<rss version="2.0" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"><channel><title>Hacker News: mjburgess</title><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/user?id=mjburgess</link><description>Hacker News RSS</description><docs>https://hnrss.org/</docs><generator>hnrss v2.1.1</generator><lastBuildDate>Sun, 18 Oct 2026 07:13:20 +0000</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="https://hnrss.org/user?id=mjburgess" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"></atom:link><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by mjburgess in "90% of US working hours are spent on tasks not covered well by AI benchmarks"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>I guess we can evaluate this claim by looking at profit margins. In industries with thin margins (eg., retail often has 1-2%) then there is significant competitive pressure. There we would not see "spare labour" because it would be competed-away.<p>In industries with large margins, this indicates weak competitive pressure, ie., a weak incentive signal to "compete away" this ineffective labour.<p>I imagine that, upon this analysis, we'd find it holds up. ie., the observation that there are lots of people doing very little productive work correlates well with weak competitive pressures and hence high margins.<p>That also explains why, institutionally, there's no internal pressure either. If margins are good, no one rocks the boat.</p>
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<p>Of that class of book, the game is to pretend to have read it. A little like quoting a play having read a book of quotes.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 16 Oct 2026 16:23:15 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50120396</link><dc:creator>mjburgess</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50120396</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50120396</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by mjburgess in "ICE Planning $100M 'Nightmare' Domestic Spy Program"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>I mean I'm sure you're aware that Renee Good drove a car into an ICE agent, and even if for some reason you don't believe that, you cannot deny she had driven to the area of an enforcement operation in order to disrupt it. The same goes for Alex P. who was likewise on the scene of an enforcement operation. I believe in one or both cases, iirc, the illegal immigrants were engaged in child slavery.<p>ICE have guns because the people they are aiming to deport are often violent and have guns themselves. Apprehending a person without permission to be in the country is an inherently dangerous activity because without the use of any force at all, none would comply with the request to leave. That request has already been issued.<p>I don't know what you think large-scale child slavery operations are like, but you'd want the people detaining those involved to have guns I imagine. Likewise, sits of law enforcement operations are not places that you can protest -- the act of "disrupting" criminal enforcement procedures is itself a crime -- for obvious reasons. You cannot just murder someone, then every time an officer comes to arrest you, arrange for your neighbors to "protest" an arrest.<p>Political protest is a crime when "protestors" commit crimes. All protestors you've mentioned were committing crimes as soon as they entered an enforcement operations, that's called obstruction.<p>> reasoned responses to a Fascist.<p>You havent offered any reasons at all. You're using emotionally escalating language which justifies arbitrary violent action by people you agree with, in order to disrupt activities of the state which have a many-decades long bipartisian popular democratic mandate; and have been going on in the present form, for decades. You're seeking to justify the use of domestic terrorism to undermine the legitimacy of democratically legitimated government policies because you disagree with them.<p>Deporting a person to their country of origin is not a punishment. They are citizens of the country they are being returned to. At any given time 70-80% of pretty much all western states agree with a much harsher immigration enforcement that is ever actually enacted by states themselves. Mass immigration has always taken place against the democratic wishes of vast majorities of people. The removal of people without permission to be here, to the place they have permission to be, is not an attack on that person.<p>By emotionally white-washing acts of domestic terrorism you are creating a situation in which "protestors" are encouraged to get themselves killed in actions against the state. You do not have a hecker's veto on immigration policy, and nothing you do will give you one. The attitude you are taking here i just getting people killed LARPing matyrs for people who, in the end, are not being punished, theyre being deported.</p>
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<p>>  Whether an officer has reasonable suspicion depends on the totality of the circumstances ... Here, those circumstances include: that there is an extremely high number and percentage of illegal immigrants in the Los Angeles area; that those individuals tend to gather in certain locations to seek daily work; that those individuals often work in certain kinds of jobs, such as day labor, landscaping, agriculture, and construction, that do not require paperwork and are therefore especially attractive to illegal immigrants; and that many of those illegally in the Los Angeles area come from Mexico or Central America and do not speak much English.</p>
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<p>> You don't need to murder someone to remove a heckler<p>And what if you do?<p>Are you saying that you cannot conceive of a situation in which a person who disagrees with immigration law would deliberately place themselves in a position in which the only way of removing them from a enforcement situation is killing them?<p>This is strange given the number of domestic terrorism incidents. Consider, for example, <a href="https://www.pbs.org/newshour/nation/8-convicted-of-terrorism-charges-in-texas-immigration-center-shooting-sentenced-to-decades-in-prison" rel="nofollow">https://www.pbs.org/newshour/nation/8-convicted-of-terrorism...</a><p>> A demonstrator who shot and wounded a police officer outside a Texas immigration center<p>There is no case, to my knowledge, of ICE killing anyone who hasnt voluntarily placed themselves in the middle of an enforcement situation. And more so, there are many uncontroversial cases of the attempted murder of ICE officers (see, eg. the above).<p>The problem with your position is that it hands complete control over the existence of the immigration system to those who are willing to engage in domestic terrorism. I assume this isnt an accident, and you're well aware that "violence" here isnt "required" -- but it is caused by activists whose political project is to use violence against ICE officers.<p>Giving domestic terrorists a veto over government legislation is presumably not a position you wish to defend. Or if it is, be aware that quite a lot of historical domestic terrorism was right wing, and under the same principles, so it would be again.</p>
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<p>> "A lot of mexicans are working on that house over there, let's arrest them and see whose a citizen".<p>>  what this administration is doing which is arresting everyone that looks a little mexican<p>If they were doing that, how could there only be 36 cases?<p>Again, you arent even engaging with the reality of the situation.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Wed, 14 Oct 2026 22:44:33 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50096558</link><dc:creator>mjburgess</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50096558</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50096558</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by mjburgess in "ICE Planning $100M 'Nightmare' Domestic Spy Program"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>There is no argument. Your position is that it is possible for there to be an immigration enforcement procedure which never accidentally detains a US citizen for any length of time.<p>I don't think that such a thing is possible, for any effective enforcement procedure. I think all effective procedures of any kind, which exist in the real world, have an error rate. And error rates, for any real procedure, are never zero. And all government policy, which incidentally here arises from overwhelming democratic support, exists in the real world.<p>If you want to say A) "the only permissible enforcement procedure is one which is error free" and B) "such an enforcement procedure is possible" then I deny both premises. If you are saying something else: what's your allowed error rate?<p>My arguments against A, B i've already given. To accept A is to say that the government has arbitrarily high costs for either: 1) perfect enforcement or no borders: ie., if such a perfect procedure is possible, its costs are arbitrarily high (how does one in every possible case, spend arbitarily long amount of time, in arbitary situations, determining if a person is a US citzien? <i>flawlessly</i> ); or 2) if it isn't, then a borderless country which raises taxes and has social systems thereby awards all people within travel distance benefits from these.<p>As for B) this follows, a priori, from a claim that all real-world processes have error rates. To be more specific: immigration enforcement is a social process involving: people, human judgement, a wide vareity of unusual situations, and so on. At each stage there are signficant rates of error which follow from this.</p>
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<p>Right, so you assume (and conclude) the possibility and necessity of a perfect enforcement procedure which will never detain a US citizen.<p>At this point, I dont think i'm talking to a person offering arguments in good faith. Nothing you've said advances or clarifies how such a procedure could be enacted, and your replies are simply restatements of your assumption.</p>
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<p>"Innocent until proven guilty" doesnt apply to arrest. It only means that you're to be given timely recourse to challenge arrest, not that you cannot be arrested or detained. For obvious reasons.<p>> These are all tasks for the state to do before arresting someone.<p>There were certainly done in the case of these 36. That isnt the issue. The issue is that there are some non-zero pool of US citizens, who associate with non-US citizens illegally in the country, who cannot readily prove their citizenship. Since they are present with illegal immigrants, and are reasonably suspected of being one, they are reasonably detained.<p>> There's almost no way it couldn't be improved.<p>This indicates you aren't aware of the issues involved.<p>No one thinks its a good thing for US citizens to be mistakenly detained. The onus is on people who agree that there should be some level of immigration enforcement to explain how a perfect process avoids 100% of all such cases.<p>If you dont want immigration enforcement, that's a clearer position. Then the question is: what does the US owe to non-citizens who have build nothing, and paid nothing? If the answer is "nothing" you've got a lot of homelesssness, medical, etc. issues to address --- if your answer is "something" then you've got 8bn people on the planet, and the question is: how much?</p>
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<p>So your view is that government policy is subject to a heckler's veto. If a protester can place themselves between law enforcement such that they're at risk of being injured, or killed -- then, by that very fact, any such law should no longer be enforced.<p>OK, fair enough. By this logic, those Jan 6th protesters who placed themselves between police and buildings/crowds such that they were injured/killed/etc. by the police -- those people get to cancel a federal election. For, if we cannot have elections without people dying, then presumably there should be none?</p>
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<p>It's a small number as a property of an enforcement procedure which has to deal with millions of people.<p>Its unclear how other than requiring the process to be perfect, and without any error at all, that the number could be much lower.<p>And such a requirement is, in practice, impossible. So requiring the number to be 0 is to require there to be no immigration enforcement at all.</p>
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<p>> The onus should be on the arresting officer to have a reasonable suspicion that the person in question is in the US without proper authorization<p>My question is: suppose they have such suspicion.<p>> 36 US citizens being incorrectly and illegally arrested is 36 too many. Period. End of story.<p>This doesnt really make any sense. Since you want to say that the process of immigration enforcement must be designed to <i>never</i> make a mistake that places a US citizen in detention for any amount of time, i assume that your real goal is to end all immigration enforcement.<p>It would be better if you said that, rather than laundered your view thru a claim about the possibility and necessity of perfect enforcement.</p>
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<p>Yes, this is the only evidence I can find of anything even tangentially claimed in this comment. "At least 36 citizens were held at least a day without being able to contact a lawyer or family."<p>It's unclear how that number could be "0" if there's any immigration enforcement at all. That is: supposing a person is likely to be present without authorisation in the country, and is unable to offer any evidence of citizenship, then what?<p>It seems this is an incredibly small number for such a large operation, ie., the worst case treatment of US citizens appears to be 36 held for a day.<p>Could this be improved? Presumably.</p>
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<p>Do you have any references for these claims?<p>* Which US citizens have been abducted and by who? Which have been killed?<p>* Which US citizens found themselves in US detention centers (without lawful arrest) ?<p>* Which US citizens were placed in other countries without judicial review?<p>As far as I can tell:<p>No US citizens have been deported. No US citizens have been detained after evidence of their citizenship has been produced, which is a fast process in practice (taking a few hours), and has affected a few hundred people in total swept up during larger enforcement operations. The worst examples I can find are "At least 36 citizens were held at least a day without being able to contact a lawyer or family." No US citizens have died in detention, nor been killed. In detention, deaths have risen on previous years, but are due to existing medical issues being untreated rather than anyone being killed.</p>
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<p>Probably lots of internal competitor apps ready to release to wipe out SaaS/Adobe/etc. companies.</p>
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<p>Worse, that this "intrinsic" motivation was developed within an existing intellectual community -- so where does the next generation acquire it?<p>The community is reqiured for both intrinsic and extrinsic motivators, just over different time horizons.</p>
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<p>I mean it's not clear how its supposed to be anything other than virtue signally.<p>The claim that an expressed belief is principally a kind of signalling means that its content isn't a sincerely held belief by anyone, but the act of expressing such belief serves to signal to some audience a certain non-propositional kind of information.  Virtue signalling is a signalling to indicate virtue, and in many practical cases is taken to include tribal loyalty to a particular political project.<p>Jesus used the phrase, iirc, "praying in the streets":<p>> And when you pray, do not be like the hypocrites, for they love to pray standing in the synagogues and on the street corners to be seen by others<p>The observation that behaviour signals virtue is as old as the species itself.<p>Protestations to caring about human rights are, often enough, a modern sort of liberal prayer, practiced in the street or the public internet. And one imagines a vast amount of corp speech exists for signalling purposes (if not virtue,, then eg., to signal strength or growth, or trust). This entire posts exists to signal, it's unclear it expresses any sincere belief whatsoever.</p>
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<p>The annoyance is that your personal judgement of "bad" is being wrapped up in emotional escalating language which equivocates, "I dont like this policy on immigration" with the history of genocide and total war in europe.</p>
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<p>I can confirm this effect. One winter I left 2x300w living room lights on perm, and it had a dramatic effect. The only issue is that its nice to turn lights off at night, and if you do that, now you're in habit-dependent territory.</p>
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<p><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Plausible_deniability" rel="nofollow">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Plausible_deniability</a></p>
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