Hacker News: ilovecake1984

New comment by ilovecake1984 in "The gap in shared understanding of LLM capability is widening"

ilovecake1984 — Mon, 12 Oct 2026 07:09:47 +0000

I’m not sure. LLMs are superhuman in terms of workload (they are maybe also superhuman in ability too), but where does that lead us.. cheaper software?

That’s good for corporations who need custom software. Every large business has a massive backlog. In this area reducing the cost will massively increase demand.

But where’s the broader value?

Consumers and business already have too much choice in off the shelf software.

Ultimately most people just need word, excel and maybe 4 computer games a year.

New comment by ilovecake1984 in "The gap in shared understanding of LLM capability is widening"

ilovecake1984 — Mon, 12 Oct 2026 06:56:03 +0000

These have all been mistakes though.

New comment by ilovecake1984 in "The gap in shared understanding of LLM capability is widening"

ilovecake1984 — Mon, 12 Oct 2026 06:54:00 +0000

You are conflating intelligence with usefulness.

New comment by ilovecake1984 in "The gap in shared understanding of LLM capability is widening"

ilovecake1984 — Sun, 11 Oct 2026 22:04:14 +0000

I’ll say this until I am blue one the face. Nerds (software dev, maths etc) see how good LLMs are at things they care about and assume they will be broadly applicable in future.

There’s no reason to think this.

New comment by ilovecake1984 in "Half of Europe's towns and villages have fewer residents than 60 years ago"

ilovecake1984 — Tue, 11 Aug 2026 06:45:25 +0000

The government still has to maintain the infrastructure, whilst building more where the people have moved to.

New comment by ilovecake1984 in "“Code was never the hard part” is an insult to all programmers"

ilovecake1984 — Sat, 08 Aug 2026 22:33:23 +0000

Typing up English language logic into code hasn’t been a job for 40 years.

That’s what people mean by this.

New comment by ilovecake1984 in "Is AI reasoning right for the wrong reasons?"

ilovecake1984 — Fri, 31 Jul 2026 20:29:12 +0000

Of course, but it is rare.

New comment by ilovecake1984 in "Is AI reasoning right for the wrong reasons?"

ilovecake1984 — Fri, 31 Jul 2026 17:36:50 +0000

This is a good take. People overwhelmingly fit a narrative to how they make decisions rather than make decisions according to a chain of reasoning.

New comment by ilovecake1984 in "The AI trade now runs on borrowed money, and the lenders are repricing it"

ilovecake1984 — Fri, 31 Jul 2026 06:15:49 +0000

Stop projecting.

It’s just coding. It’s not every technical profession at all.

New comment by ilovecake1984 in "“We have information that Moonshot distilled Fable for the development of K3”"

ilovecake1984 — Wed, 22 Jul 2026 23:17:46 +0000

I don’t think it’s been common to write non fiction for money for decades. What they are doing is killing off the real motivation to do it, which is recognition and attribution.

We will all be sorry when professionally written and edited works disappear. An author has a reputation and the incentive to protect that reputation keeps standards high.

New comment by ilovecake1984 in "“We have information that Moonshot distilled Fable for the development of K3”"

ilovecake1984 — Wed, 22 Jul 2026 19:40:55 +0000

The didn’t pay for the books.

It’s massive copyright infringement.

The human buys the books.

New comment by ilovecake1984 in "The Second Derivative: Why No One Understands the AI Boom"

ilovecake1984 — Mon, 20 Jul 2026 22:30:00 +0000

I’m not saying software will be unprofitable. I’m saying Ai models will be low margin businesses. I think AI is going to decrease the price of software and allow us to automate things we couldn’t. I just don’t see how this value accrues to AI companies.

New comment by ilovecake1984 in "China's open-weights AI strategy is winning"

ilovecake1984 — Mon, 20 Jul 2026 19:44:46 +0000

There will always be a space for perforce in a world of git.

Doesn’t mean perforce is worth trillions.

New comment by ilovecake1984 in "The Second Derivative: Why No One Understands the AI Boom"

ilovecake1984 — Wed, 08 Jul 2026 22:07:53 +0000

I think in the long term AI will be a massive market. I just don’t think it will be massively profitable. The hardware will get better, the models will be even more commoditised. It’s useful and it will get even more useful.. it’s just not going be a licence to print money.

New comment by ilovecake1984 in "I used Claude Code to get a second opinion on my MRI"

ilovecake1984 — Sun, 28 Jun 2026 16:56:21 +0000

Indeed. I don’t even get what OP thinks they are getting out of this other than doubt.

New comment by ilovecake1984 in "Can China build its own ASML?"

ilovecake1984 — Sun, 28 Jun 2026 09:34:47 +0000

Their cars and phones are still second rate. They are, however, cheap enough to be good value.

New comment by ilovecake1984 in "AI's Affordability Crisis"

ilovecake1984 — Tue, 23 Jun 2026 23:10:48 +0000

Agree. But if that’s the thinking then you need to compare vs off shore contract rates, not on shore contract rates.

New comment by ilovecake1984 in "Ask HN: Are people optimistic about the future?"

ilovecake1984 — Sat, 20 Jun 2026 21:04:40 +0000

Anyone who has every done any horticulture knows that being a smallholder is a terrible idea.

New comment by ilovecake1984 in "Ask HN: Are people optimistic about the future?"

ilovecake1984 — Sat, 20 Jun 2026 21:03:30 +0000

Like what?

New comment by ilovecake1984 in "Ask HN: Are people optimistic about the future?"

ilovecake1984 — Sat, 20 Jun 2026 21:02:20 +0000

Things in many ways have never been better.

Yes I am optimistic.