First you say you don't like that they're accessing the corporate bond market, which is something all public companies can do.

Then you say they should've IPO'd earlier when they were even earlier stage and riskier .. which would allow them to issue bonds even earlier?

What is your position? Or are you complaining for the sake of complaining?

Overheard at a battery conference: western battery suppliers are actually copying (or in your words, stealing) the Chinese electrolyte formulas and other designs.

Great artists steal, the US and Europe play the same game.

We're a small (<5 person) quantitative prop trading shop looking for a midcareer engineer to take ownership of core infrastructure. We place a premium on work life balance and offer profit sharing.

Stack is mostly Python (Django, scientific stack, celery) + Rust.

More details at https://www.wilkiewayresearch.com/careers.

Email me (CTO): jin@wilkiewayresearch.com

If I really like an idea, I'll use these notes to write out a larger form memo that touches on GTM, product strategies, tech stacks, competition, etc.

However, researching startup ideas is the exception where I do want to see ads and prior work and others trying to sell their services. Ads very helpfully highlight potential competitors and now I do my research in a dedicated browser session without adblockers :)

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=30293485

Points: 21

# Comments: 8

According to the article, productivity expectations per worker doubled with robotics, and Amazon has about double the injury rate per worker, so my super rough back of the envelope calculation says they should fare similarly on that metric.

If the industry alternative takes twice as many workers to do the same job, ultimately leading to approximately the same number of injured workers, has Amazon really created a safety crisis?

Goals of this project are to spread high quality information around and use some basic monte carlo / bayesian ideas to show the impact of individual actions on the individual.

You may also be interested in https://coronavirus.simrnd.com/shopping_solo/, an earlier simulation that explores the impact of sending out 1 person to shop vs 2 per household.

The simulation engine is written in Rust at https://github.com/jinpan/covid-simulations, which is compiled to WASM to run on the browser.

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23276334

Points: 4

# Comments: 1

One of the hardest challenges is "How do we choose realistic parameters for how the virus spreads? Infection duration? Mortality?"

But if we can incorporate the latest research and Monte Carlo simulate with ranges for the above parameters and find policies that are robust against those parameters, I think it would be an enormously powerful policy tool. Additionally, I think it could bring transparency into the decision process, something the public lacks.

If you want to contribute to the effort I started, the simulation code is open source at https://github.com/jinpan/covid-simulations. The engine is in Rust, which is then compiled to wasm.

In the first simulation, I take a look at single/dual shopper households and explore how choice affects viral spread on a societal level, and then on am individual household level.

You can check them out at https://coronavirus.simrnd.com/shopping_solo/

True, but what are they going to do about it?

They would be hard-pressed to find a rewarding asset class today that has billions in liquidity, with less risk.

If they hold cash/tbills, they risk losing a good chunk to inflation from the new monetary policies.

They could try to hedge for a market crash, but timing it seems difficult - the market can remain irrational longer than they can remain solvent. And hedges are aren't cheap with the higher IV levels today.

https://coronavirus.simrnd.com/about/ is a draft of the intentions of the project, and the source code is at https://github.com/jinpan/covid-simulations.

https://imgur.com/a/wFTq7lD is a screen recording of a shopping scenario.

I'm aiming to publish a blog post with some initial simulation results by the end of the week.