Hacker News: nateglims

New comment by nateglims in "Claude Opus 4.6"

nateglims — Thu, 05 Feb 2026 20:33:17 +0000

I just had an idea for an RLVR startup.

New comment by nateglims in "Why software stocks are getting pummelled"

nateglims — Mon, 02 Feb 2026 23:20:03 +0000

It basically does

> The value of listed American enterprise-software companies is down by 10% over the past year.

New comment by nateglims in "Amazon cuts 16k jobs"

nateglims — Wed, 28 Jan 2026 18:02:27 +0000

I would wager being remote made him a target. It seems like a stretch to say it's just the global job market when the layoffs are global.

New comment by nateglims in "Amazon cuts 16k jobs"

nateglims — Wed, 28 Jan 2026 17:54:08 +0000

The layoff includes people in India.

New comment by nateglims in "Goldman Sachs Global Macro Research: Gen AI: too much spend, too little benefit [pdf] (2024)"

nateglims — Fri, 23 Jan 2026 22:48:27 +0000

Reality doesn't disagree with him in that the ROI is still not here yet. Maybe the coming replacement of software engineers will start to ramp up equity gains due to productivity, but it's real hard to get there by replacing your receptionists and lowest tier of support personnel.

New comment by nateglims in "Goldman Sachs Global Macro Research: Gen AI: too much spend, too little benefit [pdf] (2024)"

nateglims — Thu, 22 Jan 2026 21:00:13 +0000

The title is click bait. 3 of the 5 people interviewed were optimistic and one of the pessimists is an MIT professor, not a goldman analyst. The rest of it is market outlooks from 2024 for chips and power that don't seem that far off.

New comment by nateglims in "AWS CEO says replacing junior devs with AI is 'one of the dumbest ideas'"

nateglims — Wed, 17 Dec 2025 18:02:28 +0000

I'm a little confused by this analysis. Are you saying that all enterprise software has been replaced with MS word and AWS?

New comment by nateglims in "Is Mozilla trying hard to kill itself?"

nateglims — Wed, 17 Dec 2025 17:41:42 +0000

> To be fair, it's not entirely their own fault. Competition is strong, especially from Google and Apple. Even with perfect decisions, they likely would still have lost big since their peak. The market for alternative Browsers isn't as big any more as it used to be.

Their peak in share was also pre-chrome. They've basically been losing the battle slowly for over a decade.

New comment by nateglims in "Is Mozilla trying hard to kill itself?"

nateglims — Wed, 17 Dec 2025 17:34:19 +0000

Firefox improved in quality significantly between 2014 and the recent decline. And it's not like Brave has shown incredibly good judgement in these areas.

New comment by nateglims in "Going Through Snowden Documents, Part 1"

nateglims — Fri, 12 Dec 2025 01:43:07 +0000

I'm sympathetic to snowden and think he should just be pardoned, but in retrospect was this actually huge news? Other than reaffirming that telcos were a weak link and that we should encrypt everything, what was a major revelation?

I don't think americans broadly care if we are spying on any of the countries listed in part 1 or 2 of this. Mexico, Brazil, Venezuela, Bolivia and China?

New comment by nateglims in "Everyone in Seattle hates AI"

nateglims — Thu, 04 Dec 2025 19:59:12 +0000

You can use ChatGPT for minor stuff and still have a negative view on AI. In fact the non-tech white collar workers I know use chatgpt for stuff like business writing at work but are generally concerned.

Negative sentiment also comes through in opinion polling in the US.

New comment by nateglims in "Everyone in Seattle hates AI"

nateglims — Thu, 04 Dec 2025 19:48:08 +0000

Its a weak proxy for people who are not in tech.

In polling japan and sweden are very similar in terms of sentiment though: https://www.pewresearch.org/global/2025/10/15/how-people-aro...

New comment by nateglims in "Everyone in Seattle hates AI"

nateglims — Thu, 04 Dec 2025 01:52:30 +0000

Sure, I meant the anglosphere. But in most countries, the less people are aware of technology or use the internet the less they are enthusiastic about AI.

New comment by nateglims in "Everyone in Seattle hates AI"

nateglims — Thu, 04 Dec 2025 00:03:03 +0000

Outside of tech, I think the opinion is generally negative. AI has lost a lot the narrative due to things like energy prices and layoffs.

New comment by nateglims in "The Junior Hiring Crisis"

nateglims — Tue, 02 Dec 2025 23:03:46 +0000

I think the interest rate and shareholder pressure were the most immediate causes. In 2021 you could get head count to do trivial projects at many tech companies and by the end of 2022 you had layoffs and hiring freezes.

New comment by nateglims in "OpenAI declares 'code red' as Google catches up in AI race"

nateglims — Tue, 02 Dec 2025 22:31:31 +0000

I think the theory is if you get to that point, it's already over.

New comment by nateglims in "Intel could return to Apple computers in 2027"

nateglims — Mon, 01 Dec 2025 23:47:01 +0000

What decisions were MBA instead of engineering decisions? It seems like intel has just made a lot of bad bets or failed to put their mass behind good ones.

The heights nvidia has achieved seem incidental and have depended heavily on the transformer/LLM market materializing.

New comment by nateglims in "High-income job losses are cooling housing demand"

nateglims — Mon, 01 Dec 2025 23:38:57 +0000

Everything risks aggravating NIMBYism. It's hard to see how housing costs can come down in a lot of cities simply because housing is seen as an investment and people won't idly standby if the value decreases because of policies.

New comment by nateglims in "Ilya Sutskever: We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research"

nateglims — Thu, 27 Nov 2025 16:13:41 +0000

Are you a mathematician? I’m not an expert on the math field but it seems like they are hitting the same issues everyone else has: current LLMs still more or less need to be supervised by an expert and struggle to do something actually novel or build out a complicated proof correctly.

New comment by nateglims in "China reaches energy milestone by "breeding" uranium from thorium"

nateglims — Sun, 23 Nov 2025 03:44:00 +0000

I think it has a key advantage for China specifically though which is it consumes significantly less water and they have a lot of water poor territory.

The oakridge experiment ended and not a lot of R&D has been done on salt reactors. It makes sense that China is still basically in research and testing phases for molten salts.