I am completely confident that Amazon of all companies is totally fine with not taking a return for a long time.

Amazon didn't book a profit for the first decade of their company. It's completely modus operandi to burn, burn, burn to get as big as possible.

I changed it to "I feel". I have Claude working on a script to validate or disprove my hypothesis.

Thanks for the call-out!

I feel like the same people that shout "Capitalism sucks, free us from our labor" are the exact same types that hate AI. The exact machine that will free you from your labor, when harnessed correctly, is the exact thing you hate.

The "cyber psychosis" thing is overblown just like the "Tesla ignites its passengers" is. The only reason it gets in the news is because it is trendy to do so. The people getting 'infected' would've infected themselves regardless.

Genuinely I think the hatred is overblown by people who have no clue what the actual truth of AI is, something they seem obsessed with.

The only genuine complaint about AI is the data sourcing which is a problem being resolved by CloudFlare along with other platforms that require high payment for the privilege. With that said though, those platforms are still selling user data with users producing the content gaining nothing, that part needs to be fixed.

Also, the press shield + Fox News boosts don't seem to do anything with regards to subsequent events. Are they supposed to do something or are they just for show / humor?

I think this is the thing people are missing the most. Libel is an incredibly serious thing to do. Misstating a fact is a faux pas and a bad look but misquoting someone, especially if that article is taken as a hit piece, can cost hundreds of thousands or millions.

Honestly it seems like journalism has been in their 'vibe code' era for a decade where they just publish whatever typos and all.

This was an institutional error, not an individual reporter's fault. We should also be asking why he was still contributing when he had a high fever. Why did his editors push him to publish his work? I will certainly write code and answer questions when I am sick when I am up to it but I would never push to main while sick.

My school apparently had no idea what it was for years and it just sat outside underneath the EE building and people would draw dicks in the dust on it. When they realized what it was, they immediately yonked it inside and made a student team to refurb it.

It's super cool I got to see such a piece of history and rare car even if I didn't realize it for so long.

Before: https://images.hgmsites.net/med/gm-ev1-electric-car-at-misso...

After: https://i.redd.it/8hqyo6iq7ixa1.jpg

These text-driven tools always come across like "programming the space shuttle to drive down the street for ice cream". Like, do we really need... all of this. It's beautiful and neat but does it solve the problem in a user friendly way?

Sometimes it seems like there is a lost art to simple but deep products. Many of these replacements tools are starting to seem more about demonstrating how nerdy you are by over-complicating the solution in a novel one-off way.

A great example of this, in my opinion, is Taskwarrior's sync in both 2.0 and 3.0. Just use auto-discovery of peers using a shared secret key then negotiate the connection seamlessly. I don't want to do SSL setup so I can have my tasks on two computers.

SpaceX in 2025 has launched 134 times. Everyone else in the entire world has launched 115 times combined, including other US companies. SpaceX launches a lot of stuff very often.

EDIT: Originally meant to do 2024 but accidentally read the wrong bar. Regardless, this holds for most years.

2,000 may be stretching it but it is possible if the driver is trusting enough. Personally many of my disengagements isn't because it is being dangerous, but just sub-optimal such as not driving as aggressive as I want to, not getting into off-ramp lane as early as I like, or just picking weird navigational choices.

Trying to recall but I haven't had a safety involved disengagement in probably a few months across late 13 and 14. I am just one data point and the main criticism I've seen from 14 is: 1) getting rid of fine speed controls in favor of driving style profiles 2) its car and obstacle avoidance being overtuned so it will tap the brakes if, for instance, an upcoming perpendicular car suddenly appears and starts to roll its stop sign.

Personally, I prefer it to be overly protective albeit turn it down slightly and fix issues where it hilariously thinks large clouds of leaves blowing across are obstacles to brake for.

Waymos crash into each other: https://www.reddit.com/r/SelfDrivingCars/comments/1mdl5zn/tw...

Waymo cutting off bus at left turn: https://www.reddit.com/r/SelfDrivingCars/comments/1o9accg/wh...

Waymo doing... something... no clue how a pre-mapped car thinks this is ok: https://www.reddit.com/r/SelfDrivingCars/comments/1lmq7rl/wa...

Waymo sideswipes firetruck with its lights on: https://www.reddit.com/r/SelfDrivingCars/comments/1mj4w8d/wa...

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Crashes happen. Tesla is currently having a rash of them but Waymo isn't immune to "wtf how" kinds of crashes even with all of its built-in advantages (far more sensors and having pre-mapping).

Argue with that as you like but Google _loves_ to sit around on good ideas and, in my opinion, hamstring them away from pushing their products to commercialization.

LiDARs at the time Tesla decided against them were $75k per unit. Currently they are $9,300 per car with some promising innovations around solid state LiDAR which could push per-unit down to hundreds of dollars.

Tesla went consumer first so at the time, a car would've likely cost $200k+ so it makes sense why they didn't integrate it. I believe their idea was to kick off a flywheel effect on training data.

Of course there will be other factors like amenities.

Personally, I think 'style' is going to be a non-insignificant factor to it as well. Few normies will want to get out of a 'nerd car' that has bulbous sensors all over it if they can pay a bit more to have a cooler looking ride, it's the Prius effect.

The style thing is just my opinion though but price will be the major one. People will tolerate an ugly robotaxi if it is significantly cheaper or more convenient.

Companies like BYD and Tesla are positioned well for that if they can get their AV functionality proven out as both are fully integrated car manufacturers.

Waymo doesn't have in-house manufacturing and is, to my knowledge, purely software so they have lots of vendors along with a relatively low output of vehicles. Their 2025 and 2026 plan is to build 2,500 new cars per year. Each Waymo car currently costs over $100k. Even if Tesla was pushing out Model Ys as their robotaxi platform, they could flood the market very easily in both scale and price per mile _if_ UFSD (unsupervised FSD) was proven.

At least two, to attestation of another person, was because an inattentive SUV hit the back of the car when it was making a left turn. People really want Tesla to not be good at self-driving.

https://old.reddit.com/r/SelfDrivingCars/comments/1ojjz5u/te...

None of these crashes occurred at higher than 8 MPH.

But yeah, let's not mention Waymo crashing into stationary objects and doing dangerous maneuvers such as cutting opposing traffic off during left turns or making turns from the middle lane despite having like 8x more sensors than Tesla does and pre-trained mapping

Your estimate:

10,000 to 25,000 cubic miles

Correct answer:

22,684 cubic miles

Uhhhh... pretty sure I was right and it marked it wrong.

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Also, I think that marking answers right or wrong is the incorrect way to measure this. By deeming it right or wrong, you are making it trivia rather than estimation.

For instance, I estimated that Alexander the Great was born between 300 BCE and 100 BCE, it was marked wrong but the right answer is 356 BCE. That is a fairly accurate estimation still.

You should get rid of the Buzzfeed-esque "number people got right" and move towards measuring mean percent off from the correct answer so you could say like "Most people are within 30% of the right answer" or something like that. You should also make it where you can't game it by doing something like 0 to 100,000,000,000,000,000 and being told you are right: https://i.imgur.com/Ysnz1gr.png ;)

Tossing people out as a giant tech company after a profitable quarter is non-sense. They have money to be innovative, why are they choosing not to push that back into more attempts at products.

People expect bad news if the company gets bad news. If a company cuts after good news, people are going to lose faith in either their truthfulness (ie: are they cooking the books), their loyalty to employees, or both.