Hacker News: davey48016

New comment by davey48016 in "OpenAI Is Preparing to File for an IPO Soon"

davey48016 — Wed, 20 May 2026 17:39:28 +0000

It depends at least partially on how much they're going to float. I think SpaceX is only planning about a 4% float, so even at $1.5T they only need around $60B. Which is a drop in the bucket.

EDIT - but that's just the IPO, I wasn't even thinking about how much insiders will want to sell after the lockup ends...

New comment by davey48016 in "A forecast of the fair market value of SpaceX's businesses"

davey48016 — Thu, 02 Apr 2026 17:31:02 +0000

You can make a mutual fund or ETF with any stocks you want, you just can't call it a NASDAQ 100 fund if you're not tracking the NASDAQ 100 index.

New comment by davey48016 in "Two pilots dead after plane and ground vehicle collide at LaGuardia"

davey48016 — Mon, 23 Mar 2026 17:57:54 +0000

According to this article, the air traffic controller gave the fire truck permission to cross the runway. So, it seems like they are part of the air traffic management system?

New comment by davey48016 in "Claude Code is suddenly everywhere inside Microsoft"

davey48016 — Mon, 02 Feb 2026 15:46:45 +0000

Yeah. It's using AI agents to rewrite C/C++ to Rust. https://x.com/gounares/status/2003543050698809544

New comment by davey48016 in "US trade deficit widens by the most in nearly 34 years in November"

davey48016 — Thu, 29 Jan 2026 16:51:53 +0000

My understanding is that while politicians generally focus on trade deficits being the result of unfair trade practices or high US labor costs, the majority of economists think that foreigners preference to invest in US financial markets is the main driver.

New comment by davey48016 in "TikTok settles just before social media addiction trial to begin"

davey48016 — Tue, 27 Jan 2026 21:21:33 +0000

They are also defendants in the same lawsuit, but they have not settled.

New comment by davey48016 in "Novo Nordisk launches Wegovy weight-loss pill in US, triggering price war"

davey48016 — Mon, 05 Jan 2026 20:25:53 +0000

But how many of those people would have ever lost the weight in the first place without GLP-1?

New comment by davey48016 in "Ozempic Melted Away Weight–and the Idea of 'Body Positivity'"

davey48016 — Mon, 05 Jan 2026 17:56:30 +0000

> You can’t outwork a bad diet.

I completely agree.

> I wouldn’t say what I do is incredibly hard. But it’s also not just “do whatever you want all the time”.

I think the difficulty varies from person to person a lot more than people realize. We all end up making decisions between what we want to eat and what we think we should eat, but the level of deprivation people feel when they forego the tasty option for the healthy option seems to vary.

I think we eat similarly, and it's not incredibly hard for me, but I think it's much harder for some people.

New comment by davey48016 in "Ozempic Melted Away Weight–and the Idea of 'Body Positivity'"

davey48016 — Mon, 05 Jan 2026 15:34:06 +0000

Rock climbing is probably going to be just as good at weight lifting. My understanding of the mental model here is:

Up until around age 60, your body adjusts your muscle mass based on usage. Somewhere around 60, you start losing muscle mass. If you have just enough muscle for day to day activities in a sedentary life at that point, then over time daily tasks like carrying groceries or standing up out of a chair are going to become prohibitively difficult. You need to do something that encourages your body to grow more muscle than you need for day to day life so that you can afford to lose some of it.

New comment by davey48016 in "Ozempic Melted Away Weight–and the Idea of 'Body Positivity'"

davey48016 — Mon, 05 Jan 2026 15:14:18 +0000

Even if you're active, body fat is still a contest between food drive and will power, which vary widely between people based on genetics and upbringing. Realistically, people with very high food drive and easy access to junk food are going to struggle to maintain a healthy level of body fat even with an active lifestyle.

I know several people who lift weights three times a week, run for at least thirty minutes three times a week, and were still consistently 20-40 pounds overweight before Ozempic and similar drugs.

New comment by davey48016 in "Ozempic Melted Away Weight–and the Idea of 'Body Positivity'"

davey48016 — Mon, 05 Jan 2026 15:07:47 +0000

There's more and more research that says you do need to do some sort of resistance/strength training to minimize morbidity and mortality. It doesn't have to be weight lifting, but if you're only doing cardio you're missing something.

New comment by davey48016 in "Your job is to deliver code you have proven to work"

davey48016 — Thu, 18 Dec 2025 15:36:04 +0000

A friend of mine has a junior engineer who does this and then responds to questions like "Why did you do X?" with "I didn't, Claude did, I don't know why".

New comment by davey48016 in "Oracle made a $300B bet on OpenAI. It's paying the price"

davey48016 — Fri, 12 Dec 2025 18:25:12 +0000

Java's in great shape now, but the period between when Oracle bought Sun (~2010) and about 2017 wasn't great, and there was a lot of concern about Java's future. I think most people who moved away from Java then haven't looked back.

New comment by davey48016 in "Uber is turning data about trips and takeout into insights for marketers"

davey48016 — Mon, 08 Dec 2025 17:04:50 +0000

This is why I use Lyft, and only install Uber when I'm traveling to a country where Lyft doesn't operate.

New comment by davey48016 in "Average DRAM price in USD over last 18 months"

davey48016 — Thu, 04 Dec 2025 19:10:23 +0000

I wonder if they caught wind, but they both thought they were competing for the same contract.

New comment by davey48016 in "Average DRAM price in USD over last 18 months"

davey48016 — Thu, 04 Dec 2025 19:08:09 +0000

Oil has been like that as well. High oil prices don't trigger nearly as much drilling as they used to.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/oil-production-prices-us-compan...

New comment by davey48016 in "RAM is so expensive, Samsung won't even sell it to Samsung"

davey48016 — Thu, 04 Dec 2025 14:26:55 +0000

Most of the things people say about efficient markets assume low barriers to entry. When it takes years and tens of billions of dollars to add capacity, it makes more sense to sit back and enjoy the margins. Especially if you think there's a non-trivial possibility that the AI build out is a bubble.

New comment by davey48016 in "Agentic Development Environment by JetBrains"

davey48016 — Wed, 03 Dec 2025 21:50:54 +0000

Yeah. Windows, Linux, and Web are listed under "What's Coming"

New comment by davey48016 in "High-income job losses are cooling housing demand"

davey48016 — Mon, 01 Dec 2025 21:26:26 +0000

I've gotten everything from unsolicited relationship advice to unsolicited nutrition advice. Some of it was actually pretty good advice.

New comment by davey48016 in "React and Remix choose different futures"

davey48016 — Mon, 01 Dec 2025 21:12:50 +0000

I haven't followed Remix 3 closely. What baggage are they taking from React apart from JSX?