I’ve always found it annoying when people make declarations like this. You can speak criticize a work without attacking someone’s personality.

On the other hand, I recently asked ChatGPT for some information about a group of people, and the headshots it put with each summary were very clearly not the people it was describing. So hallucinations do still occur even on the latest models, it just seems unlikely that the favicons would be LLM-generated.

Specifically, they tend to overestimate the short term and underestimate the long term, or so it’s said.

(Amara’s law: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roy_Amara )

Is this a definitional argument? As in, if you’re not thoughtful, you must not be a decently skilled engineer? Because I see no reason to believe that people are going to be thoughtful about LLM-generated code. Just the opposite. It’s incredibly tempting to LGTM it.

Mathematics is only useful to the extent that we can do something with it, and I would guess that still requires human mathematicians to understand it.

Four hours isn't "doing a lot of work," it's the whole point of the article. It's not about dunkelflaute.

I always find it interesting to think about second-order consequences of actions like this. Here’s some I can think of:

1. Canadians sell their winter homes and leave the state in droves. They’re already upset about Trump’s political rhetoric.

2. Home prices plummet as stock floods the market. This is good for people who want to buy their first home. Many of these homes are in locations attractive to retirees.

3. Rental costs start increasing steadily to cover the increased taxes. This pushes people to buy homes, stabilizing home prices, but at a lower rate than before.

4. Small businesses catering to retirees and vacationers struggle as their customer base evaporates. Small businesses catering to new homeowners flourish.

5. Local government across the state are underfunded. The 5% yearly increase isn’t enough to cover the loss of income for many years to come. This either results in loss of services and blight or other taxes going up significantly. I’m guessing local sales taxes, but I don’t know what funding options exist. Schools are hit particularly hard.

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With housing shortages across the coasts, taxing secondary residences, AirBnb, etc. actually does seem like a good idea. Vancouver BC did it to combat Chinese investment homes that were standing empty, and I believe it worked out well for them.

I’m not sure how this will work out for Florida. I’m not confident it was well thought-out, but that may just my bias that Trumpers are fueled more by rage and greed than sense. It will be interesting to see how this plays out. I hope things work out for people in Florida.

When people see a submission they like, they can upvote it, like Reddit. Right now, your project is on the front page, which means a lot of people liked it. Cheers!

Do we? The source is OpenAI, and if they’re looking for an excuse to slow down or pause investment, then they have every incentive to overstate the situation.