the last of the human freedoms—to choose one’s attitude in any given set of circumstances, to choose one’s own way."

Fantastic book.

Human Systems Research Submolt

cl42 — Sun, 08 Feb 2026 02:35:32 +0000

Article URL: https://www.moltbook.com/m/humansystems

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46930774

Points: 1

# Comments: 0

New comment by cl42 in "Ask HN: What are you working on? (January 2026)"

cl42 — Mon, 12 Jan 2026 08:32:52 +0000

I hate all the portfolio tracking tools out there + don't understand why tools like FactSet or CapitalIQ cost so much.

... so I'm building an open source version.

Track all your trades in Excel, and get Sharpe ratios, Sortino ratios, or even pass it on to an LLM to have it recommend trades based on news feeds.

Planning to open source it in the next week or two, once I add the proper tests and docs! :)

KdK part 2: a medical mystery from postwar Germany

cl42 — Fri, 02 Jan 2026 22:43:25 +0000

Article URL: https://nealstephenson.substack.com/p/kdk-part-2-a-medical-mystery-from

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46470419

Points: 4

# Comments: 0

New comment by cl42 in "Terrence Malick's Disciples"

cl42 — Wed, 24 Dec 2025 01:02:49 +0000

I'm a huge Malick fan. If you are curious about his very unique style, this 20-minute video outlines why his cinematography is so unique and so powerful: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=waA3RXy13aA

Which genius from history would have been the best investor?

cl42 — Mon, 22 Dec 2025 06:24:41 +0000

Article URL: https://www.ft.com/content/5d2166f5-965b-45b2-a604-9f0a6fc19a35

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46351858

Points: 1

# Comments: 0

New comment by cl42 in "Prediction markets barely make money; sportsbooks make money"

cl42 — Sat, 20 Dec 2025 22:51:07 +0000

That's a fascinating point, thanks for sharing. I wonder if prediction markets will 'asymptotically converge' into similar sports betting strategies.

New comment by cl42 in "Prediction markets barely make money; sportsbooks make money"

cl42 — Sat, 20 Dec 2025 22:50:20 +0000

The article talks about how prediction markets' sports books are significantly more profitable. This has less to do with financial structures and more to do with who wants to make bets and where.

According to the article, prediction markets make magnitudes more money on potentially illegal (by today's standards in the US, anyway) sports betting than true event contracts.

Prediction markets barely make money; sportsbooks make money

cl42 — Sat, 20 Dec 2025 21:26:44 +0000

Article URL: https://www.ft.com/content/1ac03f57-bd5d-4196-85ff-4bd96dc69e0d

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46339782

Points: 4

# Comments: 5

New comment by cl42 in "NOAA deploys new generation of AI-driven global weather models"

cl42 — Sat, 20 Dec 2025 04:38:57 +0000

Have you considered launching your own weather prediction market instead?

Parametric insurance, energy traders, etc could be good markets.

New comment by cl42 in "Coca Cola has an executive dedicated to McDonald's"

cl42 — Fri, 05 Dec 2025 00:37:39 +0000

Seems like this is the _President_ of the division, so sounds like there's a nontrivially-sized team to manage.

New comment by cl42 in "Django 6"

cl42 — Thu, 04 Dec 2025 23:19:07 +0000

> Background Tasks.

Amazing. If this means no more management of Celery workers, then I am so happy! So nice to have this directly built _into_ Django, especially for very simple task scheduling.

New comment by cl42 in "How to Short the Bubbliest Firms"

cl42 — Sat, 29 Nov 2025 04:07:13 +0000

That’s awesome, thanks!

New comment by cl42 in "How to Short the Bubbliest Firms"

cl42 — Sat, 29 Nov 2025 02:31:11 +0000

Do you ever pair trade or hedge your shorts by buying indices? For example, short the quantum stocks but buy NASDAQ index (or call options) in case everything keeps going up?

New comment by cl42 in "LeJEPA: Provable and Scalable Self-Supervised Learning Without the Heuristics"

cl42 — Tue, 18 Nov 2025 04:55:46 +0000

This Yann LeCun lecture is a nice summary of the conceptual model behind JEPA (+ why he isn't a fan of autoregressive LLMs): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUmDRxV0krg

New comment by cl42 in "Marble by World Labs: Multimodal world model to create and edit 3D worlds"

cl42 — Thu, 13 Nov 2025 04:06:02 +0000

> There is another thing called world models that involves predicting the state of something after some action. But this is a very very limited area of research. My understanding of this is that there just isn't much data of action->reaction.

Folks interested in this can look up Yann LeCun's work on world models and JEPA, which his team at Meta created. This lecture is a nice summary of his thinking on this space and also why he isn't a fan of autoregressive LLMs: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUmDRxV0krg