In all seriousness though, what a life for these researchers, climbing trees and checking shit.

A 3B model on a phone would've picked this up ffs.

Anyways, I was sexually assaulted (well molested and woke up before anything more could occur) once and still sometimes basically violently fly out of bed when startled awake. Something about body integrity and how vulnerable one is while asleep gets a bit primal somehow. Can't believe adding drugging and actual rape and it being ones partner to it would do any good...

What is the utility of knowing the odds of something? Well that depends entirely on the something - it needs to be actionable, affect something that is not merely itself, whereby it can lessen friction. But this "actually valuable?" function is entirely decoupled from the prediction market trade volume and odds! You can make bank contributing to entirely useless odds, and equally make little on something where a clear prediction actually solves problems.

Those who stand to benefit from the output information (if ignoring insider bullshit) don't have to play. Hell if it's something important enough and they really have an edge, why would they play at all, if the information or prediction truly is valuable?

VCs don't exactly make plays on merely doubling their investment, right? Plus who's to say those sitting on valuable modeling powers actually have the capital to meaningfully participate? Even literally knowing the future wouldn't mean much if you're always only betting fifty bucks and spending the proceeds on heroin or tokens or whatever else is fashionable these days.

That will probably come a lot sooner.

Of course both models and tooling will need to be far more powerful for all this, but it doesn't exactly seem sci-fi to me.

Once system is built it could run detailed analysis on its usage and figure out what parts seem to be confusing or slow for users, and simply refine, deploy, keep analyzing, rinse and repeat.

The biggest upside is probably that workers could also simply request features, have Joe sign off on them (would get messy otherwise) and minutes later they actually roll out.

To me anyways most systems are a PITA because they do so much and your own organization only utilizes a small subset. Good systems actually let you turn off stuff you don't use so that users don't even know it's possible and don't have to drown in menu options, but that's still rare enough. And good luck getting dev focus on your specific requests regarding the parts of the system most important to your specific company, since there are a zillion other things and hundreds or thousands of other customers.

Something literally tailored to what you need will surely be the norm eventually. In five years or whatever I'm sure we'll be plenty on our way towards something like that.

But again just like LLM training in general this all requires having something existing to analyze and work off of. So yeah nobody will be going from paper to custom agent-built system.

When it works for pure generation it's beautiful, when it doesn't it's ruinous enough to make me take two steps back. I'll have another go at getting with all the pure agentic rage everyone's talking about soon enough.

Stability is fine, iOS dev is pleasant which is important, AI stuff is meh (notification summaries are great though) and Siri is getting Gemini. And the thing about the EU isn’t remotely true. Opposite if anything, since EU brought us usb-c and alternative app stores.

And the lock-in thing isn’t to be discounted. Emotional and practical as well. Once your files are on iCloud, photos as well, universal clipboard built in, AirPods automatic transfers, instant MFA fill, some apps lack android versions, the devices just geling… switching would for me mean dropping my watch as well, and losing out on a bunch of Mac side features. Androids can’t merely be “as good” or even slightly better, they would need to utterly kick iPhone's ass for years and years to even get me contemplating a switch.

Interactive stuff, within content. A mini game in a game, school homework of course, or "whichever text box the viewer looks at longest by WorldCoin Eyeball Tracker for Democracy x Samsung" for an interstitial turned captcha.

Better hope your taste isn't too bland and derivative!

Amazon and Ali soon lap the field by allowing coupon farming, but somehow eventually end up where they started.

I've also heard of this one tribe heavily addicted to misinformation. They just can't get enough of it! They weren't even feral and naive to exposure, it somehow just... crept up on them.

Because you utterly ignore Finland. It's less that it's not NATO and more that it literally can't be. Why would Putin drive them into NATO if having NATO neighbors (which, besides, was already a fact anyways) is such a threat?

He views it as his rightful property, and that's that.

If you stick to using it to merely speed-spell out what you were in fact already in the process of writing, and ignore 90% of the terrible crap it proposes, it's a nice productivity boost and has no way to make code worse by itself.

Basically, instead of writing a big comment and then a function signature and expect it to do the rest, just start writing out the function, tab when it gets it, don't when it doesn't, or (most of the time) tab then delete half of it and keep the lines you intended, likely with some small tweak.

Surely LLMs will be able to go so much more and without constant supervision in the future, but we're not there. That doesn't mean they're bad. Especially copilot since it's just there with its suggestions and doesn't require breaking flow to start spelling out in regular text what you're doing.

Crypto does some things well (illegal stuff, escaping currency controls/moving lots of money "with you") but in the end that also requires it is only just big enough for reasonable liquidity, but not so big it has an impact on the actual economy. For what it's being pushed for... it's a negative-sum game only good for taking people for a ride. It should stay in its goddamn lane.

What you seem to think would devalue money will be the very thing that keeps it going as a concept.

And I hope you understand somewhere deep down that Bitcoin is the epitome of monopoly money.