But I do have quite close relationships to several families and their children.

Some parents actively teach kids to read before going to school (despite certain developmental challenges the kid has), while others see it as a job of teachers to teach meaning of left/right or how to tie a shoe (not joking).

Btw. Most (All?) management techniques could be compared to dog training (positive and negative reinforcements), it does not make it bad or immoral.

> But when you say that "parents are not powerless" your implication overstates that power. There's no way to force a child to be curious or to care about a subject.

By “not powerless” I meant exactly what I said, power is NOT 0%. And yes, as person grows, that power/influence diminishes fast, so I would say early influence is especially crucial.

Btw. If all kids of a same parents have “bad manners” (kick and scream when others silently read), while all kids of other parent are well behaved (to a reasonable extent), then either manners are a genetical trait or maybe nurture part is quite an important thing.

(Btw. Last week I was in Istanbul; maybe unlucky, but I did not like kebab in Turkey, ingredients were somehow strange)

Vacuum does not dissipate heat well (extra engineering in that department)

Vacuum is never 100% vacuum. If you have some dust in the air, it will mostly flow to the direction of the airflow, but in vacuum dust particles will do random walk thing and settle on surfaces.

In both cases I disagree (to some extent)

Parents are not powerless.

You can’t force love for geography, but you can choose to ignore or give full attention when child asks some geographical question.

Same with setting boundaries and teaching to follow the rules. Kids definitely test boundaries, and thats good, they should learn to negotiate and sometimes win, but still kids that know boundaries at home will know boundaries in the classroom.

Is genocide a war? Yes or no? (Its definitely worse, but is it actually war if one side does not resist?)

Without “once a guy said …”, neither of them are a war.

War involves battles, it involves fight, it involves opposition.

This answer is not for you personally, but for me and other readers. I see you are not interested in other opinions.

You make it A bit black or white.

Llm will not take jobs, at worst it will shift jobs.

If we will allow current llm to develop code without inspecting it, we will still want to provide direction and expect certain quality level. So in “worst” case you will need at least design/QA people.

If code will be free, and it will increase 1000x, you probably will need 100x design/QA people. (Unit tests written by same llm, if not reviewed are worthless as assurance). I’m absolutely certain that humans will have plenty of software related jobs.

As to programmer deskilling, another parallel: lot of programmers have very little knowledge of how to deal with databases correctly/efficiently, because they are somewhat lazy and good tooling/orms allow to get away with it, but there are also plenty of devs who do know how db works and how to design a db schema for their app access as it improves overall system performance and correctness. Same with LLM case, having knowledge of what happens in code, gives an edge, and competitive/curious/overly-responsible people will continue reading things in depth (llms also make learning somewhat easier). And its definitely not 1%.

Furthermore, llm prices are subsidised a lot now, so it’s yet to be seen if llms are economically viable as vibe coding agents on a large scale.

All will be ok, don’t worry too much.

I have no data for neither, so I’ll wait for numbers.

Will LLMs stay being useful? Definitely. Will in 10 years touching/changing code be somewhat niche, like ASM development is now? Not clear yet.

And optimisations are not a given, a lot of low hanging fruit are already taken, because it actually saves lots of money already now.

Economics depend on that a lot.

- ignore that it is annoying to some. (To certain degree, it is unavoidable and it is ok)

- reserve 1 hour meeting every month(week?) to demo/review/present.

- get buy-in and support words from manager

Somewhat relevant parallel..

Calculators exist, but not all is lost:

- lot of (most?) people can do basic multiplication (I’m too lazy to fetch any stats but I hope you’ll have some observations in your bubble dear reader)

- some people actually compete in mental calculations https://worldmentalcalculation.com/mental-calculations-world...

Same will be with software devs, enthusiasts will continue to exist.

Iran didn’t agree to all US/Israel points. Iran felt that they have leverage and can resist. (On the other side, Iran’s leverage/power was not obvious enough to US administration, so US started the war hoping to win quickly).

Guerrilla groups fight because they believe they can win / make s difference, not necessarily in military sense. e.g. Vietnam didn’t win the war on the battle field, US got politically exhausted/tired and retreated (non-military victory is still a victory)

In all cases groups that fight believe they can win somehow eventually. Brainwashed suicide bombers, also believe (less due to ambiguity, more due to brainwashing part)