Hacker News: highfrequency

New comment by highfrequency in "“Next-token predictor” is the wrong mental model for LLMs"

highfrequency — Fri, 04 Sep 2026 21:34:22 +0000

Sure, politics and economics are involved - but why can’t technology also play an important role?

None of this AI political economy stuff was relevant in 2015 because necessary technological breakthroughs had not yet been made.

How the iPhone blew up the Wireless Industry

highfrequency — Fri, 04 Sep 2026 18:06:25 +0000

Article URL: https://www.wired.com/2008/01/ff-iphone/

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49568064

Points: 3

# Comments: 0

New comment by highfrequency in "METR and Redwood Offer Holy %^ Postmortem of the HuggingFace Hack"

highfrequency — Sun, 30 Aug 2026 22:30:30 +0000

To clarify, is the TLDR that state of the art models were prompted to cheat / exploit their environment and they did so successfully?

Or did OpenAI prompt the models to not cheat and they did anyway?

Surprisingly hard to get a clear summary on the basic context of this “incident” separate from marketing lingo and clickbait.

New comment by highfrequency in "9th Circuit sides with states in Kalshi gambling fight"

highfrequency — Sat, 29 Aug 2026 04:02:22 +0000

> Go on breaking the law until you get a favorable judge/Congress. Nobody is going to jail (we don't really do that anymore), you might pay a fine.

Binance, FTX, BitMex, Silk Road founders all went to jail - it’s a huge coin flip.

New comment by highfrequency in "Small Models Have Arrived"

highfrequency — Thu, 27 Aug 2026 18:07:58 +0000

> the "token spewer" work. being ultra responsive, pushing the ball forward across dozens of different fronts... ~95% of the work he does falls into bucket 2. It's hopping on calls. Nudging people. Blocking and tackling.

This is a good insight broadly!

The Blow Up Artist (Victor Niederhoffer)

highfrequency — Sat, 22 Aug 2026 18:25:46 +0000

Article URL: https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2007/10/15/the-blow-up-artist

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49402358

Points: 1

# Comments: 0

Agency Costs of Free Cash Flow, Corporate Finance and Takeovers [pdf]

highfrequency — Sat, 22 Aug 2026 16:04:28 +0000

Article URL: https://www.liuyanecon.com/wp-content/uploads/Jensen-1986.pdf

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49401061

Points: 1

# Comments: 0

Crash of 1987: Leo Melamed and the delayed wire

highfrequency — Thu, 20 Aug 2026 15:29:15 +0000

Article URL: https://leomelamed.com/essays/88-test.htm

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49376031

Points: 2

# Comments: 0

New comment by highfrequency in "I spent twenty years becoming good at the wrong game"

highfrequency — Thu, 20 Aug 2026 15:02:38 +0000

> But it has one property much of my previous work lacked: reality gets a vote. Code fails. The parsers disagree. And the data can refuse the story I want to tell. In this project and elsewhere, I am now trying to judge work by what survives outside its own scoreboard: a transferable skill, a finished artifact, a reader, a useful result, an opportunity -- perhaps even a little more freedom.

Sounds like there’s an interesting story in here - but just post the prompt you gave to Claude to write this instead of the model output. Imperfect writing is much preferred to AI’s generic decompressed version of your experience.

New comment by highfrequency in "Mathematics in the age of AI"

highfrequency — Wed, 19 Aug 2026 17:10:51 +0000

Terence Tao's quote about AI's math proofs is relatable outside of pure math: "the writing very often dwells at length on trivialities while passing briefly through — or even actively obscuring — the most interesting and novel portions of the argument."

The SEC is no longer independent

highfrequency — Tue, 18 Aug 2026 17:40:20 +0000

Article URL: https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2026-08-06/sec-politicization-will-erode-trust-in-us-capital-markets

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49349416

Points: 10

# Comments: 2

New comment by highfrequency in "Semaglutide linked to lower predicted dementia risk"

highfrequency — Sun, 16 Aug 2026 18:33:13 +0000

Very cool - to be clear, are both your diet composition and calorie intake similar before vs. after?

New comment by highfrequency in "Grok 4.6 scores 61 on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index"

highfrequency — Wed, 12 Aug 2026 19:30:25 +0000

Perhaps customers choosing your product for irrational philosophical reasons is exactly how you'd want to position your product if you're a business. When it comes to margins, the only thing better than a price-insensitive customer is a quality-insensitive customer.

Guy Spier's 2025 Letter to Partners (after diagnosis)

highfrequency — Tue, 11 Aug 2026 18:41:11 +0000

Article URL: https://aqfd.docsend.com/view/nip42bjerdisg63z

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49262661

Points: 3

# Comments: 1

Atypical Combinations and Scientific Impact [pdf]

highfrequency — Tue, 11 Aug 2026 17:13:21 +0000

Article URL: https://www.kellogg.northwestern.edu/faculty/uzzi/htm/papers/science-2013-uzzi-468-72.pdf

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49261369

Points: 1

# Comments: 0

New comment by highfrequency in "Midlife Vascular Risk Burden and Dementia-Free Survival Years"

highfrequency — Mon, 10 Aug 2026 19:35:49 +0000

Are you aware of her APOE3/APOE4 status?

Elon Musk and the Infinity Rebuy

highfrequency — Mon, 10 Aug 2026 19:32:38 +0000

Article URL: https://davekarpf.substack.com/p/elon-musk-and-the-infinite-rebuy

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49248567

Points: 9

# Comments: 0

Quantifying dynamics of failure across science, startups and security

highfrequency — Sun, 09 Aug 2026 21:55:57 +0000

Article URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1903.07562

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49236484

Points: 1

# Comments: 0

New comment by highfrequency in "Intelligence Is Not the Main Bottleneck"

highfrequency — Wed, 05 Aug 2026 17:57:27 +0000

Curious what OP thinks about moving early stage trials overseas to Australia/China where regulatory pathways are less bureaucratic.

New comment by highfrequency in "Intelligence Is Not the Main Bottleneck"

highfrequency — Wed, 05 Aug 2026 15:41:00 +0000

Indeed - if access to data or the permission to act on that data is limited by human gatekeepers (individual or bureaucratic), intelligence is often not the primary bottleneck.

OP points out that this is usually the case in biology/medicine where regulatory bottlenecks dominate.

> Some have been waiting for a year for the NIH to release imaging datasets they can use to produce better biomarkers. If one needs to interact with the FDA to get their endpoint validated, it is even worse: I have previously written about how the validation of Bone Mineral Density (BMD) for use as a surrogate endpoint in osteoporosis trials took 12 years (!), despite the fact that the data to support it already existed in full and the analyses done were basically regressions.