Allow me to do a slight modification on my assessment: Iran found out they won't need a nuclear deterrent to avoid ANY future aggression; modern, cheap drones and conventional missile loadouts will do just fine. Money they would continue spending on nuclear enrichment can be better spent elsewhere, military.

Between this and Ukraine, the logic of a nuclear warhead deterrent might be considered a paradigm relic from 20th century.

Even if USA insist on Israel-Hezbollah (and so Lebanon) be kept apart from any deal to end their war in Iran, it would still mean a terrible strategic and diplomatic disaster between USA and Israel, because Israel Gov' will be left with two terrible scenarios:

1) Trump Admin' will concede to Iran they'd be leaving the region and leaving Israel to defend itself alone, because the Hormuz being open for business and the Gulf states being spared would be enough; or

2) USA will have to resume hostilities, meaning domestically Trump will have to explain the US Military is obliged to continue the war effort for as long as Israel want.

IMHO don't see how Israel-US can politically survive those two scenarios.

Almost correct, but days ago there was an UN meeting where a resolution to bring forth a naval response from many countries to reopen the Strait by force was voted, and it was vetoed by China and Russia (IIRC also by France).

That news became old very quickly, but it was a move done to force USA to concede a ceasefire because it made the US the only player who could make an offer with Iran to reopen the Strait, even if in undesirable terms.

The fact that this meeting happened and a resolution was blocked made Trump and the US incapable of blaming the EU of not helping reopening the Strait.

Russia is the aggressor there, and I don't recall Ukraine targeting other countries with Russian bases. Also, the war in Ukraine is about Russia expanding territory so it involved boots and occupation since day one, which is not the case in Iran.

The largest military the world has ever known was recklessly used towards a foe against decades of internal warning not to go there. People on both sides who didn't ask for this war paid with their lives.

High gas prices might have been a great cause for it ending, but the win for the world is that a escalation towards WWIII was averted, and that even idiotic leaders have learned that the world is a complex system and there's no such thing as a far away war anymore.

Opening the Strait, renouncing nuclear program, renouncing ballistic program, regime change. Even Israel will be forced to retreat from Lebanon.

Iran won by choking the Strait and telling USA and Israel they could endure far longer than their aggressors could endure a few missiles and domestic support drop.

A Pakistani-made taco was not in my radar for today.

I guess gas prices in US will cool down to pre-war price averages and the pressure not to resume aggression will be huge.

Iranian strategy in this war will be studied for ages.

The administration proudly call it that, formal documents call it that, and war they wage. It is a Department of War.

A remarkable exception of non-doublespeak nowadays.

Discord IMO won because of a killer trio: 1) good comms 2) full history 3) faster UI over bloated Slack.

For those people, an AI better (much better?) than a coin toss is the goal, if it means not relying on people.

Personally, I already deal weekly with people that veemently antagonizes every line of thinking if it isn't what ChatGPT told them before a meeting.

It's not a bluff, since information is still 100% open to both players, but it changes dynamic a lot.

The only top-athlete that I see do the same is Max Verstappen, who is know to play competitive racing-sims online even hours before a real F1 race.

> The British historian Martin Gilbert believes that "many non-Jews resented the round-up", his opinion being supported by German witness Dr. Arthur Flehinger who recalls seeing "people crying while watching from behind their curtains". Rolf Dessauer recalls how a neighbor came forward and restored a portrait of Paul Ehrlich that had been "slashed to ribbons" by the Sturmabteilung. "He wanted it to be known that not all Germans supported Kristallnacht."

This passage is particulary eerie IMHO, since I've been reading "I don't condone this" of current world events over and over.

> In 1938, just after Kristallnacht, the psychologist Michael Müller-Claudius interviewed 41 randomly selected Nazi Party members on their attitudes towards racial persecution. Of the interviewed party members, 63% expressed extreme indignation against it, 5% expressed approval, and the remaining 32% were noncommittal.

Also particurlarly eerie to me. Yet the regime went on.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kristallnacht [2] https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/D%C3%BCsseldorfer_Abkommen_(19...

We (I'm from there) used to have a map like yours, but that was years ago. But the database should be easy to ask for access or a copy, even if slightly dated.

Brazil has many "valleys" such as SPV you can use to enrich your data.

It is factually and correctly stated that any non-white, non-100%-perfectly-English-speaking person is a suspect in ICE views, detainable with no recourse. They said it themselves, the administration said that themselves, and there's ample evidence online of them enjoying doing it.

It is why people like me, who have legal status and business to conduct in USA are not gonna risk detention and deportation while ICE/DHS is operating. I'm Italian, my name is of Spanish origin, and I lived most of my life in Brazil so my accent is Brazilian. I have zero odds of convincing and ICE agent my passport isn't fake.

So, I'm out of going to Vegas, or doing talks, or anything else I have enjoyed doing in the USA in the past.

Venezuela is not. They're heavily sanctioned by the USA and have to do their petrol business elsewhere - also not using US dollars as exchange currency. POTUS made clear this situation will not continue as is.