Which may just mean that they need to stay focused on self-improvement and job hopping as possible.

A startup of your own still looks fine on your resume.

I imagine some opensource player will try to recreate their model themselves too.

Whereas the biases of human judges can be hard to detect, and even if you could correct one judge, that fix doesn't propagate to other judges with the same flaw.

And... Enable better understanding of context, since unlike human politicians, most LLMs have very board knowledge.

So it should reduce some of the automatic bad decision making that comes from bureaucrats making laws about things they don't (and maybe can't) understand.

And this same RL is also creating improvements in small model performance.

So, more LLMs are about to rise in quality.

Wanting human like causes for problems is how humanity invented gods. So that they could feel more under control by trying to appease the now humanized force.

Of course, if the problem went away after you prayed, that would really just have been luck. Even though it strengthened your belief.

But they are saying that they have low confidence, and that there is no new evidence that changes anything.

They're just changing the way they're biased, because they think that the lab's conditions weren't particularly safe.

But then, we might as well expect that dozens of dangerous viruses should've gotten out.

They are just choosing to believe the lab leak hypothesis now, because they spent more time thinking about the conditions of the labs before Covid started.

...

And it's still low confidence... Since there's no evidence.

Sad stuff, really. Any self respecting person would just not express their opinion in such a situation.

Just about the only value of this new report is that it tells Trump what he wants to hear.

People just assumed that the wet markets were the cause of the problem, because they found them digusting (and wanted an excuse to blame it on the Chinese being evil).

In a less dense population, without many people going to the same hospital... You would just not have noticed Covid much.

Supposedly because they've had more time to think about the conditions of the lab before Covid was released...

But really, nothing has changed except their biases. Nothing has changed on the solid evidence side.

Separately, if there were actual safety issues and stuff was leaking... Then we're incredibly lucky that it was something as tame as Covid, and not one of the more serious kinds of horrors that gain of function research has successfully produced.

The intelligence networks there were weak, and if people were talking about it, they may have assumed wrongly that there was something there.

Politicians hunting for excuses to do what they already want to do though, is definitely a thing.

Obviously, it's not impossible.

But, there were even RNA samples from Covid found in other countries, months before Covid really spread in China.

I imagine the main problem with the superspreader event there was more that enough people ended up in the same hospital, and thus it was easier to identify that Covid was a distinct virus.

If it was crawling around in a less dense population, its spread would've been meh, and the hospitals might not even notice the spike much.

Generally though, China is somewhat better suited to producing pandemics, because they have a larger and more dense population within which a disease can spread.

And more realistically, if it was a lab leak, it was likely some lab technician being careless, or some thing breaking and whoever was responsible, not fixing it quickly enough.

That compute can go to many things.