Hacker News: cristiancavalli

New comment by cristiancavalli in "Tesla Sales Fall Off a Cliff Globally, Including Germany, Australia, and China"

cristiancavalli — Mon, 10 Mar 2025 23:05:16 +0000

The second link I posted is specifically from the Australian market. How becoming no 6 in 2024-2025 for a model selling is not “improvement” is logic I don’t understand. They shot to no 6 after not being in the market — that’s obvious improvement. Maybe your definition of improvement is not one I share. For clarification I’m not arguing against your claim Tesla outsells in Australia. I take issue with the unfounded claim they are not improving sales since it obviously is not true. That’s my bad I didn’t make that clear from the jump. That second article is just for the first two months of 2025 so again obvious improvement since 10/24.

New comment by cristiancavalli in "Tesla Sales Fall Off a Cliff Globally, Including Germany, Australia, and China"

cristiancavalli — Mon, 10 Mar 2025 22:31:44 +0000

Without any substantive argument you seem to be the one attacking strawmen. Learn to source your argument and present evidence or don’t come to argue. I’m addressing your points and you haven’t added anything of substance beyond stating what seems to be misinformed and unsubstantiated opinion as fact. Moving on.

New comment by cristiancavalli in "Tesla Sales Fall Off a Cliff Globally, Including Germany, Australia, and China"

cristiancavalli — Mon, 10 Mar 2025 21:05:57 +0000

> Things haven’t improved for BYD since then.

You stated it wasn’t getting better for byd. From the article:

BYD revenues in Q3 (July to September) 2024 were 201 billion yuan ($AU42.85 billion) – a record high for the brand and a jump of 24 per cent over the same period in 2023.

More on byds ascent from earlier this year: https://www.afr.com/companies/transport/byd-s-hybrid-ute-jum...

Going from not having market to be the no. 6 best selling is by definition getting better.

So yes you are wrong and sales are improving for byd.

New comment by cristiancavalli in "Tesla Sales Fall Off a Cliff Globally, Including Germany, Australia, and China"

cristiancavalli — Mon, 10 Mar 2025 04:09:26 +0000

Wrong: https://www.drive.com.au/news/byd-revenue-tops-tesla-for-the...

It’s very obviously improving for BYD.

New comment by cristiancavalli in "GPT-4.5"

cristiancavalli — Fri, 28 Feb 2025 00:34:59 +0000

One might say, if this were a test being done by a human in a history class, that the answer is 100% incorrect given the actual record of events and failure of statement to mention that actual record. You can argue the causes but that’s not the question.

New comment by cristiancavalli in "GPT-4.5"

cristiancavalli — Thu, 27 Feb 2025 23:17:47 +0000

Because Russia did undeniably open hostilities? They even admitted to this both times. The second admission being in the form of announcing a “special military operation” when the ceasefire was still active. We also have photographic evidence of them building forces on a border during a ceasefire and then invading. This is like responding to: “did Alexander the Great invade Egypt” by going on a diatribe about how much war there was in the ancient world and that the ptolemaic dynasty believed themselves the rightful rulers therefore who’s to say if they did invade or just take their rightful place. There is an objective record here: whether or not people want to try and hide it behind circuitous arguments is different. If we’re going down this road I can easily redefine any known historical event with hand-wavy nonsense that doesn’t actually have anything to do with the historical record of events just “vibes.”

New comment by cristiancavalli in "Claude 3.7 Sonnet and Claude Code"

cristiancavalli — Thu, 27 Feb 2025 22:19:34 +0000

First page of Google search results from 7 years ago: https://www.quora.com/You-have-2-cups-of-coffee-50-degrees-w...

People making up their own benchmarks for these things has confirmed one thing for me: The bias that people think they mostly have original thoughts is extremely strong. I find if I have a “good” idea someone has probably already thought of it as well and maybe even written about it. About 0.01% of the time do I have an idea that one may consider novel and even that’s probably my own bias and overstated. This example just confirms that these models don’t really seem to reason and have a really hard time doing the basic generalization they can with fewer examples.

New comment by cristiancavalli in "GPT-4.5"

cristiancavalli — Thu, 27 Feb 2025 20:32:50 +0000

What rumors? I looked and can’t find something to substantiate that #

New comment by cristiancavalli in "DOGE has 'god mode' access to government data"

cristiancavalli — Fri, 21 Feb 2025 20:28:44 +0000

That’s a bold statement. US is a young country. Empires that lasted longer by 5x have been consigned to the dust bin of history with nary but an oral tradition to remember them. If looking at americas military capability is any indication it is already in steep decline especially with regards to its seeming inability to not crash or destroy million/billon dollar hardware purely based on incompetence and short staffing. Its inability to prosecute an illegal war in the ME (occupation of Iraq and Afghanistan) is also a great example of the lack of exceptionalism exhibited by americas armed forces and their inept leadership.

New comment by cristiancavalli in "DOGE has 'god mode' access to government data"

cristiancavalli — Fri, 21 Feb 2025 20:23:19 +0000

The man engaged in massive human rights abuses…

https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/2022/06/el-salvador-p...

New comment by cristiancavalli in "DOGE has 'god mode' access to government data"

cristiancavalli — Fri, 21 Feb 2025 20:21:00 +0000

There are a litany of articles taking about the exact lying you say they are not doing:

https://www.businessinsider.com/doge-savings-estimate-websit...

https://www.axios.com/2025/02/19/doge-musk-audit-mistake-sav...

https://www.cbsnews.com/amp/news/doge-wall-of-receipts-shows...

So yeah they are lying; whether intentionally or unintentionally. At this point I’m not sure what is worse.

New comment by cristiancavalli in "DOGE has 'god mode' access to government data"

cristiancavalli — Fri, 21 Feb 2025 20:10:36 +0000

I think USAID could certainly be classified as “soft power.” I think throwing it all out makes little sense in light of the provably good things it did.

New comment by cristiancavalli in "DOGE has 'god mode' access to government data"

cristiancavalli — Fri, 21 Feb 2025 20:08:37 +0000

I postulate a slow, multi-generational decline in critical thinking skills (maybe this is driven, at least partially, by the over abundance of unchallenging media/entertainment) coupled with grievance politics and the bucket-of-crabs mentality that sets in when people start to sense the “pie getting smaller” or at least having reached its peak size.

New comment by cristiancavalli in "DOGE has 'god mode' access to government data"

cristiancavalli — Fri, 21 Feb 2025 20:00:45 +0000

What’s beyond a man who would lie about being a gamer (for credz), be so lazy in his lie he is instantly caught, double-down on his lie despite the obviousness of his inability to even use basic mechanics of said games and then beef with Internet personalities while leaking their private convos? I would wager this man has absolutely no ethic and is purely concerned with his own short-sighted greed and vanity.

New comment by cristiancavalli in "DOGE has 'god mode' access to government data"

cristiancavalli — Fri, 21 Feb 2025 19:56:06 +0000

Truly incredible how so many people can attribute “whiz kids” to a group of people who can’t even do the most basic due-diligence.

New comment by cristiancavalli in "DOGE has 'god mode' access to government data"

cristiancavalli — Fri, 21 Feb 2025 19:50:15 +0000

> So I agree that Congress should make/repeal laws that reduce the size of the executive branch so that only necessary powers are entrusted to the executive branch.

This is essentially what the courts are doing through the interrogation of the limits of the offices power. If that’s what you are looking for it’s already WAI.

New comment by cristiancavalli in "DOGE has 'god mode' access to government data"

cristiancavalli — Fri, 21 Feb 2025 19:28:04 +0000

He also lost a ton of $ and you can claim that was on purpose but he also made many attempts to get out of the deal so that would indicate otherwise. Also the sale of the subprime debt by holders suggest that risk was increasing in their outlooks and they wanted it off their books.

New comment by cristiancavalli in "Grok3 Launch [video]"

cristiancavalli — Wed, 19 Feb 2025 07:14:42 +0000

This is a patently false retelling — check your sources.

New comment by cristiancavalli in "Modern-Day Oracles or Bullshit Machines? How to thrive in a ChatGPT world"

cristiancavalli — Fri, 14 Feb 2025 18:38:22 +0000

Who is claiming that implications inevitability?Shutting down a valid line of discussion because of someone deciding to make a fallacious analogy seems like a proposition that would essentially stop all scientific discussion of intelligence more broadly. Also a great argument for limiting free speech/scientific discussion in general. Thoughts are not inherently dangerous unless acted upon in a dangerous way and supposing that some are so dangerous that we should simply not speak of them seems like an action that should be considered more thoroughly beyond “someone might do something rash”

New comment by cristiancavalli in "Modern-Day Oracles or Bullshit Machines? How to thrive in a ChatGPT world"

cristiancavalli — Tue, 11 Feb 2025 20:26:30 +0000

Not sure why this got so acrid but I don’t really have any reason to interact with someone saying I have “no merit” You might want to look at how bent-out-of-shape you are getting about a rando on the internet disagreeing with you.

Why I would lie about plugging in your problem into an LLM or solve it is beyond me; you know I don’t lose anything by admitting you’re right? In fact I would stand to gain from learning something new. I think you should examine how you approach an argument because every time you’ve replied it’s made it look like you’re just more desperate for someone to agree and are trying to bully people into agreeing by making ad hominem attacks. Despite it all I think you have merit as a person — even if you can’t make a cogent argument and just chase your tail on this topic.

I’m going to stop engaging with you for now on, but just as a piece of perspective for you: both o3 and Gemini pointed out how your problem is a derivation when asked — perhaps you might be overestimating its novelty. Gemini even cited derivations out the gate.