<rss version="2.0" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"><channel><title>Hacker News: donavanm</title><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/user?id=donavanm</link><description>Hacker News RSS</description><docs>https://hnrss.org/</docs><generator>hnrss v2.1.1</generator><lastBuildDate>Fri, 15 May 2026 17:19:33 +0000</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="https://hnrss.org/user?id=donavanm" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"></atom:link><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by donavanm in "Ontario auditors find doctors' AI note takers routinely blow basic facts"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>> I would think for compliance reasons hospitals would not want to alter the records and only go by transcripts, but what do I know...<p>Transcription is both too good, and not good enough. The magic generative content only makes it worse.<p>Too good: a lot of commercial settings forbid persistent transcription because it makes an easily discoverable record of specific details. Thats a business risk that can be mitigated simply by having participant notes or summaries where the secretary can omit sensitive discussion or present consensus without specifics. And notes/summaries also introduce a interpretive defense with some “strategic ambiguity.”<p>Not good enough: if you look at STT its still probabilistic. The actual evaluation output will have just much data about alternate words/phrases as the selected choice. That leaves lots of room for creating alternate impressions or representing words that werent actually spoken. The fact that people _think_ a STT transcript is authoritative only makes this worse.<p>When you add generative inference in top (eg summarization) you exacerbate both problems. I suspect that counsel is more accepting of summaries as its less likely to contain specific discoverable terms, likely to diffuse responsibility and specificity, and your judge/jury will be more amenable to “the ai summary is wrong” than “the transcription selected the wrong vowels.”</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 15 May 2026 11:46:44 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48147416</link><dc:creator>donavanm</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48147416</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48147416</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by donavanm in "Networking changes coming in macOS 27"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Nice! Awesome coincidence, happy to hear from you. I feel like that team was somehow both the tail end of the system admin hacker era and on the forefront of what would become “devops” and system management infra. And now, cloud… cloud, as far as the eye can see.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Wed, 29 Apr 2026 02:25:50 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47943542</link><dc:creator>donavanm</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47943542</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47943542</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by donavanm in "OpenAI models coming to Amazon Bedrock: Interview with OpenAI and AWS CEOs"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>AWS took limited data retention <i>very</i> seriously starting around 2015. Before that it was reasonable controls and a strong culture preserving customer privacy. After 2015ish they started implementing strong controls, to where service team members cant feasibly access customer data in the service they run, and account termination starts a legit data removal process (“GDPR compliance”). They also take the terms of service and user agreement (“your data” etc) very seriously in general.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Wed, 29 Apr 2026 01:11:08 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47943008</link><dc:creator>donavanm</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47943008</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47943008</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by donavanm in "Networking changes coming in macOS 27"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Hah. I actually had opendirectory, OSX clients, and CentOS/RedHat clients running krb5 NFS off of netapp filers circa … 2008? Lots and lots of NFS in the (mansfield) hardware org at that time. I think krb on osx started getting hard around 2010 when they moved tickets and other credentials to a process aware in memory store. Became difficult to use TGT or machine identity for automation.<p>And yes, Im sure theres a very lonely radar bug for this. But even MM of revenue wont fix “edge cases” like this.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Tue, 28 Apr 2026 10:27:25 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47932549</link><dc:creator>donavanm</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47932549</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47932549</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by donavanm in "F-35 is built for the wrong war"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>You're conflating operational efficacy and strategic incompetence.<p>Operationally, and tactically AFAIK, the US has been dominant. Strategically it appears to be a massive failure, mainly because there was no actual achievable strategic goals going in to this war. Read some of the reporting on JCS advice and cabinet level decision making leading up to the war. It's illuminating (again and again) of the risks on overly loyal advisors and getting the advice you want, not the advice you need.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Tue, 21 Apr 2026 00:21:19 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47843015</link><dc:creator>donavanm</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47843015</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47843015</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by donavanm in "The buns in McDonald's Japan's burger photos are all slightly askew"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Your causality is backwards. The relatively loose monetary policy is because inflation (and economic activity) is too slow.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Wed, 15 Apr 2026 23:56:41 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47786944</link><dc:creator>donavanm</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47786944</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47786944</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by donavanm in "Allbirds, Inc. Announces Expansion into AI Compute Infrastructure"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>FYI "convertible" instruments aren't new, I suspect its just unusual phrasing that's tripping up your search. "Convertible bonds" or "convertible securities"
 are more common terms IME. Either way it's typically a bond/security that can be held _or_ converted at a preset strike price. Eg a convertible bond has a slightly discounted coupon (interest) for the holder. The bond can be converted to a fixed number of shares (equity), effectively at at a pre defined price/share. If the per-share price appreciates the bond holder can convert at capture the vallue above their strike price. If the associated equity falls (or doesnt appreciate) the bond holder 1) holds to maturity 2) is senior to equity holders for recovery.<p>In short, the allbirds financiers are taking a slightly reduced interest payment in exchange for the option to capture stock price appreciation if the gamble finds a greater fool.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Wed, 15 Apr 2026 16:03:45 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47781057</link><dc:creator>donavanm</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47781057</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47781057</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by donavanm in "US SEC preparing to scrap quarterly reporting requirement"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Weird, why wouldnt this fantastic startup want to report on their performance in a standardized and accountable manner for six months after collecting public money to pay out insiders and “sponsors”?<p>Surely they wouldnt mind bragging about their fantastic GAAP P&L in their filing docs. Maybe its the pesky quiet period theyre trying to avoid, so they can be even more transparent about finances and equity holders.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Tue, 17 Mar 2026 01:27:23 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47407474</link><dc:creator>donavanm</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47407474</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47407474</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by donavanm in "US SEC preparing to scrap quarterly reporting requirement"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Dude. SPACs are structurally a _terrible_ idea for any non-privileged investor. The sponsors 20-25% comp, the early warrants, etc. All of those costs are taken out of the bag-holder, sorry “investors”, expected value. The entire thing is setup to maximise info asymmetry and perverse incentives for the sponsors at the cost of bag holders. The “shitty tactics” _are why SPACs exist_.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Tue, 17 Mar 2026 01:23:08 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47407440</link><dc:creator>donavanm</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47407440</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47407440</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by donavanm in "US SEC preparing to scrap quarterly reporting requirement"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>I worked at a previous listed company where a single $6MM order of hardware being pushed out a week made quarterly p&l positive. Im absolutely sure the same situation occurred every other quarter as well in some part of the business I didnt see.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Tue, 17 Mar 2026 01:16:15 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47407392</link><dc:creator>donavanm</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47407392</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47407392</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by donavanm in "US private credit defaults hit record 9.2% in 2025, Fitch says"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>For the gp: the other side of the risk/reward coin is that private credit has limited upside. They're going to get the margin between the private 6/7/8/9/10% loan and their funding source + admin. Whereas PE can go “to the moon” if things work out.<p>morningstar had a nice writeup of the changing winds <a href="https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/469893/2026-private-credit-outlook-negative-margin-compression-and-rising-leverage-are-key-challenges" rel="nofollow">https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/469893/2026-private-cr...</a></p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 13 Mar 2026 05:08:14 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47360908</link><dc:creator>donavanm</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47360908</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47360908</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by donavanm in "Urea prices"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Yes. Nat gas -> ammonia -> urea. Theres some efficiencies that vary by site but its a hundred year old process of a true commodity. The price per therm _is_ the input.<p>Was listening to a fertilizer analyst the other day. She thought corn:urea was the better comparison. Nitrogen is the cost of marginal yields. And corn:urea shows the farmer being squeezed between their commodity output price and the required input cost. At some point its just not cost effective to grow corn, so you go soy, and reduced supply should pish up future prices. Oh look! More commodity price inflation pressure!</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Thu, 12 Mar 2026 08:16:11 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47347878</link><dc:creator>donavanm</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47347878</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47347878</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by donavanm in "Most of the US economy is in a recession"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>> if you're in the UK, Middle East, Australia (food is about to become more expensive & tricky)<p>Australias not in a terrible position. We produce ~50% of our NPK fertilizers used, and this is down primarily because were importing more from places with cheaper/distant environmental impact. Conversely, IIRC, UK and Ineos just shut down their significant last fertilizer plant and the north sea fields is its own thing.<p>Similarly we have suitable local gas supply for the needed feedstock. And you can see the govt already starting to restrict (“reserve”) exports. Which, of course, will contribute to the global problem.<p>AU as a whole is a commodity and food exporter.  Of course global commodity squeezes make Everyone poorer, I believe ricardo. I dont see our local position being anywhere as fragile as europe and me, unless Im missing something.<p>But I dont see AU being anywhere near as fragile as Sri Lanka circa 2022-23.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Mon, 09 Mar 2026 00:38:05 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47303356</link><dc:creator>donavanm</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47303356</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47303356</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by donavanm in "Why Your Load Balancer Still Sends Traffic to Dead Backends"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>IME you end up with both; something like discrete client, LB, and controller. You can’t rely on any one component to “turn itself off.“ ex a client or LB can easily get into a “wedged” state where it’s unable to take itself out of consideration for traffic. For example, I’ve had silly incidents based on bgp routes staying up, memory errors/pressure preventing new health check results from being parsed, the file systems is going read only, SKB pressure interfering with pipes, and of course, the classic difference between a dedicated health check in point versus actual traffic. All those examples it prevents the client or LB from removing itself from the traffic path.<p>An external controller is able to safely remove traffic from one of the other failed components. <i>In addition</i> the client can still do local traffic analysis, or use in band signaling, to identify anomalous end points and remove itself or them from the traffic path.<p>Good active probes are actually a pretty meaningful traffic load. It was a HUGE problem for flat virtual network models like a heroku a decade ago. This is exacerbated when you have more clients and more in points.<p>As a reference, this distributed model it is what AWS moved to 15 years ago. And if you look at any of the high throughput clouds services or CDNs they’ll have a similar model.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Wed, 25 Feb 2026 06:47:01 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47148173</link><dc:creator>donavanm</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47148173</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47148173</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by donavanm in "I need AI that scans every PR and issue and de-dupes"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Thank you for actually testing <i>and</i> measuring an implementation & hypothesis. I appreciate the leads for evaluating my own similarity problems and efficacy.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Mon, 16 Feb 2026 04:06:13 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47030775</link><dc:creator>donavanm</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47030775</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47030775</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by donavanm in "US businesses and consumers pay 90% of tariff costs, New York Fed says"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>> no one could explain how they got those numbers.<p>Not quite. The big board percentages were effectively us (imports - exports) / imports * 0.5 ~ fuzzy adjustment based on feels. Your point remains theyre amateurish and bely a lack of any grounding to actual foreign import duties. But that is a direct way of representing a mercantilist world view where net imports bad, exports strong.<p><a href="https://www.investopedia.com/trade-experts-question-trump-team-method-for-calculating-tariffs-11708336" rel="nofollow">https://www.investopedia.com/trade-experts-question-trump-te...</a></p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 13 Feb 2026 03:34:15 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46998612</link><dc:creator>donavanm</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46998612</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46998612</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by donavanm in "Bitcoin gets a zero price target in wake of Burry warning"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>… and keep the interest from those and their “high value commercial paper.” Now, why this is better than a money market fund, and regulated similarly… no idea.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 06 Feb 2026 11:33:06 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46911636</link><dc:creator>donavanm</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46911636</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46911636</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by donavanm in "Bitcoin gets a zero price target in wake of Burry warning"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>I suspect the issue is they still need cash for 1. dividends 2. Further dilution, er acquisition. They have some put away for the near term dividends. But you can see the negative feedback loop if they cant make those payments/acquisitions. Having a huge hole in the books wont help for raising cash through lending, or asset sales realizing the loss.<p>Re: 10% specifically, i havent checked but Im guessing thats a floor on their cost basis for a bunch of holdings going negative.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 06 Feb 2026 03:55:38 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46908905</link><dc:creator>donavanm</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46908905</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46908905</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by donavanm in "Ubisoft cancels six games including Prince of Persia and closes studios"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Did you just answer your own question? Sure, the share price is a psychological element and, in conjunction with pre-fractional-ownership, it helps explain the prevalence of splits above $100/share. But no, the individual unit price doesnt affect true “value”, marketcap, or fundamentals like future discounted profit model.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 23 Jan 2026 02:31:31 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46727631</link><dc:creator>donavanm</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46727631</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46727631</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by donavanm in "Ask HN: Did past "bubbles" have so many people claiming we were in a bubble?"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>I personally remember the string of “us re makes no damn sense” articles in the financial press end of ‘06 and early ‘07. Iirc credit ratings and mortgage exposure specifically was being widely panned by 07. And still it took another year for it to shake out to the financial system at large.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Wed, 21 Jan 2026 00:00:07 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46699397</link><dc:creator>donavanm</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46699397</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46699397</guid></item></channel></rss>