I've told this story to every client who tried schemes to benchmark productivity by some single-axis metric. The fact that it was Atkinson demonstrates that real productivity is only benchmarkable by utility, and if you can get a truly accurate quantification for that then you're on the shortlist for a Nobel in economics.

I'm CTO of a bootstrapped civic tech provider powering hundreds of local and county governments across 40+ states and 3 countries. We provide 150+ services from marriage licenses to construction projects to tax assessments.

Now we're building out AI concierges to make citizens' interactions with their governments fast and easy, and to make accessing government data and building workflows on it as simple as asking a question.

We're growing fast, our market is incredibly behind the times (we've upgraded customers from a paper map and hand compass onto GIS), and we generate unique first-party data that's priceless in many other markets. Come help us help citizens and build something that matters.

Send me an email - jpbonner # govpilot.com

Or apply at

https://govpilot.bamboohr.com/careers/46 | https://govpilot.bamboohr.com/careers/37

I'm CTO of a bootstrapped civic tech provider powering hundreds of local and county governments across the country and federal governments abroad. We provide 150+ services from marriage licenses to construction projects to tax assessments.

Now we're building out AI concierges to make citizens' interactions with their governments fast and easy, and to make accessing and building workflows on government data as simple as asking a question.

We're growing fast, our market is incredibly behind the times (we've upgraded customers from a paper map and hand compass onto GIS), and we generate unique first-party data that's priceless in many other markets. Come help us help citizens and build something that matters.

Send me an email - jpbonner # govpilot.com

Or apply at

https://govpilot.bamboohr.com/careers/40 https://govpilot.bamboohr.com/careers/39

Some of my clients, largely startups, are seeing over 50% of US users on T-Mobile numbers at a time when T-Mobile's market share is less than 25%. I haven't seen a large skew by demographic, and samples from third-party data brokers don't report suspected bot activity or unusual app registration patterns on these numbers.

Meanwhile Elon is taking international SMS fraud seriously enough that he's killing SMS 2FA at Twitter, and Facebook seems to be following suit to a degree.

What gives? Are other people also seeing strangeness around T-Mobile users?

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34887807

Points: 3

# Comments: 3

I was bothered by the level of rhetoric from high-profile people in technology predicting that the US justice system would never pursue SBF, because these claims seem to smuggle in the conspiracy that the US government is controlled by some cabal or hidden element. While of course the US government has many problems, these insinuations don't represent a serious take on the issue, and this FTX debacle seems to be simply a convenient opportunity for "network state" or techno-libertarian proponents to promulgate some more damaging untruths into an already poisoned information environment.

Nobody has yet taken me up on the bet.

Transcendentalism is the MMA of philosophy, or maybe the Jeet Kun Do. It finds its influences everywhere, and it's interested in being applicable to real life. You read this essay and you'll see its influence everywhere from hustle culture to the Unabomber.

You want philosophical underpinnings? It's got the Stoics' and Buddhists' serene indifference to circumstance - "No man can come near me but through my act .. nothing is at last sacred but your own mind .. Nothing can bring you peace but yourself."

It's got premodern traditions' reverence of nature, colored by the semi-recent invention of science - "The civilized man has built a coach, but has lost the use of his feet." (With, yes, charming old-timey digressions into how aboriginals are immune to e.g. axe blows.)

It's got Leibniz' and Nietzsche's perspectivism, this idea that while theology can no longer claim your cells and atoms are somehow sacred, it's more interesting to consider the uniqueness of your mind as the holy thing you bring to the world.

You want applicability? Entrepreneurship? Failing fast? "If the young merchant fails, men say he is ruined .. A sturdy lad from New Hampshire or Vermont, who in turn tries all the professions .. does not postpone his life, but lives already. He has not one chance, but a hundred chances."

Instagram? "I do not wish to expiate, but to live. My life is for itself and not for a spectacle."

Mob politics, as employed by people like Jackson: "When the unintelligent brute force that lies at the bottom of society is made to growl and mow, it needs the habit of magnanimity and religion to treat it godlike as a trifle of no concernment."

The tendency for good progressive causes to be co-opted by jerks: "If an angry bigot assumes this bountiful cause of Abolition .. why should I not say to him .. never varnish your hard, uncharitable ambition with this incredible tenderness for black folk a thousand miles off. Thy love afar is spite at home." (Emerson was a famous Abolitionist.)

"I must be myself. I cannot break myself any longer for you, or you. If you can love me for what I am, we shall be the happier. If you cannot, I will still seek to deserve that you should. I will not hide my tastes or aversions." What would the guy who wrote that say about gay or trans people?

Emerson and his pals might have loved Sapiens and evolutionary psychology and Tumblr, and hated Instagram and Doordash and Communism. But their Puritan minds would have been blown by the idea that people could be better. They thought the best you could do was to live according to your nature, because your nature is divine: "I suppose no man can violate his nature .. if I am the Devil's child, I will live then from the Devil."

And here in this corner of the world, one of the most powerful popular philosophical undercurrents is that idea of self-improvement taken far past "rationalism" and self-optimization to the final degrees of utopian transhumanism. Our most successful entrepreneurs, the most wealthy people in our society, are all tinkering in some form of bringing about a future where people are freed from work, from the natural world, and from their bodies as imagined by Iain M Banks and Charlie Stross [1]. Hardly living according to your nature.

But Emerson and his contemporaries were writing these things in response to the creation of industrial society. Their philosophy was tailored to a time where people, in their view didn't sufficiently respect their own nature. Seeing the subsequent century of industrialized war and the postindustrial society, how would they apply the idea of "affront[ing] and reprimand[ing] the smooth mediocrity and squalid contentment of the times" to a world of indulging your nature, pressing buttons and looking at screens and, probably, trying to get rich? Who is thinking about this today? Honestly, I'm asking.

[1] Though in Crimes against Transhumanity Stross argues they're missing the point (https://www.antipope.org/charlie/blog-static/2022/07/crimes-...)

Broadly speaking, it's not economically feasible for an agency to take contracts that pay $7k (or even $25k, for that matter - I've written about this here https://bonner.jp/posts/the-co-op-consultancy/). So if they can do you a favor, in their minds, by fixing your whole website instead of just three pages - and if you're willing to pay for it - then everybody wins. Right?

That's the difference between a business relationship and being a friend: you may keep your mouth shut when a friend is being imposing, taking too much for granted, because you value the relationship. You would never remain silent in a business context when somebody is spending your money. It's business. They understand.

On my jobs, I'm explicit about what I'm going to do and what I'm not going to do. If my client needs to scale, I'm going to talk them through options for caching and horizontal & vertical scaling. But if my client seems to be dragging their feet on customer development and making poor business decisions about which features to prioritize, well, that's not my role in this relationship.

That said, I would never lead a client into a project backwards the way this agency did. Because I do value the relationship! In that I want you to come back, and pay me more money later. Not because we're friends. That's business honesty.

This situation is definitely your fault - but only because you and your agency had different assumptions about the rules or norms of your relationship. Your agency poorly communicated their intentions, and you allowed that to happen out of a misplaced sense of friendly obligation.

But hey, the new site does look great.

You can see it here (https://twitter.com/paraga/status/1526237578843672576).

Noteworthy highlights:

* Twitter estimates its <5% number from human analysis of multi-thousand user random samplings of mDAU

* Twitter allows that number to remain so high to avoid introducing friction like captcha into real users' experiences

* Twitter uses all sorts of internal private data in its analysis

* Parag says you cannot get a reliable indication of bot/not bot without this internal private data

Having just finished building a Twitter analysis tool, I agree with Parag that the Twitter API doesn't provide sufficient clarity to make decisions about spam. This article's analysis doesn't hold up - just because you can name several features you're going to use to generate a spam confidence score about an account does not mean that spam confidence score will have any precision.

The director got the script on Wednesday! Look at the set layouts, the lighting plans, and the lens choices that were made on the fly. Not to mention somebody had to actually make those costumes and build those sets in a day - and modify them on demand to make the kitchen 8' longer. They were still editing it while the show was being broadcast!

You don't generally see "improv" in a field with a lot of preparation like filmmaking, or like software. It's cool to witness somebody who is so comfortable with their tools that they can e.g. live-code a hack-the-box solution or build some new web service on a stage and make it look effortless, and it's equally cool to see this kind of fluency in film.

Does it cause friction for new devs? No - I can't think of any mainstream Elixir use cases that require Erlang libraries, with the exception of math operators like `:math.sqrt/1`. Chris' comment here is the golden example of this.

And anyway, what does the user get in exchange for that extra layer of complexity? A unique high-concurrency VM with easy-to-use primitives that would require huge gobs of code and lots of added dependencies in other languages.

It's a small tradeoff. My own experience is that the benefits far outweigh the complexity cost.

It sounds like OP mostly objects to the oldschool textfile documentation aesthetic of a lot of Erlang core and libraries, which is fine, but the overwhelming majority of new Elixir devs doing web applications and data processing will never encounter this.

First, it seems like the burial victim was on the surface for 30 minutes and wasn't found by his companions - who also had avalanche beacons. It's very common for people to panic after an avalanche burial - the comments of any youtube footage of avalanche rescues will be full of people screaming "you idiot, why did you take off your gloves/not spread out/forget to set your transponder to search". Because these are simple things that people forget. But I've never heard of rescuers, for a full half hour, failing to notice a fluorescent float bag on the surface of the avalanche field. Is it possible this was uncovered by rotor wash?

Then, the professional rescuer is described as asking on-site amateurs - twice! - to remove his shovel from his pack. This should never be necessary. All alpine packs are designed to hold avalanche gear - shovel and probe - in an isolated compartment for rapid ease of access. It's just an odd note that makes the reader wonder what inaccuracies have crept into the story, or, if it actually happened as described, makes the reader wish the author had the expertise to notice and explore these anomalies in the incident.

1. https://www.slf.ch/en/avalanches/destructive-avalanches-and-...

2. https://www.avalanche.state.co.us/caic/acc/acc_report.php?ac...