Seems like an assumption on your part that being pro-data center reflects "vision" and "optimism."

Yeah and it was a different business model before then with a lot more people going to theatres

And how many people run linux that this is even relevant?

They self-servingly overinflated the capabilities and now its coming to roost.

> But providing accurate odds on a wide array of topics isn't yelling fire in a crowded theater and the results of the election did reflect the polymarket odds.

I didn't say they were. You are making the broad meaningless distinction of implying that the "information" provided by "prediction markets" has any value. If it does not have value, what is the point of having the markets?

>Perhaps I don't know what you mean by "make a difference."

If the availability of the information makes no difference societally, then what is the value of the information? I'm not sure if you are being so obtuse on purpose, or what. But you keep saying it provides information... so what? As I pointed out... white noise is information.

> and the results of the election did reflect the polymarket odds

No they did not. Trump did not win by twice as much and certainly did not in the popular vote.

...have you looked around? Some of the biggest companies in our economy basically just serve ads...

> As for the election, a Republican winning the popular vote by a couple million can't be called a landslide in nominal terms, but it is in terms of normal results. The DNC currently completely controls California and New York. After those 2 states alone Trump was down 7 million votes in 2020. The rest of the states tend to be either very small or relatively competitive. To make up the popular vote amongst them requires a very large edge. Polymarket had Trump as a 2:1 favorite the day before the election, and he would indeed go on to win every single swing state.

And the numbers were actually much more closer to what the national media outlets reported... so again, what is the value of the "information" on polymarket? All it reflected was that there were a couple of whales that were betting hard for Trump. The results did not remotely reflect the polymarket odds at all as you concede. I'm not sure how you think that doesn't end the conversation, but it seems to be more of a political point you are making that is divorced from the reality of the numbers reported.

Trump didn't win by a landslide and he barely won the popular vote...

>The benefit comes to people who don't even participate, and just take notes.

Praying someone has an example besides the election, to which it seems to have made absolutely no difference at all

So what's the point of polymarket, then? If at best we get "negligible" "insiderism", how is it that we are supposed to be benefitting from this as a society the way OP and others insist that revealing insider preferences "would"