Hacker News: nemo44x

New comment by nemo44x in "Jensen Huang resigns"

nemo44x — Thu, 12 Nov 2026 20:32:37 +0000

There’s a thing called know you customer (KYC) law. You can in fact be held liable if you can’t prove you sufficiently vetted a customer before engaging in a transaction with them. Saying that you’re right there’s only so much they can do after vetting.

New comment by nemo44x in "Jensen Huang resigns"

nemo44x — Thu, 12 Nov 2026 20:29:30 +0000

That may not be entirely true. KYC laws exist for this reason.

New comment by nemo44x in "Nvidia is preparing to oust Jensen Huang"

nemo44x — Thu, 12 Nov 2026 12:27:49 +0000

He should run Intel then.

New comment by nemo44x in "AI usage generates a fragile codebase"

nemo44x — Tue, 10 Nov 2026 12:13:51 +0000

AI does it at scale.

New comment by nemo44x in "Claude Fable 5.2 and Mythos 5.2"

nemo44x — Tue, 10 Nov 2026 12:11:52 +0000

These guys really needed to IPO 3 months ago. Timing is everything. I don’t doubt they’ll be a successful company long term but they’ve sabotaged their initial raise here.

New comment by nemo44x in "Nvidia Board of Directors Is Investigating Jensen Huang"

nemo44x — Sun, 08 Nov 2026 22:04:34 +0000

Nerds in power need to remember that if a gorgeous women is coming on to you then she’s probably a spy. Imagine how many don’t get caught!

New comment by nemo44x in "Nyquist Limit:The frequency of changes in tech is invalidating our understanding"

nemo44x — Thu, 05 Nov 2026 19:53:21 +0000

He talks about the problem with this empirically.

I have to say I mainly agree in a way I wouldn’t have 1 month ago. We are now starting to see bugs creep above our baseline. This is only what we are detecting. At least in certain critical areas we are not removing strict human review.

One theory is our codebase (which is large and mature) was very coherent. As we moved to more autonomy and needed generated code in the base has grown and is less mature now and likely not as coherent. The LLM has to cope with this.

New comment by nemo44x in "Kentucky man becomes the first humanist granted religious exemption from AI"

nemo44x — Wed, 28 Oct 2026 22:51:51 +0000

We are going to have so much high quality furniture.

New comment by nemo44x in "Kentucky man becomes the first humanist granted religious exemption from AI"

nemo44x — Wed, 28 Oct 2026 22:50:27 +0000

We actually do have standards for some software engineering. Claude isn’t writing anything that is life/death critical.

Static analysis for example. Although I’ve heard that LLMs can now do that if a user wanted it.

New comment by nemo44x in "Early progress on accelerating drug development with Claude"

nemo44x — Wed, 28 Oct 2026 00:38:38 +0000

Everything Anthropic says absolves them of responsibility and is self serving.

New comment by nemo44x in "The Exponential Time Hypothesis Is False [pdf]"

nemo44x — Tue, 27 Oct 2026 00:36:25 +0000

We are living in such a weird, amazing, and miraculous time. It’s completely surreal.

New comment by nemo44x in "Anthropic S-1"

nemo44x — Mon, 26 Oct 2026 23:39:20 +0000

Yes. And yes you can churn slop. And I’m sure many will and many will get stuck with a source base that grows bigger than LLMs can cope with and becomes unmaintainable.

But you can also have many engineers operating it, testing outputs like you would in a real factory, etc.

Will be interesting to see how this pattern evolves. If it even makes sense.

New comment by nemo44x in "Microsoft offers mass buyouts for roughly a quarter of its workforce"

nemo44x — Mon, 26 Oct 2026 17:49:46 +0000

> At the same time, we'll keep helping people focus on the work that matters most, build new skills, and, where it makes sense, find new opportunities across Microsoft.

Anthropic is already doing this - some software engineers have redeployed into research roles, for example. “Redeploying” is going to be the latest HR trend I think.

New comment by nemo44x in "Anthropic S-1"

nemo44x — Mon, 26 Oct 2026 16:46:40 +0000

The calculus may be that DeepSeek (or similar) + human is good enough and that the frontier simply won’t have the growth to get to the next level that differentiates them and justifies the token cost. They get stuck in a race to the bottom which is opposite of what they want.

New comment by nemo44x in "Anthropic S-1"

nemo44x — Mon, 26 Oct 2026 14:45:54 +0000

The $100/month guy for inference isn’t the prize. It’s the thousands of companies spending millions/month.

It’s not unusual for someone to spend $5k in a week. 2 guys at my place just spend $150,000 over 3 months building out a factory.

We are aggressively exploring open weight models now.

New comment by nemo44x in "Anthropic S-1"

nemo44x — Mon, 26 Oct 2026 14:43:50 +0000

Their entire goal is to get to AGI via RSI ASAP. If they do they win. But if not they’ll be a legendary story of a flying too high too fast.

That they are IPOing tells me that the massive amount of funding they need is no longer available privately and that this is their 1 opportunity to get the funds they think they need to get there.

Biggest risk is the growth stalls as everyone moves to open weight models. They certainly like telling stories.

New comment by nemo44x in "IBM CEO says open weight models are now good and cheap on-prem"

nemo44x — Mon, 26 Oct 2026 14:07:18 +0000

I’d challenge that and say that the opportunity cost was massive. So you needed to be super precise and confident in what to spend the time doing.

Now that opportunity cost is much lower so experimentation is more practical than before.

New comment by nemo44x in "IBM CEO says open weight models are now good and cheap on-prem"

nemo44x — Mon, 26 Oct 2026 13:34:20 +0000

They do when they see the cost savings and ROI. It’s the one reliable thing that makes a company switch from any tech to another one.

Looking at our AI spend today vs 1 year ago we have massive changes. Anything that can bring this under control and potentially save millions a year is being explored.

We will probably end up with a combo of open weight models for most work and frontier models for key projects. For now. Who knows what the landscape looks like in 1 year.

New comment by nemo44x in "IBM CEO says open weight models are now good and cheap on-prem"

nemo44x — Mon, 26 Oct 2026 12:55:18 +0000

Everyone I know is either starting to or planning to switch to open weight models. Cost savings are just too good.

This is what will cook frontier AI and probably prevent the investment scale to happen for AGI. Humans + good enough cheap AI is just more economic and unbelievably productive. Like why we fly on jet technology from the 1960s still with incremental improvements.

It’s why Anthropic is desperate for capital and trying to get to a scale where AGI appears. But I’m afraid they won’t get there in time and the money to build the bigger model will have dried up.

New comment by nemo44x in "Ask HN: If the models are so good, why doesn't OpenAI just start 100 companies?"

nemo44x — Fri, 23 Oct 2026 10:47:31 +0000

Their thesis is there won’t be companies when they achieve AGI. They are trying to fund that accomplishment by selling tokens to the companies they plan on making obsolete eventually. Essentially getting everyone to fund their own demise.