Hacker News: martinvol

New comment by martinvol in "Ferrari Luce"

martinvol — Tue, 26 May 2026 09:54:58 +0000

Isn't this how the Jaguar fiasco came to be?

New comment by martinvol in "Ask HN: Is there a better and more affordable AI coding tool than Claude?"

martinvol — Fri, 22 May 2026 11:52:09 +0000

Haven't tried, but have you checked OpenCode?

New comment by martinvol in "What happens when your blog hits #1 in Hacker News?"

martinvol — Tue, 19 May 2026 11:40:44 +0000

Obviously it helps that the content is good, but ultimately is very hard to predict what people will find interesting. There's also a big share of luck about how the people that are online at that time react to it.

What happens when your blog hits #1 in Hacker News?

martinvol — Tue, 19 May 2026 11:09:23 +0000

Article URL: https://martinvol.pe/blog/2026/05/19/what-happens-when-your-blog-post-hits-1-in-hacker-news/

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48191789

Points: 2

# Comments: 3

Blogging like a nerd: Cloudflare Pages is all you need

martinvol — Mon, 18 May 2026 10:18:44 +0000

Article URL: https://martinvol.pe/blog/2026/05/18/cloudflare-pages-is-all-you-need-for-your-blog/

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48177530

Points: 5

# Comments: 0

New comment by martinvol in "The Hormuz Blockade: The energy and supply chain crisis that's upon us"

martinvol — Tue, 07 Apr 2026 10:50:16 +0000

I guess it's also a bit after that, because that'd make reserves full and they'll start depleting day-by-day. In any way we should see prices consistently increasing.

The Hormuz Blockade: The energy and supply chain crisis that's upon us

martinvol — Mon, 06 Apr 2026 14:56:36 +0000

Article URL: https://martinvol.pe/blog/2026/04/06/the-energy-and-supply-chain-crisis-thats-upon-us/

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47661762

Points: 6

# Comments: 2

New comment by martinvol in "How the AI Bubble Bursts"

martinvol — Fri, 03 Apr 2026 15:17:32 +0000

if they have the capital they can't risk but keep training, if someone comes up with a marginally better model than them then everyone will migrate and their business crashes down. Only big tech is in a position to take that risk.

New comment by martinvol in "How the AI Bubble Bursts"

martinvol — Mon, 30 Mar 2026 15:50:35 +0000

bubbles are created by people investing more than reasonable in something, independent of the actual value it will generate for society.

New comment by martinvol in "How the AI Bubble Bursts"

martinvol — Mon, 30 Mar 2026 14:22:30 +0000

I don't think token demand will shrink because we're still just learning how to use it, demand will skyrocket. The problem is what price we'll be willing to pay for it, specially if competition keeps soaring.

New comment by martinvol in "How the AI Bubble Bursts"

martinvol — Mon, 30 Mar 2026 14:12:14 +0000

they have to fight to stay competitive because mag7 can outspend them, but my hypothesis is that they wont need to ultimately.

New comment by martinvol in "How the AI Bubble Bursts"

martinvol — Mon, 30 Mar 2026 14:07:28 +0000

yeah good point, although it's just one of all the catalysers I mentioned. I fact I had written most of the post already before I saw the news about RAM.

New comment by martinvol in "How the AI Bubble Bursts"

martinvol — Mon, 30 Mar 2026 13:59:28 +0000

RAM prices haven't crashed yet and it'll take time because it has to propagate within the supply chain. Micron is -20% from the top already https://www.investing.com/equities/micron-tech

Stock price is the best forward indicator I can think of

New comment by martinvol in "How the AI Bubble Bursts"

martinvol — Mon, 30 Mar 2026 13:57:31 +0000

> The problem with these kind of posts is that "How" is almost useless, I can tell you how the bubble pops: The value of these AI companies crash and take out a lots of other stuff with it.

That's like saying "I know exactly how you're going to die, your heart will stop"