Hacker News: mathgradthrow

New comment by mathgradthrow in "UK set to announce social media ban for under-16s"

mathgradthrow — Sun, 14 Jun 2026 16:44:18 +0000

>Homework requires internet-connected devices

I see an opportunity for much more reasonable legislation since this is a thing that the gov already controls.

New comment by mathgradthrow in "Chess invariants"

mathgradthrow — Fri, 22 May 2026 18:13:40 +0000

So many of these invariants are redundant and so few of them encode any of the interesting rules of chess.

New comment by mathgradthrow in "Who wins and who loses in prediction markets? Evidence from Polymarket"

mathgradthrow — Thu, 21 May 2026 21:35:31 +0000

well, I wrote should as a hedge.

New comment by mathgradthrow in "Who Wins and Who Loses in Prediction Markets? Evidence from Polymarket"

mathgradthrow — Thu, 21 May 2026 16:16:31 +0000

Someone flips a coin and looks at it, what orders are you willing to put in?

The potential for insiders should be represented by a complete loss of liquidity.

New comment by mathgradthrow in "An OpenAI model has disproved a central conjecture in discrete geometry"

mathgradthrow — Thu, 21 May 2026 01:39:08 +0000

I think when your work is no longer required, you will probably come to regret this sentiment, not that it matters.

New comment by mathgradthrow in "Why Almost Everyone Loses–Except a Few Sharks–On Prediction Markets"

mathgradthrow — Mon, 04 May 2026 16:41:51 +0000

You're right, but I was confusing counterparty risk and adverse selection.

New comment by mathgradthrow in "Why Almost Everyone Loses–Except a Few Sharks–On Prediction Markets"

mathgradthrow — Mon, 04 May 2026 15:21:26 +0000

Everytime someone loses money on a bad bet in a prediction market, it's an opportunity for them to learn something about ~~counter-party risk~~ adverse selection. You could easily make the argument that the more people are losing in prediction markets, the more learning is happening.

New comment by mathgradthrow in "He asked AI to count carbs 27000 times. It couldn't give the same answer twice"

mathgradthrow — Wed, 29 Apr 2026 15:46:46 +0000

a realistic response? What's a realistic response to "how many calories are in an avocado?"

If you are counting calories, you don't want the answer to "how many calories are in the average avocado?", you want to know how many calories are in this avocado. Remember that bodyweight is roughly linear with BMR, so a 10% error in calorie counting is an extra 10% of bodyweight.

New comment by mathgradthrow in "If America's so rich, how'd it get so sad?"

mathgradthrow — Thu, 23 Apr 2026 17:24:01 +0000

Income is by far the dominant term, you're being ridiculous.

New comment by mathgradthrow in "If America's so rich, how'd it get so sad?"

mathgradthrow — Thu, 23 Apr 2026 16:24:42 +0000

You are responding to data about the median American.

New comment by mathgradthrow in "Author of "Careless People" banned from saying anything negative about Meta"

mathgradthrow — Mon, 06 Apr 2026 18:15:58 +0000

Did you not vote?

New comment by mathgradthrow in "Is Germany's gold safe in New York ?"

mathgradthrow — Mon, 06 Apr 2026 12:54:43 +0000

Does this question need asking?

New comment by mathgradthrow in "Is Germany's gold safe in New York ?"

mathgradthrow — Mon, 06 Apr 2026 12:54:02 +0000

This is the dumbest thing that has ever been posted on this site.

New comment by mathgradthrow in "Author of "Careless People" banned from saying anything negative about Meta"

mathgradthrow — Sat, 04 Apr 2026 16:45:09 +0000

You don't have to agree to a disparagement clause... She accepted a lot of money to agree to it.

New comment by mathgradthrow in "F-15E jet shot down over Iran"

mathgradthrow — Sat, 04 Apr 2026 16:10:51 +0000

Putin can barely fight his own war, and how are you proposing that China supply Iran? You can't rebuild capability in a day.

Do you want to give odds to your proposition that this is going to turn around in the IRGC's favor?

New comment by mathgradthrow in "F-15E jet shot down over Iran"

mathgradthrow — Sat, 04 Apr 2026 00:04:00 +0000

I don't know if any have completed runs yet, but supposedly we're using B-52s...

New comment by mathgradthrow in "F-15E jet shot down over Iran"

mathgradthrow — Fri, 03 Apr 2026 21:47:06 +0000

1) The US has run 13,000 missions over Iran in the last month. Thats a lot of targets.

2) The initial US degradation of Iraqi capabilities was much much greater in gulf war 1.

3) F15s are not stealth fighters.

4) This is 35 years later.

5) "strategic bombing" of air defenses is mostly accomplished with our cruise missiles. We'll take out any air defenses we find, but you don't fly non-stealth planes over SAM batteries intentionally.

We haven't even started a ground campaign. If one plane is downed per 13000 missions, I think we're doing ok.

New comment by mathgradthrow in "Why the US Navy won't blast the Iranians and 'open' Strait of Hormuz"

mathgradthrow — Wed, 01 Apr 2026 05:16:25 +0000

I don't believe you understand how modern bombs work.

New comment by mathgradthrow in "Why the US Navy won't blast the Iranians and 'open' Strait of Hormuz"

mathgradthrow — Wed, 01 Apr 2026 05:15:50 +0000

You think the pentagon was like "shit, Iran is bigger than we thought"?

New comment by mathgradthrow in "The Claude Code Source Leak: fake tools, frustration regexes, undercover mode"

mathgradthrow — Wed, 01 Apr 2026 00:48:33 +0000

I'm not really sure that's any of their business.