Hacker News: lumost

New comment by lumost in "Buyer cancels showing after Deflock shows two cameras utilized by the HOA"

lumost — Mon, 17 Aug 2026 13:01:55 +0000

The answer is likely that it makes sense for maintenance purposes, but the legal authority granted to an HOA is overly broad.

New comment by lumost in "The weekend is 100 years old"

lumost — Sun, 16 Aug 2026 16:45:57 +0000

In the past, a professional job might mean extended periods of travel by rail etc with little work to do. A small acreage farmer has to wait for plants to grow.

The advent of factories with limitless and constant demand for labor is a new development of the industrial revolution.

New comment by lumost in "Anthropic revenue reportedly jumps to more than $11.5B in second quarter"

lumost — Sun, 16 Aug 2026 15:27:29 +0000

Token cost is falling rapidly for a given quality. We don't think about this too much as newer models have made legacy apps obsolete - but its an interesting question what the cheapest text to sql or similar model would be. I still go by 10x cost decrease per 6 months for any given model quality.

New comment by lumost in "Anthropic revenue reportedly jumps to more than $11.5B in second quarter"

lumost — Sun, 16 Aug 2026 15:25:53 +0000

betting on a compute bottleneck sounds like a recipe to get thrashed when the bottleneck relieves itself.

At the investment scales being discussed, CUDA/architecture and other advantages do not matter - you could spend 1 billion on building a new chip architecture. The ram/fab inputs have been a commodity market for years. Heck, even the model bottleneck doesn't seem real when it's only 1-4 billion or less to get a state of the art model.

At some point the compute bottleneck will be relieved, you can see NVidia hedging their strategy with both open models and on-device chips targeted for local inference. The 200 dollar a month plan will absolutely be taken over by local hardware in the future.

New comment by lumost in "AI has access to a vastly larger working memory than the human brain"

lumost — Sat, 15 Aug 2026 21:35:40 +0000

why would anybody believe true brilliance? They would only believe something that can be proved from combining existing knowledge.

If a time traveler went back to 1600 and started spouting off about differential equations everyone would think them quite mad.

New comment by lumost in "Anthropic Risk August 2026 [pdf]"

lumost — Fri, 14 Aug 2026 21:31:48 +0000

I'm still uncertain if mythos is real. Subsequent model releases have been lackluster, no one has claimed to verify mythos performance and it's silently vanished from most comparisons.

New comment by lumost in "Satellite Will Breathe Air to Stay in Orbit"

lumost — Fri, 14 Aug 2026 20:51:56 +0000

I would presume the goal is to have an electromagnetic accelerator of inbound charged ions to serve as thrust. You can get limitless power from solar, but propellent mass is a limiter.

New comment by lumost in "Cursor is now a part of SpaceX"

lumost — Fri, 14 Aug 2026 18:49:52 +0000

It seems like a data/roadmap acquisition. Reports have been that Cursor's footprint was still growing rapidly, and their composer model wasn't bad.

Take that data / training recipe and scale it up with compute to see what happens?

New comment by lumost in "Compression is prediction"

lumost — Wed, 12 Aug 2026 02:26:17 +0000

I think you'll find that 95% of all academic presentations are telling stories out of other peoples work.

New comment by lumost in "Mark Zuckerberg attacks 'closed' AI rivals as Meta returns to open models"

lumost — Mon, 10 Aug 2026 15:16:49 +0000

There is no requirement to own the hardware. Even if you own your servers and GPUs - you would not own the power plant, real estate, or internet infrastructure to support it.

It's trivial to rent all of the above components in a competitive market under different periods, you may simply rent the token output from someone who put in the effort on this as well.

An open frontier model induces margin compression on training and inference prices across the industry.

New comment by lumost in "To Recruit Teachers, School Districts Are Building Homes"

lumost — Mon, 10 Aug 2026 00:09:29 +0000

Governments may be uniquely positioned to offer housing incentives as they often own the land, and control the zoning.

New comment by lumost in "Analyzing data from Silicon Valley ventures and founders prosecuted for fraud"

lumost — Sun, 09 Aug 2026 20:50:11 +0000

Interesting, this presents an meta for an early stage investor. Fund a company with a BS forecast based on your ability to make money on the claw back provisions.

New comment by lumost in "Criminal Deception in Silicon Valley"

lumost — Sun, 09 Aug 2026 17:08:24 +0000

if someone says they have a billion users because they are connected to the doubleclick exchange... they aren't lying, they might be deceptive or simply foolish.

As part of due diligence, the buyer/investor should ask how these numbers are calculated and make their own judgement. Unfortunately I believe startups select for those who dance the border of deceptive and foolish.

New comment by lumost in "What happens if an entire class of workers loses faith in their careers"

lumost — Sun, 09 Aug 2026 02:14:58 +0000

I think we have unfortunately apt historical comparisons. The economic state of Eastern Europe at the turn of the 20th century matches a society where wealth had been completely and utterly bifurcated.

The result was “seizing the means of production”

New comment by lumost in "U.S. used 'virtually all' of its long-range precision missiles during Iran war"

lumost — Tue, 04 Aug 2026 19:54:13 +0000

It's been discussed for decades that the US would run out of precision munitions in any multi-week conflict. The presumption was that the US would either be in a nuclear war at that point, or a ground campaign would complete the task along with dumb munitions.

That the US decided to expend it's precision weapon stockpile on a conflict of choice with no ground or dumb bombing campaign to fallback on is a mystery for later generations. It is not unbelievable that Iran is capable of blocking a dumb bombing campaign indefinitely, or that the viable targets for such a campaign are politically untenable.

New comment by lumost in "Andy Pavlo joins ClickHouse to establish ClickHouse Labs"

lumost — Mon, 03 Aug 2026 19:33:42 +0000

how do you optimally balance code generation and virtual function calling patterns for the best performance? Is there a standardized OLTP format on object storage? How do you performantly implement differential privacy policies within the db engine?

Are there re-usable query primitives for extremely large scale multi-modal data? how do you scale such queries or make them efficient?

The list goes on.

New comment by lumost in "Andy Pavlo joins ClickHouse to establish ClickHouse Labs"

lumost — Mon, 03 Aug 2026 16:02:13 +0000

I'd ascribe "deep tech" to anything that you can reasonably get a PhD in and have it not be unusual. There are dozens of academic conferences on DBs pushing the frontier forward.

New comment by lumost in "Andy Pavlo joins ClickHouse to establish ClickHouse Labs"

lumost — Mon, 03 Aug 2026 15:39:24 +0000

Deep tech fields have a more complex relationship with academia than other industries. Engineers often need license to test ideas that may not see adoption for years, or require tens of millions to build-out.

A "research" arm is exactly this license, although it comes at the cost of potentially killing innovation in the rest of the company.

New comment by lumost in "GCC steering committee announces AI policy"

lumost — Thu, 30 Jul 2026 12:30:36 +0000

If you are asking a human to review something, it should have been verified/reviewed by a human first.

I have no interest reading someone else’s ai output that has not been verified.

New comment by lumost in "Kimi-K3 Technical Report [pdf]"

lumost — Mon, 27 Jul 2026 17:00:38 +0000

There will be cloud/SaaS vendors who have lower cost of labor/capital due to automation and financing terms.

Having these models in the open caps the inference margin.