Whether there is enough of a predictable bias there to snag enough low return high probability bets to beat the vig and not shift the markets I have not looked into in any way,but it is a known bias with them.

The real money to be made in prediction markets is being the ones with the actual knowledge which is arguably why they are useful and why for some topics, people find them abhorrent.

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46527781

Points: 1

# Comments: 0

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46466959

Points: 2

# Comments: 0

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46415307

Points: 2

# Comments: 1

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46386828

Points: 5

# Comments: 0

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46382033

Points: 44

# Comments: 24

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45507568

Points: 1

# Comments: 0

FT?: Open to FTE for right opportunity, but prefer contracts (PT/FT flexible, C2H)

Technologies: Ruby/Rails, Python, Ops (Heroku/AWS/Docker), CI/CD, API Design, System Architecture, thoughtful experimentation. Some: React, IoT, bit o elm, ML, LLM ops and automation.

Email: hello_from_hn@ericstiens.dev Website: https://ericstiens.dev Resume: https://cloud.wonderluxhouse.xyz/f/fd98d4cbdc104e3d8151/

Senior/Staff Engineer with a deep focus on backend, ops, and architecture. Can also get in there and knock out frontend features if nec, but don't prefer architechting there. I build durable, scalable systems and have a knack for mentoring teams and leading projects.

I solve problems at every level of abstraction—from the 10,000-foot view down to the code you don't have to write. My first career as a social worker and policy statistician means I never forget the 'who' and 'why' behind the technology. I've been building for the web since '95 and have worked at every stage of startup, plus solo consulting.

I have a special love for complex system design, wrangling crappy third-party APIs, and hunting down really weird bugs. I can step in as a PM in a pinch, but I'd rather work with your great PMs.

Also open to short-term engagements around a specific issue (performance bottlenecks, test suite optimization, a particular stuck feature, etc) at a weekly rate.

I'm looking for a team that genuinely believes their work is making the world a bit better (or even... a lot!)

I agree it has been a well advertised and loudly migration path and timeframe for it

An obviously good change, actually massive performance improvements not hard to implement but its still gonna be such a headache and dependency hell

Remote: Preferred

Willing to relocate: No

FT?: Open to FTE, but prefer contracts (PT/FT flexible, C2H)

Technologies: Ruby on Rails, Python, Ops (Heroku/AWS/Docker), CI/CD, API Design, System Architecture, thoughtful experimentation. Some: React, IoT, bit o elm, ML, LLM ops and auotmation.

Email: hello_from_hn@ericstiens.dev Website: https://ericstiens.dev Resume: https://cloud.wonderluxhouse.xyz/f/fd98d4cbdc104e3d8151/

Senior/Staff Engineer with a deep focus on backend, ops, and architecture. I build durable, scalable systems and have a knack for mentoring teams and leading projects.

I solve problems at every level of abstraction—from the 10,000-foot view down to the code you don't have to write. My first career as a social worker and policy statistician means I never forget the 'who' and 'why' behind the technology. I've been building for the web since '95 and have worked at every stage of startup, plus solo consulting.

I have a special love for complex system design, wrangling crappy third-party APIs, and hunting down really weird bugs. I can step in as a PM in a pinch, but I'd rather work with your great PMs.

I'm looking for a team that genuinely believes their work is making the world a bit better (or even... a lot!)

Remote: Preferred

Willing to relocate: No

FT?: Open to FTE for right opportunity, very open to contracts, especially if they can fluctuate between PT/FT, or are contract to hire.

Technologies: Ruby, Rails, Ops (heroku/aws/ansible/docker), CI/CD, testing, API design, integrations/plumbing.

Some: Python, Elm, IoT stuff, machine learning Love: architecture, mentoring, useful and absurd experimentation

Email: hello_from_hn@ericstiens.dev

Website: https://ericstiens.dev

Resume: https://cloud.wonderluxhouse.xyz/f/fd98d4cbdc104e3d8151/

--

Senior/Staff full-stack dev (lean more towards devops->backend than backend->frontend, but I can still sling some React components together and reduce your JS payload size). Technical Lead.

I excel at figuring out how to solve problems at all levels of abstraction (including what level of abstraction you should use), getting a solution in place, and then figuring out the feedback loops to iterate on that solution. Sometimes the most impactful code is the code you don't write.

I've been programming on the web since 1995, had a first career as a social worker and policy statistician, and have worked full-time as a coder for almost a decade now at all stages of startup as well as done solo consulting.

Especially enjoy API and system design, integrating with crappy systems, user research, and really weird bugs. Make a decent PM in a pinch, but would prefer you have great PMs. Enjoy mentoring and light mgr/people stuff.

Will give you more looks if you can tell me why what you are doing makes the world better, but you've got to really believe it.

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43641905

Points: 10

# Comments: 4

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43615897

Points: 1

# Comments: 0

Remote: Preferred

Willing to relocate: No

FT?: Open to FTE for right opportunity, very open to contracts, especially if they can fluctuate between PT/FT, or are contract to hire.

Technologies: Ruby, Rails, Ops (heroku/aws/ansible/docker), CI/CD, testing, API design, integrations/plumbing.

Some: Python, Elm, IoT stuff, machine learning Love: architecture, mentoring, useful and absurd experimentation

Email: hello_from_hn@ericstiens.dev

Website: https://ericstiens.dev

Resume: http://tinyurl.com/eshnresume2024

--

Senior/Staff full-stack dev (lean more towards devops->backend than backend->frontend, but I can still sling some React components together and reduce your JS payload size). Technical Lead.

I excel at figuring out how to solve problems at all levels of abstraction (including what level of abstraction you should use), getting a solution in place, and then figuring out the feedback loops to iterate on that solution. Sometimes the most impactful code is the code you don't write.

I've been programming on the web since 1995, had a first career as a social worker and policy statistician, and have worked full-time as a coder for almost a decade now at all stages of startup as well as done solo consulting.

Especially enjoy API and system design, integrating with crappy systems, user research, and really weird bugs. Make a decent PM in a pinch, but would prefer you have great PMs. Enjoy mentoring and light mgr/people stuff.

Will give you more looks if you can tell me why what you are doing makes the world better, but you've got to really believe it.