How can you not think that makes you sound like a complete moron?

The general lack of intellectual curiosity is just mind blowing to me.

Some might even say Dirac like but I so NO, this simply does not go far enough.

I will remember this moment for the remainder of my life. Thank you.

The question is not human in the loop but how many humans in the loop?

Then I think about what does a team of 3-4 centaurs look like? For me, it looks like the unemployment line. I am sure there are people on this board who are in the top 5% of whatever the domain is in question. They will be part of the centaur while most people are just redundant.

If you try to counter this with a nineteenth century economic heuristic about coal use , I don't think it works.

The other side politically doesn't just have different views, they are barely human knuckle draggers. Basically neanderthals, so who cares if they go extinct.

I had only started using Opus 4.6 this week. Sonnet it seems like is much better at having a long conversation with. Gemini is good for knowledge retrieval but I think Opus 4.6 has caught up. The biggest thing that made Gemini worth it for me the last 3 months is I crushed it with questions. I wouldn't have even got 10% of the Opus use that I got from Gemini before being made to slow down.

I have a deep research going right now on 3.1 for the first time and I honestly have no idea how I am going to tell if it is better than 3.

It seems like agentic coding Gemini wasn't as good but just asking it to write a function, I think it only didn't one shot what I asked it twice. Then fixed the problem on the next prompt.

I haven't logged in to bother with chatGPT in about 3 months now.

Personally, I don't think the current frontier models would help the company I work for all that much. The company exists because of the skill in networking and human friendships. The company exist in spite of technological incompetence.

At some level of ability though, a threshold will be reached and a competitor will eat our lunch whole by building a new business around this future model.

It is not going to be a % more productive than our business. It is like the opposite of 0 to 1. The company I work for will go from 1 to zero really quick because we simply won't be able to compete on anything besides those network ties. Those ties will break fast if every other dimension of the business is not even competitive and really in a different category.

You don't have to drive that much to figure out that what is impressive is keeping the car on the road and then traveling further or faster than what you could do by walking. For that though you actually have to have a destination in mind and not just spin the wheels. Post pointless metrics on how fast the wheels spin for your blog no one reads in the vague hope of some hyper Warhol 15 milliseconds of "fame".

The models for me are just making the output of the average person an insufferable bore.

It was sticker price of $33,000 adjusted for inflation:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ford_Taurus_%28second_generati...

I don't think it would even feel safe to drive at all compared to what we have got use to with modern cars. It broke down 3 times while I had it and stranded me on the road. No cell phone of course to call anyone.

These were the mythic "good ol days".

Sonnet 4.6 extended on the free plan is just incredible. I am just complete floored by it. The conversation I just had with it was nuts. It was from Dario mentioning something like a 20% chance Claude is conscious or something crazy like that. I have always tried that conversation with previous models but it got boring so fast.

There is something with the way it can organize context without getting lost that completely blows Gemini away.

Maybe even more so that it was the first time it felt like a model pushed back a little and the answers were not just me ultimately steering it into certain answers. For the free plan that is nuts.

In terms of being conscious, it is the first time I would say I am not 100% certain it is just a very useful, very smart , stochastic parrot. I wouldn't want to say more than that but 15-20% doesn't sound so insane to me as it did 2 hours ago.

The only thing that is more annoying to me than market fundamentalist, neo-liberal bullshit is emotional appeals that sound right on paper but have a total disregard for higher order effects and unintended consequences.

If you just google ontology you probably end up reading some Heidegger and conclude how deep these guys must be.

Whenever I hear Karp say it I always think of it like he is saying "Database" or "The Database". "What makes Palantir different is Database".

I think so much of Palantir is performative and for sales performances.

Francis Bacon and The Brutality of Fact is a wonderful documentary that goes over this. Bacon's process was that he painted every day for a long time, kept the stuff he liked and destroyed the crap. You are just not seeing the bad random knob twiddling he did.

Picasso is even better. Picasso had some 100,000 works. If you look at a book that really gets deep to the more obscure stuff, so much of Picasso is half finished random knob twiddling garbage. Stuff that would be hard to guess is even by Picasso. There is this myth of the genius artist with all the great works being this translation of the fully formed vision to the medium.

In contrast, even the best music from musical programming languages is not that great. The actual good stuff is so very thin because it is just so much effort involved in the creation.

I would take the analogy further that vibe coding in the long run probably develops into the modern DAW while writing c by hand is like playing Paganini on the violin. Seeing someone playing Paganini in person makes it laughable that the DAW can replace a human playing the violin at a high level. The problem though is the DAW over time changes music itself and people's relation to music to the point it makes playing Paganini in person on the violin a very niche art form with almost no audience.

I read the argument on here ad nauseam about how playing the violin won't be replaced and that argument is not wrong. It is just completely missing the forest for the trees.

Or do you feel a type of connection to these animals and want to preserve them?

The AI doomer argument is so stupid. It is an eschatological religious idea for a mind based on scientism.

I also wouldn't doubt that most AI doomers hate one or both of their parents and the AI doomer mindset is a projection.

We must live on different planets.

It seems to me that the news has always kind of been mass bullshit. What has changed is we democratized the production of mass bullshit.

Now everyone can make their own version of "Remember the Maine, to Hell with Spain!"

Not to mention, podcasts go deeper on subjects than any investigative journalist ever really could given the format.

I thought my fathers old setup always sounded amazing when I was younger. Coming back to it 20 years later though, it sounds stupidly scooped to my ears. Same speakers but what has changed is the music I was playing on them and what my ears expect to hear. 20 years ago I was more into guitar/bass/drum/vocal music that these speakers were made for.

There is really no such thing as "sound quality". There is just different EQ, frequency range, etc.

Setting up the argument between agency/no agency misses the point IMO.

I rolled the bones myself and it seemed like it worked, therefor X.

No, I rolled the bones myself and it seemed like it worked, therefor Y.

We would first have to define what we are even talking about by "energy" and "workout" to have any kind of real conversation.

The popular mind on this subject is also not even up to the point we sequenced the genome. What people think of as truth is mostly repeating things from the 1990s.I rolled the bones myself and it seemed like it worked.

Fridman is quite good at letting the guest speak. The whole show is exceptionally good at keeping a conversation moving.

I think there are technical haters on Lex but that is stupid because Lex is in sales. He is selling a podcast. From a sales perspective, Lex is incredibly good.

It is like saying the chef is only a good cook because of the quality of the ingredients. Yes, exactly. The chef isn't a farmer growing their own organic vegetables for the dishes. The art is in the choice and ability to source quality ingredients and then bring it all together as a full dish.

A podcast is not a lecture or audio book.