<rss version="2.0" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"><channel><title>Hacker News: maxglute</title><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/user?id=maxglute</link><description>Hacker News RSS</description><docs>https://hnrss.org/</docs><generator>hnrss v2.1.1</generator><lastBuildDate>Wed, 10 Jun 2026 18:53:26 +0000</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="https://hnrss.org/user?id=maxglute" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"></atom:link><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by maxglute in "Switzerland wil have a referendum to cap population at 10M"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>>overwhelming majority of immigrants are worth it<p>Unlikely with Canadian exploding diploma mill immigration patterns post covid i.e. the 100k increase in Indians. That's not some, i.e. a few 1000 refugee/asylum charity to make feel good headlines. That's structurally unsustainable. Hence new cap reduction and strict field of study rules. Reality is Canada was importing fuckload of low skill hoping to juice economy short term with international tuition injections, but having students fill service and gig jobs driving up rent / suppressing wages / straining infra / services is bad short term politics and bad long term ROI. These generally aren't turnkey high skilled immigrants that boost economy long term. These aren't even wealthy economic immigrants dump $$$ into economy, these are bluntly marginal immigrants from poor households that goes into debt/leverage and have to take low end jobs with high remittance culture to payback - the give/take ratio is not great. They are no where nearly as "worth it" as a rich PRC international students dropping $$$ into economy and trying to capital flight $$$ into Canadian economy. And removing them is easy... a few signatures to cap study permits, change crs and pgwp requirements, already down ~70% from peak, much easier to building. Of course building is great for everybody, but Canada ain't building.<p>The right solution is move back to sustainable high-value immigration patterns. 60k to 160k Indians is unprecedented. Like 2nd/3rd largest cohort is PRC and PH at ~40k. 160k per year from any country is stupid policy, only justifiable if the plan is basically to steal their tuition and kick them out of the country after making PR/citizenship harder, i.e. Canada bait-switch (scammed) a bunch of Indian villagers pooling their limited resources together, and it's looking likely that's how this saga will end. Again, it's not Indian immigrants fault, but they don't vote so they're the one's whose going to get screwed because bad policy screwed Canadians who vote.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Wed, 10 Jun 2026 06:49:11 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48472398</link><dc:creator>maxglute</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48472398</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48472398</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by maxglute in "Switzerland wil have a referendum to cap population at 10M"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Immigrants not worth their economic value are the problem. That's not blaming "immigrants" but "immigration policy", which like housing policy - failure of politicians. But ultimately immigrants, who are not citizens are the going to be the scape goat. And reducing/denying/removing immigrants is short term more feasible than solving political sclerosis that require longer timelines, if can be fixed by system at all.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Tue, 09 Jun 2026 18:18:03 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48465202</link><dc:creator>maxglute</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48465202</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48465202</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by maxglute in "Switzerland wil have a referendum to cap population at 10M"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Pop increase faster than housing / good jobs. The usual. Tried to juice economy post covid with MASS Indian immigration, for reference peak "Chinese" immigration was post HK handover was 60k, settled at 40k per year, lots of Chinese wealth transfer to Canada. Indian immigration went from 60k per year to over 140k, outrageous amount. Bluntly, most of west including Canada gets second tier immigrants, all the good opportunities in US, Canada doesn't get to retain tier1 talent, and Indian immigrants are in aggregate less wealthy. The entire point of brain drain is to get best brains, or in lieu get wealth. Canada got neither. This not knock on Indian immigrants, who work just as hard as every other, just acknowledging value proposition is not the same.<p>The broader context is Canada is on paper a small pop country with sufficiently alright governance to get per capita rich selling shit from ground. The more people you have have, the less that model works, and frankly Canada at 25m in the 00s already passed that point (vs 6m Norway). It doesn't help that... foreign influence have stagnated Canadian fossil/extractive industries development. Trudeau thought it was good idea to aim for 100m Canadians by 2100 (century initiative)... which on paper makes sense - only way for Canada to compete/influence vs US is heft, but of course that means a lot of brown and eventually black people fighting for housing and opportunities in the interregnum.<p>Unsurprisingly, broken housing market = no one likes that interregnum.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Mon, 08 Jun 2026 20:29:57 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48451467</link><dc:creator>maxglute</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48451467</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48451467</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by maxglute in "DeepSeek V4 Pro beats GPT-5.5 Pro on precision"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Too annoying to track down the original posts, but here's mirror:<p>>Gelonghui, February 11th | Zhejiang Orient Financial Holdings Group (600120.SH) announced the following explanation regarding the recently market-focused "DeepSeek Concept": DeepSeek is a large model under Hangzhou DeepSeek AI Basic Technology Research Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "DeepSeek"). In response to matters of concern in the Capital Markets, the company verified that as of the date of this announcement, the names of companies invested by the fund Sector managed by the company, such as Peking Deep Search Technology Co., Ltd. and Peking Jiuzhang Yunjike Technology Co., Ltd., are quite similar to those of DeepSeek and its affiliated enterprises, but there is no equity investment relationship. The company and the relevant private equity funds managed by the fund Sector have not directly or indirectly invested in DeepSeek.<p>ttps://news.futunn.com/en/post/53041547/zhejiang-orient-financial-holdings-group-600120-sh-and-its-managed?level=1&data_ticket=1780940972364876</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Mon, 08 Jun 2026 18:58:29 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48449843</link><dc:creator>maxglute</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48449843</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48449843</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by maxglute in "DeepSeek V4 Pro beats GPT-5.5 Pro on precision"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>They invested in a labelling company called "Deep Search" that news confused with  "Deep Seek". It was corrected like a week later, of course very not agenda driven americansecuirtyproject never followed up / did retraction.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Mon, 08 Jun 2026 17:56:21 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48448714</link><dc:creator>maxglute</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48448714</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48448714</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by maxglute in "Anthropic/OpenAI may be spending more than $1000 for every $100 you pay them"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>My understanding is there's local API resellers who provide gateway access to bundle claude/openai with other cheaper PRC models via routing to water down price. The resellers are bulk generating pro accounts / trials i.e. basically 100% subsidized by Anthropic/OpenAI. Resellers also sell for cost or below cost because they're intercepting training data to resell. The economics of PRC token is divorced from Anthropic and OpenAi, i.e. PRC gray market tokens are most "efficient" for shadow trial resellers (who basically pays for disposable sign up sim) and least efficient (as in negative sum) for providers who convert none of the subsidized trial accounts into paying.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sun, 07 Jun 2026 15:18:16 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48435680</link><dc:creator>maxglute</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48435680</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48435680</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by maxglute in "CT scans of BYD car parts"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>This one of those if both country are spying on you, pick the foreign spy since their gov can't touch you. If industrialist from both sides poisoning backyards, pick the one that isn't doing it in near you.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Wed, 03 Jun 2026 15:44:21 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48385615</link><dc:creator>maxglute</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48385615</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48385615</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by maxglute in "Why China got rich and India didn't"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Important to caveat, large cohorts of China got relatively rich... there's still 100s of millions predominantly old who got left behind by modernization. Because countries with pop size of PRC (and India) can specialize in EVERY sector category and still not have enough opportunities to uplift everyone. Where PRC dodged bullet is family planning, i.e. averting 100s of millions of births, but that's 100s of millions additional poor averted, and because poor bias overwhelmingly old and un/der educated, they will die and PRC per capita will converge towards urban high income, i.e. PRC entering high income is mechanically/mathematically determined. Obviously demographics may be issue later, but PRC figured out how to be rich, even if slightly after being old.<p>India (who also tried family planning) utterly fucked in this regard, i.e. trending towards 1.8B people, ignoring all the things PRC did that India didn't. PRC 1.4b trending towards 400m old/poor vs 1000m young/rich. Indian trending towards 1400m old/young poor, 400m young/rich. Can't craw out of per capital poverty with that composition, not within this century, and also very different configuration of constituents to govern, i.e. volatility is going to go way up when more than half of country is young and poor... worse if young educated and poor.<p>As for why. Democracy sucks at development.<p>Not a single >10m country has gone from developing to reasonably developed on democratic system. The few <10m countries basically have some resource or geopolitical favourable position where narrow specialization or limited sponsorship from hegemon = enough $$$ to uplift per capita. Political economy is as soft as and inexact as science can be, but democracy being the worst form of gov for developing countries (not except all others) is overwhelmingly clear.<p>If you're a poor country, hope you have competent authoritarian leadership, bandwagon with hegemons (or rather do not trigger ire of hegemons) or do not get on bad side of hegemon, do some land reforms, sort out your problematic minorities, break eggs before they become problems. It will be bloody but it may pay off, alternative is generations trapped in poverty that accumulates more averted deaths than if you just slapped country into shape in the first place. Don't fall for democratic promotion = aka political elite capture, that will also happen under incompetent autocrats but will 100% happen in democratic system.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Wed, 03 Jun 2026 15:26:30 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48385373</link><dc:creator>maxglute</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48385373</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48385373</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by maxglute in "Larry Ellison: "Citizens will be on their best behavior because we’re recording""]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>It's not the recording that matters, it's the enforcement. In PRC, you get your jaywalking mugshot on the intersection jumbotron, that social humiliation is enough to get people in line and establish public order. I wager shameless (individualistic) Americans would troll such methods, i.e. it would be counter productive in US cultural contexts... which is bleak because it means would need even harsher big brother enforcement methods to deter. Considering Chinese aunties fisty cuff with cops on the street, in US they'd get ventilated - the kind of shenanigans US LE would have to pull to enforce best behavior compliance is going to be much more violent.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Tue, 02 Jun 2026 18:35:09 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48374309</link><dc:creator>maxglute</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48374309</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48374309</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by maxglute in "Larry Ellison: "Citizens will be on their best behavior because we’re recording""]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>The secret is shame. You can enforce behavior through shame culture slowly (JP) or rapidly with technology, half the reason PRC cleaned up fast is people didn't want their faces plastered on misdemeanour jumbotron. Probably won't work if you live in a shameless society where social humiliation has little or even opposite effect.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Tue, 02 Jun 2026 18:29:01 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48374223</link><dc:creator>maxglute</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48374223</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48374223</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by maxglute in "Can You Stop a Hypersonic Missile?"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Can you stop <i>many</i> hypersonic missiles. There's a reason strikes are weaponeer in salvos sizes with probability of kill designed to penetrate defense.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Mon, 01 Jun 2026 20:51:19 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48362465</link><dc:creator>maxglute</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48362465</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48362465</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by maxglute in "The dead economy theory"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Generalized intelligence paired with generalized machines (i.e. humanoid robots) = ubiquitous disruption that may simply remove large swaths of useful / productive human endeavor. At some point 99.9% of people simply don't have economically worthwhile skill vs a 10k robot sustained by a few $s of compute and power.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 29 May 2026 20:16:36 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48328619</link><dc:creator>maxglute</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48328619</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48328619</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by maxglute in "The dead economy theory"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Large population countries / economies reach point where there are more people than jobs, excess people gets dumped into subsistence farming or other inefficient sunk cost make job programs so angry horde doesn't burn it all down. You can replace 95% of subsistence farmers, i.e. billions of people with machinery. Probably replace 95% of knowledge workers, i.e. 100s of millions in OECD with AI, but maybe it's just better/stabler for political serenity for horde to keep generating useless make work email chains. Smaller pop countries can probably meander through for a while specializing in a few high value sectors, larger countries will have to deal with disproportionate idle hands, but also more are in favorable position to exploit / consolidate industrial / resource advances.. Hopefully end game dwindling demographics supported by fully automated luxury communism within sustainable carrying capacity. But there's a lot of probably violent steps between draw some circles and draw the rest of the owl. Ultimately we're likely entering period of placating surplus people and managing demographic relative automation / ai progress.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 29 May 2026 19:33:07 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48328123</link><dc:creator>maxglute</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48328123</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48328123</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by maxglute in "The dead economy theory"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Fully automated luxury communism etc etc.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 29 May 2026 19:18:07 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48327979</link><dc:creator>maxglute</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48327979</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48327979</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by maxglute in "Japan Lost 3M People in Five Years"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>So far, no amount of pro-natal policies will get you replacement TFR, see wealthy MENA countries where people have make work jobs, extravagant support (nannies etc), and TFR still dropping below replacement 2.1. The reality >2.1 TFR is product of uneducated women without opportunities. As long as women are educated, have agency, body autonomy, in aggregate family formation stays below replacement, even when not resource constrained i.e. women in workforce with opportunity to assume fulltime homemaker rolls (rich family, ample social support) still stops short at replacement TFR. Unless policies regress, the only thing left untried is mixture of extremely pro-natal policies and punitive anti-natal policies, i.e. taxes, opportunities, travel bans to control brain drain, wealth transfers that heavily penalize people with <2 kids.<p>Or accept (mass) immigration, which LBH only black and brown countries have excess bodies. Countries will have to decide whether they hate slow decline more than they hate getting darker or hate their women's rights. Or maybe on long timeline, some scifi shenanigans like test tube babies, shifting sex ratio, i.e. 2:1 female to male ratio brings replacement TFR to 1.5 and all the family structure changes that entails (more single moms, institutional polygamy, functional state orphanages etc), i.e. state will have to be much more active in demographic management.<p>Ultimately, it seems cannot carrot to replacement TFR, maybe able to stick, but no politician in any system really wants to touch that stick.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 29 May 2026 16:00:58 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48324968</link><dc:creator>maxglute</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48324968</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48324968</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by maxglute in "Citing 'severe' math deficits, UC faculty demand a return to SAT tests for STEM"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>>underperforming/disadvantaged minorities<p>Underperforming with a standardized test floor, i.e. for tier1 PRC universities this is lowering bar for minority to 99th percentile instead of 99.9 percentile. They filter before tertiary with programs that find all the high performing minorities in poor/disadvantaged regions and throwing them into subsidized boarding schools in wealthy provinces with better academic pipelines, i.e. ensuring they still enter university fully prepared instead of lowering floor to 80th percentile SAT math scores that on paper is good enough but in reality is borderline remedial stupid for university math. Hence PRC STEM has negligible drop rate vs west.<p>As for athletics, I think it's sensible for US who tightly coupled university economics with (some) sports that it makes sense for some athletes, but that's an... unusual arrangement.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 29 May 2026 15:48:25 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48324744</link><dc:creator>maxglute</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48324744</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48324744</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by maxglute in "Canada to order military plane fleet from Sweden in shift from US suppliers"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>GlobalEye still ~20% US components, probably fall into US ITAR/EAR shenanigans territory if US wants to US.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Thu, 28 May 2026 17:34:42 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48312499</link><dc:creator>maxglute</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48312499</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48312499</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by maxglute in "Citing 'severe' math deficits, UC faculty demand a return to SAT tests for STEM"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>PRC has affirmative action points on gaokao for "underperforming" minorities, well it's been phased out to economically disadvantaged minorities last few years to mitigate privilege stacking. So system not incompatible with affirmative action, but even then tier2 PRC schools the affirmative action floor is still like 95th percentile tier1 closer to 99.9 percentile, i.e. not something that can be gamed like in US by 75th percentile SAT scores, athletics, donors, personality scores, diversity.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Thu, 28 May 2026 16:55:19 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48311773</link><dc:creator>maxglute</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48311773</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48311773</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by maxglute in "Citing 'severe' math deficits, UC faculty demand a return to SAT tests for STEM"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>This broadly true but economy isn't run on NBA, NHL, MLA, i.e. a few 1000 of 5 standard deviation talent where separation is mostly genetics. Academia need to develop magnitude more passable high end workers, the genetic pool for that is large and system biases towards culture to fill 1,000,000s of 1-2 standard deviation brains. You need to hammer minor leaguers to see if they make it to rookie league or whatever level below AAA that system has demand for. Reasonable system would be to herd everyone through filtering process and throw drop outs into vocational training or soft subjects that should not be elevated on same level of STEM, not because they're less valuable people blah blah, but the pipeline should distinguish and prioritize strategic sectors.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Thu, 28 May 2026 16:43:08 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48311535</link><dc:creator>maxglute</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48311535</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48311535</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by maxglute in "YouTube to automatically label AI-generated videos"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>>victimized<p>Or you know, preference. Nice steady predictable AI slop delivered at mono qualities can be very comfy. It's like sleep tube, people reading wiki or random articles, comment threads but with varying energy to time pass. It's good enough, better than most human creator content.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Thu, 28 May 2026 16:32:29 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48311365</link><dc:creator>maxglute</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48311365</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48311365</guid></item></channel></rss>