Hacker News: mysecretaccount

New comment by mysecretaccount in "Tesla’s 4680 battery supply chain collapses as partner writes down deal by 99%"

mysecretaccount — Tue, 30 Dec 2025 06:26:36 +0000

The poster to which I responded and the article are each speculating on the "why" for this contract. That said, we do not need to speculate about Cybertruck sales - Business Insider reported that Tesla sold only 5,400 of them in 2025Q3.

We know from this that they do not need the same level of third-party 4680 capacity, and (call it speculative if you so desire) this is the most parsimonious explanation for the L&F write down.

New comment by mysecretaccount in "Tesla’s 4680 battery supply chain collapses as partner writes down deal by 99%"

mysecretaccount — Tue, 30 Dec 2025 05:19:58 +0000

> Tesla is actually starting to make cathodes in house via a dry process, which is why they are no longer buying cathode material from this supplier.

The latter part of this is speculative. Tesla may have begun shipping dry cathodes but it isn't clear that they're capable of matching the former third-party volume. Tesla would absolutely need the additional 4680 volume if Cybertruck sales were meeting their original projections (as opposed to now when they are ~an order of magnitude lower).

New comment by mysecretaccount in "AGI fantasy is a blocker to actual engineering"

mysecretaccount — Fri, 14 Nov 2025 17:12:57 +0000

I agree with both of you, but scaling isn't feasible with this paradigm. You could need continent-sized hardware to approximate general intelligence with the current paradigm.

New comment by mysecretaccount in "NASA chief suggests SpaceX may be booted from moon mission"

mysecretaccount — Wed, 22 Oct 2025 04:54:35 +0000

Clearly the poster is saying that SpaceX is "the billionaires".

SpaceX is majority owned by billionaires.

New comment by mysecretaccount in "How sober should a writer be?"

mysecretaccount — Sun, 19 Oct 2025 06:34:00 +0000

What is "low but not micro"? 80ug?

New comment by mysecretaccount in "U.S. investors, Trump close in on TikTok deal with China"

mysecretaccount — Wed, 17 Sep 2025 16:12:02 +0000

Enough with the tone policing. The original comment is accurate: Paramount seeks to install Zionist Bari Weiss. This is uncontroversially true.

New comment by mysecretaccount in "What Is Complexity in Chess?"

mysecretaccount — Mon, 01 Sep 2025 10:20:00 +0000

> We should have solved chess already. > We should be aiming to solve chess, but we are not even trying.

We are trying and we should not expect to solve it because the search space is massive. There are more legal games of chess than atoms in the universe.

New comment by mysecretaccount in "Growing trade deficit is selling the nation out from under us (2003) [pdf]"

mysecretaccount — Fri, 04 Apr 2025 10:04:59 +0000

iPhone sales don't count as a US export when calculating the trade deficit? Does anyone have information on this? Seems like a major issue indeed.

New comment by mysecretaccount in "Suspension of inbound parcels from China and Hong Kong"

mysecretaccount — Wed, 05 Feb 2025 03:06:38 +0000

The upper class vacuuming up all profit, greatly exacerbating inequality, is a far bigger deal than the inflationary impact of immigration. Your analysis is poor.

New comment by mysecretaccount in "Israel, Hamas reach ceasefire deal to end 15 months of war in Gaza"

mysecretaccount — Thu, 16 Jan 2025 08:54:09 +0000

The timing of their acceptance of a 42-day ceasefire - whether now or eight months prior - bears little significance for the long-term outlook of Hamas or the civilian death toll in Gaza. Strange analysis to hang your hat on, Thomas.

New comment by mysecretaccount in "Israel, Hamas reach ceasefire deal to end 15 months of war in Gaza"

mysecretaccount — Thu, 16 Jan 2025 08:43:07 +0000

"[Hamas] should have taken the deal when it was first offered [because this list of people died afterward]" sure sounds like a moral argument to me.

New comment by mysecretaccount in "Israel, Hamas reach ceasefire deal to end 15 months of war in Gaza"

mysecretaccount — Thu, 16 Jan 2025 08:38:36 +0000

> 11,000 is not “tens of thousands.” It’s a horrible number. But horrible doesn’t mean numbers are meaningless.

The 11,000 figure the other poster cited is the approximate number of children that have been killed whose death was been identified and linked with a name by the Gaza Health Ministry in September. GHM was part of a barely functional government before 10/7 and now is part of a barely functional government in a war zone. The actual figure is significantly higher, but with a wide confidence interval: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/14/health/gaza-death-toll.ht...

Tens of thousands is not an understatement. Numbers are not meaningless, indeed.

New comment by mysecretaccount in "Israel, Hamas reach ceasefire deal to end 15 months of war in Gaza"

mysecretaccount — Thu, 16 Jan 2025 06:47:13 +0000

I suppose if we are to digress to the land of "shoulds", Israel should not have decided to delete tens of thousands of Gazan children in the interim.

Even if we grant that Israel offered this ceasefire deal in good faith in May, a bungled deal by Qatar/Egypt/Hamas does nothing to justify the ethnic cleansing they conducted in 2024.

New comment by mysecretaccount in "I wrote a Game Boy Advance game in Zig"

mysecretaccount — Sat, 11 Jan 2025 23:08:19 +0000

Interesting, thank you!

New comment by mysecretaccount in "Mullenweg the Coward"

mysecretaccount — Sat, 11 Jan 2025 22:41:29 +0000

> I feel like your writing borders on hate speech

Hilarious to imagine him writing this with a straight face.

I know many employees of the company Mullenweg runs (mismanages). He is not held in particularly high esteem among them.

New comment by mysecretaccount in "I wrote a Game Boy Advance game in Zig"

mysecretaccount — Tue, 31 Dec 2024 07:26:39 +0000

Why is the DS in the "Non-modern graphics" row? It does not use a tile based renderer.

Analogue 3D

mysecretaccount — Wed, 16 Oct 2024 19:29:56 +0000

Article URL: https://www.analogue.co/3d?newpost

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41862894

Points: 3

# Comments: 0

New comment by mysecretaccount in "Filed: WP Engine Inc. v Automattic Inc. and Matthew Charles Mullenweg [pdf]"

mysecretaccount — Thu, 03 Oct 2024 05:14:21 +0000

I don't think it's a good idea, but it is preferable for me as a bystander trying to understand his position on and the details of the case.

New comment by mysecretaccount in "Filed: WP Engine Inc. v Automattic Inc. and Matthew Charles Mullenweg [pdf]"

mysecretaccount — Thu, 03 Oct 2024 03:27:20 +0000

He seems rather level-headed to me. I would rather a CEO address this lawsuit candidly personally.

New comment by mysecretaccount in "The first nuclear clock will test if fundamental constants change"

mysecretaccount — Wed, 04 Sep 2024 19:49:16 +0000

If the fundamental constants are not constant, why not expect them to change in this galaxy as well? The appeal to "other galaxies" seems suspect to me, a way to evade falsifiability.