Hacker News: danny_codes

New comment by danny_codes in "SpaceX S-1"

danny_codes — Sat, 23 May 2026 01:57:14 +0000

We don't get to chose. 401Ks will be forced to buy within weeks because NASDAQ got bribed hard.

New comment by danny_codes in "SpaceX S-1"

danny_codes — Sat, 23 May 2026 01:56:26 +0000

Your 401k will be forced to buy it for you, not to worry. You don't get a choice! And apparently no shareholder voting power either.

New comment by danny_codes in "SpaceX S-1"

danny_codes — Sat, 23 May 2026 01:55:32 +0000

They had to buy the data-center first.

New comment by danny_codes in "SpaceX S-1"

danny_codes — Sat, 23 May 2026 01:53:05 +0000

Aside from satellite internet, I can't think of anything realistic.

New comment by danny_codes in "Shunning AI is the human choice"

danny_codes — Fri, 22 May 2026 05:28:03 +0000

Technology-brain is confusing because it's usually pretty well-educated people who presumably read. There are so many examples of technological adoption that has made our lives worse. Cars and social media are easy and widely obvious examples.

New comment by danny_codes in "Shunning AI is the human choice"

danny_codes — Fri, 22 May 2026 05:26:39 +0000

Absolutely not happy it happened. It would have been way way better for everyone if we replaced horse carriages with subways, trams, walking and biking. The fact that we chose cars was an enormous mistake currently costing people health and happiness in large swaths of the country. Indeed, over 40k people literally die each year. Your change of dying in a car is 0.5% over your lifetime. Your chance of a serious injury is ~30%.

New comment by danny_codes in "Shunning AI is the human choice"

danny_codes — Fri, 22 May 2026 05:24:52 +0000

Good analogy. Car-dependency is bad for humans. LLM.. society? is probably also bad for humans.

New comment by danny_codes in "AI eats the world (Spring 26) [pdf]"

danny_codes — Fri, 22 May 2026 04:26:22 +0000

Possible, but only if there’s regulatory capture. Which will be difficult since any country could produce a SOTA model that everyone can use for free

New comment by danny_codes in "OpenAI Is Preparing to File for an IPO Soon"

danny_codes — Fri, 22 May 2026 03:02:05 +0000

Retail includes people holding passive index funds.

New comment by danny_codes in "OpenAI Is Preparing to File for an IPO Soon"

danny_codes — Fri, 22 May 2026 03:00:54 +0000

Terrible for you, but very good for those with deep bribe pockets for the SEC

New comment by danny_codes in "OpenAI Is Preparing to File for an IPO Soon"

danny_codes — Fri, 22 May 2026 02:52:30 +0000

The exit strategy is your 401k. SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic are banking on rule changes to indexes that will force retail to buy at elevated premiums. This will likely generate enough artificial demand for insiders to exit before prices correct. At least that’s OpenAI’s plan.

Fortunately for them, the current SEC is highly in favor of short-term market manipulation.

New comment by danny_codes in "Growing tribe of jobless techies is stuck in Silicon Valley's new reality"

danny_codes — Wed, 20 May 2026 06:17:57 +0000

Every generation thinks the next is lazy or whatever. It’s universally wrong

New comment by danny_codes in "Graduates are booing pep talks on AI at college commencements"

danny_codes — Wed, 20 May 2026 06:13:49 +0000

Tale as old as boomer

New comment by danny_codes in "Graduates are booing pep talks on AI at college commencements"

danny_codes — Wed, 20 May 2026 06:12:53 +0000

I mean they got Schmidt.. I think they failed at conception

New comment by danny_codes in "AI eats the world (Spring 26) [pdf]"

danny_codes — Wed, 20 May 2026 06:08:54 +0000

I’ll put this in the hilarious category of “man outside his field of expertise”

New comment by danny_codes in "AI eats the world (Spring 26) [pdf]"

danny_codes — Wed, 20 May 2026 06:06:55 +0000

I doubt it. Compute costs tend to crater over time, and LLMs will almost certainly plateau. So the opposite is almost certainly the case: over time, it becomes cheaper to train.

New comment by danny_codes in "AI eats the world (Spring 26) [pdf]"

danny_codes — Wed, 20 May 2026 05:59:18 +0000

There are myriad compute providers. I suspect the inference market is hard to monopolize. But given our anti-trust track record the past 40 years I suppose it’s possible.

New comment by danny_codes in "Elon Musk has lost his lawsuit against Sam Altman and OpenAI"

danny_codes — Wed, 20 May 2026 05:55:00 +0000

I assumed it was trash already.

New comment by danny_codes in "I’ve joined Anthropic"

danny_codes — Wed, 20 May 2026 03:33:28 +0000

Not really. I mean it’s not like they are particularly far ahead. Maybe a small lead on model performance, but nothing particularly significant. All the major players are within 6 months of each other. As soon as model improvements plateau there will be no observable difference between providers.

New comment by danny_codes in "Why TUIs are back"

danny_codes — Mon, 04 May 2026 04:42:56 +0000

Except the part where you switch into the TUI from a normal bash prompt, and your normal bash invocations get eaten by the parser..

Which is essentially exactly the same thing, except your UI is trash relative to a normal GUI