Which is to say, not that fast.

It's funny because we're once again speed running what the best practices already are!

I sometimes see people reviewing LLM code leaving the same review comments multiple times, or worse, after some time they just give up reviewing.

Tourist visas are nonimmigrant visas. So are H1B visas.

Was the comment edited?

I see people one shot stuff and it makes no sense, is completely fake half the time, just like you point out.

It should be the case that Codex and Claude Code should incorporate this kind of thing automatically at some point.

Maybe it'll take 10 years or 20 years. <5 years is not long enough for manufacturing to catch up.

Not much of a comment on the phone stuff but I'd caution against suggesting technology will never be good enough to do X. Maybe it'll be horrendously wasteful but it might happen.

It is in fact normal for new technologies to be adopted, and for there to be no cycle where the technology just disappears. There was no Internet winter or railroad winter, not in the same way there was an AI winter where AI just went away.

Those technologies had valuation bubbles but the technologies themselves stuck around and changed the world beyond recognition. If someone sees the rate of change and thinks it'll stop for...some reason, then they're the ones who believe things are different this time.

Here's a source, although it isn't that detailed and is more of a descriptive literature review: https://www.urban.org/sites/default/files/publication/103581...

This too: https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/2025/07/oecd-employment... - but I didn't have time to read it in detail.

I don't think anyone believes labor mobility reduces productivity.

The frictions we're talking about, like health insurance being tied to an employer, make things worse for families anyway - getting rid of the distortionary regulations that cause that can only be a good thing.

Now if you ask them if AI is making their lives better, they might say they don't know.

I literally don't know anyone who "hates" AI.

It does and that's what's happening.

(2) Are you saying that you think we're at the limits of computing in general, or that specific technology?

We know, for example, that a human brain level intelligence is possible to run on a human brain. We are nowhere near that. And actually that's not even a physical limit necessarily.

But that is...not a low hanging fruit.

There isn't any way to forget to drop a resource if you have RAII.

Try X finally dispose of all resources. X, defer clean up X. Or how about just X and cleanup is done automatically, with the author of the resources deciding what is needed to clean X up.