Hacker News: freefrog1234aa

New comment by freefrog1234aa in "Fire at Starlink site in Bulgaria after suspected sabotage in Poland"

freefrog1234aa — Thu, 15 Oct 2026 07:04:33 +0000

Not since the grain corridor agreement. This agreement made commercial shipping off limits.

New comment by freefrog1234aa in "Fire at Starlink site in Bulgaria after suspected sabotage in Poland"

freefrog1234aa — Thu, 15 Oct 2026 07:01:07 +0000

Europe has 4 times the population of Russia. The only successful attacks in the past 20 years have been against politically divided countries, like Syria, Venezuela and Ukraine (civil war since 2014). Iran is united, and so is Europe.

Lavrov has indicated he knows Russia would lose a conventional war against Europe by saying that an attack by Europe would start a quick (i.e. nuclear) war.

I agree that the US would stay out, especially if it is nuclear.

New comment by freefrog1234aa in "Fire at Starlink site in Bulgaria after suspected sabotage in Poland"

freefrog1234aa — Thu, 15 Oct 2026 06:19:25 +0000

Europe lacks diesel, so that is not a motive for war.

Russia started exporting diesel to the US with Trump's new deal, indicating Russia has a surplus.

New comment by freefrog1234aa in "Fire at Starlink site in Bulgaria after suspected sabotage in Poland"

freefrog1234aa — Thu, 15 Oct 2026 06:15:38 +0000

Lavrov had said it would be a short war if Europe attacks, suggesting they will use nuclear weapons immediately. Russia knows it cannot win a conventional war with Europe.

They don't need a war with Europe for conscription, just to declare war on Ukraine instead of a Special Military Operation. There is pressure on Putin to do this to finish the war quickly, but he is resisting.

New comment by freefrog1234aa in "Fire at Starlink site in Bulgaria after suspected sabotage in Poland"

freefrog1234aa — Thu, 15 Oct 2026 06:09:42 +0000

Russia is only winning in Ukraine because Ukraine has been in a civil war since 2014. They can take oblasts in the East of Ukraine but have no hope of taking Western Ukraine. Attacking a united Europe is unfeasible. I suspect the war drums in Europe are more to support unpopular leaders like Macron and Mertz.

New comment by freefrog1234aa in "US and Iran agree to provisional ceasefire"

freefrog1234aa — Wed, 08 Apr 2026 03:45:57 +0000

Iran has repeatedly stated they will not develop nuclear weapons.

New comment by freefrog1234aa in "F-15E jet shot down over Iran"

freefrog1234aa — Sat, 04 Apr 2026 04:22:23 +0000

The military advantage of colonial powers, and the political weakness of the pawn countries is reduced making the great game harder. Venezuela and Syria fell because internally they were divided and the US could find traitors willing to sell out. That didn't happen in Iran, and Cuba will defend themselves if they are united.

New comment by freefrog1234aa in "F-15E jet shot down over Iran"

freefrog1234aa — Sat, 04 Apr 2026 04:08:18 +0000

Russia has rebuilt their military, which was neglected at the beginning of the war. The Russian and Ukrainian armies have adopted to drone warfare, which the rest of the world lags behind.

New comment by freefrog1234aa in "Why the US Navy won't blast the Iranians and 'open' Strait of Hormuz"

freefrog1234aa — Wed, 01 Apr 2026 04:08:01 +0000

Imagine being king of a gulf monarchy watching the "no kings" protests. Probably censored.

New comment by freefrog1234aa in "Airbus to migrate critical apps to a sovereign Euro cloud"

freefrog1234aa — Sat, 20 Dec 2025 22:59:54 +0000

Yes. I worked for a Cambodian telco, when there was a range of Alcatel, Nokia, etc switching equipment across 10 carriers. Huawei swept the lot within 2 years, and Alcatel staff told me they were losing everywhere - they couldn't match the price or technology. This was before the US decided to sanction Huawei.

New comment by freefrog1234aa in "Wall Street ruined the Roomba and then blamed Lina Khan"

freefrog1234aa — Fri, 19 Dec 2025 22:47:49 +0000

He does address the issue. He said there are provisions that allowed the merger if iRobot had admitted they were on the verge of bankruptcy. They didn't because the purchase price would be lower, hence less for shareholders and the CEO, etc wouldn't have big payoffs. In a word, greed.