<rss version="2.0" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"><channel><title>Hacker News: ian_j_butler</title><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/user?id=ian_j_butler</link><description>Hacker News RSS</description><docs>https://hnrss.org/</docs><generator>hnrss v2.1.1</generator><lastBuildDate>Fri, 22 May 2026 22:26:11 +0000</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="https://hnrss.org/user?id=ian_j_butler" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"></atom:link><item><title><![CDATA[Agent-Based Modeling for Simulating U.S. Presidential Elections]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Article URL: <a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.05982">https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.05982</a></p>
<p>Comments URL: <a href="https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48235190">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48235190</a></p>
<p>Points: 2</p>
<p># Comments: 0</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 22 May 2026 12:53:11 +0000</pubDate><link>https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.05982</link><dc:creator>ian_j_butler</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48235190</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48235190</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by ian_j_butler in "The memory shortage is causing a repricing of consumer electronics"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>> But you struggling with rent is entirely your self-inflicted problem...<p>The funny thing about this is that practically <i>every single person</i> in the US between the ages of 25-45 was an early adopter and a big fan for some (or all) of FAANG in the early days, and clearly saw the importance.  The fact that they aren't filthy rich and far wealthier than older people tells a story.  Not a story of lattes and avocados, but a story where housing and education costs guaranteed that as a group they couldn't save, never had a chance to invest, still can't invest.  With certain adjustments the story isn't so different for much of the western world.. maybe education was cheap/free but their domestic labor market was weaker, whatever.  They were and are still pretty much guaranteed to be on the outside.  Luck, timing, and good connections are nice at <i>any</i> time, but the last few decades it's everything.  In another timeline maybe wealthy youth is landlording it over the impoverished oldies, but in the best timeline we'd split the difference.<p>Even worse, it's a <i>uniquely bad</i> time to be smart and hardworking, because that's the type of attitude that could stick you with a lack of resilience at just the wrong time.  People who've coasted may do much better than ones who are striving.  Would you rather be a university grad with new debt right now, or be a certified HVAC tech for the last 5 years?  If you were a mechanic, would you want to own the shop with loans to pay off in this economy and tariffs to deal with, or would you prefer to be a simple employee that can just bounce once the company goes under?  I've met phd's who are delivering pizzas to make ends meet.  Blue collar folks not only have better job security at the moment, but going back some years, if they got a mortgage at the right time and place with that stable job <i>maybe</i> they could do normal life stuff like kids, retirement one day.<p>What lessons do we think young people will take from all this?  Nothing against anyone who is lucky, but a stubborn belief in mythical meritocracy or the legendary American dream is absolutely stone-cold crazy these days.  There's just the insiders and the outsiders and there's not much rhyme or reason to any of it.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 22 May 2026 09:55:22 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48233850</link><dc:creator>ian_j_butler</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48233850</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48233850</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by ian_j_butler in "It is time to build a new internet"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>> How do you limit the tracking?<p>Seems easy in the way that a lot of things are easy, and this definitely isn't about making everyone and everything untraceable.<p>We don't really <i>need</i> to play ads at 15% extra volume from content.  GDPR <i>didn't</i> mean that every website has to do the passive-aggressive "Just following the rules here, click this so I will leave you alone" popup.  Facebook could track users and sell ads without eagerly getting involved in things like election interference.  Gas stations and airplanes could enjoy the good thing they've got going without pushing ads at captive audiences, increasing their margins some tiny percent of a percent while increasing friction and misery a lot more than that.  A lot of this stuff is like arson, or stealing clothes that don't fit.. often the bad guy barely profits so it just seems pretty self-destructive and crazy.<p>I'm no idealist and I take for granted that greed and evil is going to happen, but I think most people can see that we need to pump the brakes.  No-limits enshittification just blows up everything in the long term, including profit margins.  Why the board and shareholders always tolerate this stuff from the person temporarily in the executive office is mystifying.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 22 May 2026 03:32:01 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48231661</link><dc:creator>ian_j_butler</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48231661</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48231661</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by ian_j_butler in "It is time to build a new internet"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>> you would have to make it non-interoperable with existing money.<p>Why?  Just eliminate surveillance.. no tracking is no money.  There's another theory that maybe no money is no content, but that's sort of what tfa (and other stuff on HN lately) is actually talking about.  Lots of people who would make content or just conversation <i>for free</i> are still relying on some sense of community which is under attack everywhere if not already destroyed.  Community means organic discovery, organic participation, and some reasonable expectation of continuity / non-enshittification that's actually independent of corporate interests or sponsorship.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 22 May 2026 03:04:29 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48231490</link><dc:creator>ian_j_butler</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48231490</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48231490</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by ian_j_butler in "Math Jokes in Alice in Wonderland"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>He did actually work with permutations and cycles in voting ( <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dodgson's_method" rel="nofollow">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dodgson's_method</a> ) but it's combinatorial and not very group'y.  Agree with comments that this is AI generated and that the highlighted stuff isn't necessarily interesting, deep, or correct.<p>As for the cat's smile, analytic philosophy substance/property stuff goes back to Leibniz if not Aristotle.  Dodgeson basically predates much of Russel's career, but he could have been an influence on his idea of "bundles" and he definitely influenced Quine.  He wrote a few textbooks if you want to dig into his research interests but IIRC it's more along the lines of Boole and DeMorgan, even if fictional fun is arguably anticipating the next wave.  I linked the haddock's eyes elsewhere in thread.. good fun but also some rich implications.  Since he's preoccupied with self-reference you could argue it anticipates Godel. <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Use%E2%80%93mention_distinction" rel="nofollow">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Use%E2%80%93mention_distinctio...</a></p>
]]></description><pubDate>Mon, 18 May 2026 15:22:55 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48181106</link><dc:creator>ian_j_butler</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48181106</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48181106</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by ian_j_butler in "Math Jokes in Alice in Wonderland"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Haddocks'_Eyes" rel="nofollow">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Haddocks'_Eyes</a></p>
]]></description><pubDate>Mon, 18 May 2026 14:53:38 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48180755</link><dc:creator>ian_j_butler</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48180755</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48180755</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by ian_j_butler in "We've made the world too complicated"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>A hint for my detractors..<p>> Being afraid of losing one’s job is quite a step up from being afraid of a rival tribe ransacking your village.<p>The rival tribe is MAGA, ironically destroying the commons partly because somone told <i>them</i> another tribe was taking their jobs.  The ransacking is uncontested and uncontestable because the civilizing forces they oppose only serve to bind others against fighting back.<p>> Or a predatory animal.<p>That would be capitalism, killing far more people daily than wolves or bandits ever did.<p>> Or bacterial infections.<p>Full circle with this threat, since having lost healthcare at the same time as losing a job means that modernity isn't saving you from a risk like this anyway.<p>Is fear of losing jobs <i>still</i> a step up?  This is more savage than actual savagery and deeply unnatural.  Poll 5 strangers, and remove the threat of permanent isolation.  You can snap your fingers, and be accepted into the community of an uncontacted tribe in the Amazon. Or be a monk in medieval times.  Transported with your family/community to pioneer days, whatever.  At least 1 will tell you they don't want to live like this, that almost anything is better, and they'll be very happy to risk early death, extra illness, and extra lawlessness, come what may, because they face these things anyway.  Whether you'd choose it personally or think it's wise isn't really the question.. it's hardly an inconsistent position and it's a very common way to feel about modern life.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sun, 17 May 2026 17:23:04 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48170944</link><dc:creator>ian_j_butler</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48170944</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48170944</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by ian_j_butler in "Unknowable Math Can Help Hide Secrets"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Thanks for the hint.  Reading more about this, it seems the crypto/zero-knowledge/interactive-proof terminology is formal but overloaded here.. games that have nothing to do with game-theory, simulation that has no connection with bisimulation</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sun, 17 May 2026 14:43:25 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48169383</link><dc:creator>ian_j_butler</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48169383</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48169383</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by ian_j_butler in "We've made the world too complicated"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>> Those people are free to move to Afghanistan or Somalia or the Congo. I doubt they will.<p>This is barely relevant, because it's not a plan for agency <i>or</i> comfort, it's strictly worse in that it would destroy both, in addition to adding displacement and isolation.<p>> No, real life is not a hero wish fulfillment movie.<p>Frankly that's just projecting your cowardice onto everyone else.  But there's a point where anyone will trade comfort for agency.  Ready to lose access to modern dentistry if you don't ever have to worry about the coercive attention of the tax man?  How about losing access to hot water if your vote is worth 1000x?  No more scented soap if you can work on your schedule instead of the one the boss chooses?<p>By your logic, Ukraine would fold the first time the power went out.  And there's a reason you can't just opt out of capitalism or citizenship, that land which is not used is still off limits everywhere, and so on.  It's because probably a fifth of the population would take a <i>very</i> big hit in comfort to increase their agency</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sun, 17 May 2026 14:22:43 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48169177</link><dc:creator>ian_j_butler</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48169177</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48169177</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by ian_j_butler in "Unknowable Math Can Help Hide Secrets"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>I can't even tell if this is tangent or central to the main idea, but I'm so intrigued by this one part:<p>> at the relatively mild cost that such applications now have security that is "game-based" instead of "simulation-based."<p>Quite interesting and mysterious.  What is a game but a kind of simulation with two or more potentially competing "physics engines" involved?  What is a simulation but a game, where exactly one player happens to be called "The Environment"?  If these aren't two ways of looking at the same thing, what's this about a relatively mild cost?</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sun, 17 May 2026 13:40:52 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48168843</link><dc:creator>ian_j_butler</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48168843</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48168843</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[High-Powered Mutant Makefiles: Standard Library, Docker Support, and More]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Article URL: <a href="https://robot-wranglers.github.io/compose.mk/">https://robot-wranglers.github.io/compose.mk/</a></p>
<p>Comments URL: <a href="https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48168700">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48168700</a></p>
<p>Points: 1</p>
<p># Comments: 0</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sun, 17 May 2026 13:21:05 +0000</pubDate><link>https://robot-wranglers.github.io/compose.mk/</link><dc:creator>ian_j_butler</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48168700</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48168700</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by ian_j_butler in "Accelerando (2005)"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Apparently Counting Heads is currently a freebie for audible premium. Rainbows.. overrated IMHO.<p>Nexus series has a great story with great pacing, classic cyberpunk ambiance with genuinely fresh takes, but be warned.. fairly bad  writing.  Astonishing that there is no movie yet because it really seems like one of those things very much written with that in mind.  As Hollywood continues to discourage original work and scramble for adaptations with an existing audience.. even more astonishing if it doesn't land in the next few years.  Someone will realize they can get the ready-player audience and the cyberpunk 2077 audience without paying big royalties</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sun, 17 May 2026 09:05:05 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48167232</link><dc:creator>ian_j_butler</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48167232</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48167232</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by ian_j_butler in "Illusions of understanding in the sciences"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>> This reminds me of the statistician's aphorism: 'All models are wrong, but some are useful.'<p>It reminded the authors of this too, since they quote and source it</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sun, 17 May 2026 06:52:20 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48166618</link><dc:creator>ian_j_butler</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48166618</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48166618</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by ian_j_butler in "Illusions of understanding in the sciences"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>This is kind of interesting, but I predict that it pleases almost nobody.  Philosophy of science types will be kind of annoyed at the preoccupation with statistics, ML people will be annoyed at too much philosophy of science, etc.<p>I totally support a goal to get those groups talking more but something tighter is probably better.  And why isn't it tighter?  Without big original contributions, the goal <i>does</i> seem to be a survey</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sun, 17 May 2026 06:50:16 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48166610</link><dc:creator>ian_j_butler</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48166610</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48166610</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by ian_j_butler in "We've made the world too complicated"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>>  Being afraid of losing one’s job is quite a step up from being afraid of a rival tribe ransacking your village. Or a predatory animal. Or bacterial infections.  Obviously, things could be better. But they could be much, much worse.<p>If you talk to people, I think you'll find there are an increasing number who don't actually agree with your idea of worse.  It's a question of comforts vs agency.  Victims of slavery or displacement are not automatically happy just because the water is cleaner than where they started.<p>Things we cannot control are a risk in any world.  If you must die, do you want it to be because of bad luck and natural causes, or because you're increasing someone's profit margins?  Do you want to fight and perhaps die in an desperate battle with a deadly but <i>essentially honest</i> viking invader?  Or do you want to live in a authoritarian system that's characterized by ignorance, misinformation, and disenfranchisement where any resistance to different kinds of faceless violence makes you the bad guy or the crazy one?</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sun, 17 May 2026 05:54:46 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48166369</link><dc:creator>ian_j_butler</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48166369</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48166369</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by ian_j_butler in "Accelerando (2005)"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Does he invent things though? Probably more brokering than inventing, and as the "idea guy", whatever he does come up with he doesn't <i>need</i> to build because the world is so overflowing with AI and 3d printers elsewhere.  With no need to build, does he spend time on design then?  We can imagine, but IIRC, it's not shown, and mostly it is enough to just have an idea.<p>Manfred's a smart guy and a worthy hero, but I think we see this mostly from his keen sense of what is ethical.  Besides that.. we're lionizing an entrepreneur and a influence broker who suggests we should synergize our way to post-scarcity, which always works for him mostly because he's already there.  As he's up against against a lot of backwards-looking people, he looks like a prophet.  Maybe lots of people in the general public could do what he does, but don't have the wealth or influence to pull it off?<p>I forget what Stross has to say about it, but maybe this tension is why he's not a fan of the book.  Sure, everyone wants to be an influence broker, but they were never very heroic and often are villains.  Since the early 2000s entrepreneurs have lost a lot of ground in the eyes of the public in that they are not seen as visionary, just normal people with extraordinary access.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sat, 16 May 2026 14:55:01 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48160785</link><dc:creator>ian_j_butler</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48160785</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48160785</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by ian_j_butler in "Accelerando (2005)"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Previously <a href="https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41452962">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41452962</a></p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sat, 16 May 2026 14:26:21 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48160553</link><dc:creator>ian_j_butler</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48160553</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48160553</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by ian_j_butler in "Accelerando (2005)"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>> Malice – revenge for waking him up – sharpens Manfred’s voice. “The president of agalmic.holdings.root.184.97.AB5 is agalmic.holdings.root.184.97.201. The secretary is agalmic.holdings.root.184.D5, and the chair is agalmic.holdings.root.184.E8.FF. All the shares are owned by those companies in equal measure, and I can tell you that their regulations are written in Python. Have a nice day, now!” He thumps the bedside phone control and sits up, yawning, then pushes the do-not-disturb button before it can interrupt again. After a moment he stands up and stretches, then heads to the bathroom to brush his teeth, comb his hair, and figure out where the lawsuit originated and how a human being managed to get far enough through his web of robot companies to bug him.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sat, 16 May 2026 14:24:33 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48160535</link><dc:creator>ian_j_butler</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48160535</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48160535</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by ian_j_butler in "Building ML framework with Rust and Category Theory"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>> as somebody who majored in math, I sort of feel like it doesn't add much. I know ML frameworks intimately, and you really don't need category theory to describe them.<p>Not that the work linked here is doing this, but.. using category theory to describe the approach could make a lot of sense even if it's <i>not</i> required.  The idea would be that instead of inventing the next architecture from scratch maybe you aim to correct problems in the current generation of systems by showing some generalization/transformation that doesn't have the problems.<p>Now that "more is different" is something that everyone believes implicitly, the alternative to an abstract existence proof is literally millions/billions spent on a proof of concept that may not work.  Doesn't mean we need to use category theory, I mean there's reasons that might be a good idea, but if this were doable without some big change in perspective then it seems likely it would be done already</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 15 May 2026 18:23:31 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48151993</link><dc:creator>ian_j_butler</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48151993</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48151993</guid></item></channel></rss>