I am aware that the sky is falling and I am aware that there are foxes who would gladly replace 10%+ of global knowledge work in the next few years. I understand that there are cultural ramifications.

But what do we do?

The second time, I was in the store and could tell these were legitimately great.

But a few other people mentioned the Peruvian Pima cotton shirts that are sometimes available at Costco. Generally they show up once per year, in February.

So when they finally showed up, I bought 11. I didn’t realize, until I had these shirts, that I’d never really owned comfortable T-shirts. I’ve worn these every day since I bought them and cannot recommend them enough.

Friends don’t let friends wear crappy cotton.

This isn’t true of everyone, but depending on pre-existing skill sets and context, there’s a group of people who are actually multiples more productive than they were in 2022.

First spent most of 2025 looking.

Second started last week

He looked for a job for 13 months. One of the top 3 smartest people I’ve ever known looked for seven months and had to take a big step back in his career, despite having Amazon and Home Depot on his resume.

Both of them said that even getting an interview was almost impossibly hard.

These are people in different parts of the county, and in different industries.

I think we have a serious problem on our hands with employment that’s probably not getting better any time soon.

Executives who wouldn’t take the time to build a report are happy to ask an AI agent to do so.

It doesn’t have the same wow factor as other national parks, but it’s a special place for sure.

See you at the fireflies!

I have accidentally sent so many messages trying to get to a new line.

Participation in sports betting appears to make people about 2x more likely to be delinquent on their loans.

Whether you think that’s “bad enough” is another question, but the article doesn’t make it very clear what the effect size is.

For the affected population, it’s around 10 percentage points—or double.

So people who sports bet are twice as likely to be delinquent as those who don’t. I’ll give you that the effect is smaller than I expected.

Here’s the thing though…it’s not like that trend is slowing down. The finalization of prediction markets and continued normalization of betting as a pro-social behavior is currently headed to the moon…so we should ask if it’s causing major side effects.

Smoking makes someone 25x more likely to develop lung cancer. Right now it looks like sports betting makes you 2x more likely to be delinquent on your car loan. At what incidence does that become anti-social enough to try to curb?