<rss version="2.0" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"><channel><title>Hacker News: nilkn</title><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/user?id=nilkn</link><description>Hacker News RSS</description><docs>https://hnrss.org/</docs><generator>hnrss v2.1.1</generator><lastBuildDate>Sat, 25 Apr 2026 20:11:05 +0000</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="https://hnrss.org/user?id=nilkn" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"></atom:link><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by nilkn in "Google plans to invest up to $40B in Anthropic"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>They're pointing out that run-rate revenue is based on essentially sampling revenue over some limited time interval, then extrapolating from there assuming revenue always occurs at the same rate (or greater) over all similar intervals in the future. More specifically, they're pointing out that estimates of ARR derived from this kind of sampling are fundamentally prone to error and can be arbitrarily inflated based on how the time interval is sampled.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 24 Apr 2026 21:30:04 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47896042</link><dc:creator>nilkn</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47896042</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47896042</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by nilkn in "Microsoft offers buyouts up to 7% of US employees"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>I'd think of it this way:<p>Folks who have institutional knowledge that is really critical to the company are likely treated quite well in prestigious roles and paid handsomely. If they take a modest buyout offer, it's probably because they were close to retirement anyway. Any truly critical role will have a succession plan. And if someone the company <i>really</i> doesn't want to lose signals they intend to take the offer without a credible succession plan, the company could just make them an even better personal offer to stay.<p>At the same time, I'm sure there are many folks who over-estimate how important their role and knowledge are to the company, especially to its future, which may look increasingly different from its past. Some of these people can become active blockers or political problems that are difficult, visible, and painful to deal with. Getting them to exit on their own is a win for the company, and it avoids the morale problem of visibly performance managing them or firing them.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Thu, 23 Apr 2026 21:27:23 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47882293</link><dc:creator>nilkn</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47882293</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47882293</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by nilkn in "The RAM shortage could last years"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>I believe this is exactly what's going on -- they're buying parts in bulk, often months in advance, and locking in deals that a single consumer can't easily go get on the open market right now.<p>Hardware pricing and availabilty pre-COVID was pretty predictable and stable, which meant the consumer could extract a meaningful cost advantage if they were willing to do the relatively modest amount of work of sourcing components individually and personally assembling the build. Right now, though, some places like Microcenter appear to have a cost advantage that fundamentally relies on market and pricing instability and can only be achieved through deeper integration with the supply chain and bulk purchasing in advance -- something a retailer like Microcenter can do, but I personally cannot.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Mon, 20 Apr 2026 15:43:59 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47835969</link><dc:creator>nilkn</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47835969</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47835969</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by nilkn in "The RAM shortage could last years"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>As an aside, recently I wanted to refresh my gaming PC, but the price shock and general lack of availability of buying components individually made it seem hardly worth it, so I just kept deferring the project.<p>Then, mostly by chance, I saw that my local Microcenter had some pre-builts for sale, and I ended up picking one up for <$5k that had "best in slot" components across the board, including a 5090 and even a high-end power supply.<p>The last time I built a gaming PC was upwards of a decade ago, and at that time the prevailing wisdom was to never buy a pre-built unless you had a massive amount of disposable income and couldn't spare even just one weekend to dedicate to a hobby project that could benefit you for years. Now, it was absolutely a no-brainer.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Mon, 20 Apr 2026 02:32:25 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47829722</link><dc:creator>nilkn</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47829722</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47829722</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by nilkn in "Measuring Claude 4.7's tokenizer costs"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>I don't completely agree. Estimation is nontrivial, but not necessarily a random guess. Teams of human engineers have been doing this for decades -- not always with great success, but better than random. Deciding whether to put an intern or your best staff engineer on a problem is a challenge known to any engineering manager and TPM.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 17 Apr 2026 19:13:28 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47809484</link><dc:creator>nilkn</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47809484</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47809484</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by nilkn in "ChatGPT Pro now starts at $100/month"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>This take is out-of-date by months (which is an eternity in this space). Codex today has caught up and is very much on par with CC.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Thu, 09 Apr 2026 18:23:03 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47707486</link><dc:creator>nilkn</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47707486</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47707486</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by nilkn in "Ball Pit"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>The free Google AI mode got it for me on the first try by just pasting in the comment and asking what TRAA was in that context.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Wed, 25 Mar 2026 23:33:11 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47524747</link><dc:creator>nilkn</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47524747</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47524747</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by nilkn in "GitHub appears to be struggling with measly three nines availability"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>> Look at popular projects -- a few minutes after an issue is filed they have sometimes 10+ patches submitted. All generating PRs and forks and all the things.<p>I think this is a really important point that is getting overlooked in most conversations about GitHub's reliability lately.<p>GitHub was not designed or architected for a world where millions of AI coding agents can trivially generate huge volumes of commits and PRs. This alone is such a huge spike and change in user behavior that it wouldn't be unreasonable to expect even a very well-architected site to struggle with reliability. For GitHub, N 9s of availability pre-AI simply does not mean the same thing as N 9s of availability post-AI. Those are two completely different levels of difficulty, even when N is the same.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Mon, 23 Mar 2026 16:51:35 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47492011</link><dc:creator>nilkn</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47492011</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47492011</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by nilkn in "Astral to Join OpenAI"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>I feel like it's pretty easy to predict what OpenAI is trying to do. They want their codex agent integrated directly into the most popular, foundational tooling for one of the world's most used and most influential programming languages. And, vice versa, they probably want to be able to ensure that tooling remains well-maintained so it stays on top and continues to integrate well with their agent. They want codex to become the "default" coding agent by making it the one integrated into popular open source software.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Thu, 19 Mar 2026 14:02:07 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47439641</link><dc:creator>nilkn</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47439641</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47439641</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by nilkn in "Ask HN: How to be alone?"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>This sounds like grief and depression to me. You're struggling because you're still mentally filtering everything you do through another person who is no longer part of your life. You must learn to do things for you, not for someone else. You may find that some things you thought you enjoyed you actually were only doing for someone else. Likewise, you may discover that what you want do purely for yourself is different from what you might expect or predict.<p>Time will heal some of this naturally. But the #1 recommendation I would always make to anyone in this situation is to pursue exercise. Weightlifting, hiking, etc., generate rapidly compounding results across multiple dimensions of your life and also often generate some of the most authentic social experiences you can find as a 30+ year old adult.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sun, 08 Mar 2026 21:58:02 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47301987</link><dc:creator>nilkn</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47301987</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47301987</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by nilkn in "WSL Manager"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Same here. The initial version of WSL back in the day could certainly be rough, but modern WSL2 seems totally fine to me. It is the key ingredient that allows me to have one workstation that can do "everything".</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sun, 08 Mar 2026 21:18:14 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47301588</link><dc:creator>nilkn</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47301588</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47301588</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by nilkn in "Google just gave Sundar Pichai a $692M pay package"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>That's not clear to me. He's been in charge for over a decade, and the company he's in charge of has the most dominant position in AI in the world.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sun, 08 Mar 2026 19:19:23 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47300237</link><dc:creator>nilkn</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47300237</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47300237</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by nilkn in "Google just gave Sundar Pichai a $692M pay package"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>I'm surprised people still think this. Google has the strongest position of any company in the world on AI. They have expertise and capability across the entire stack from chips to data centers to fundamental research to frontier models. Just because they weren't first-to-market with a chatbot doesn't mean they almost lost or made some terrible durable blunder.<p>That's about Google, though. The picture about Sundar specifically is harder to evaluate. The pessimistic take is that Google had that position already and Sundar failed to proactively lead through a fundamental product shift, forcing the company onto the defensive for some time. The optimistic take is that Sundar, having occupied the top spot since 2015, prioritized investments in the company's overall technology development, then successfully executed a rapid product pivot when the market changed, securing a dominant position in both research and product that nobody else can compete with long-term.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sun, 08 Mar 2026 19:13:03 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47300152</link><dc:creator>nilkn</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47300152</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47300152</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by nilkn in "I am directing the Department of War to designate Anthropic a supply-chain risk"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>You're confused because you're taking everything the people involved are saying literally and trusting everything plainly at face value. The existence of the contradiction you're pointing out should be evidence that you need to think a level deeper, i.e., that you need to look at actions more than words. There's an incredibly easy resolution of the contradiction that is troubling you, and it's already been pointed out clearly above.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sat, 28 Feb 2026 01:23:12 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47188722</link><dc:creator>nilkn</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47188722</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47188722</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by nilkn in "I am directing the Department of War to designate Anthropic a supply-chain risk"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>He didn't talk around it. He wrote down specifically what the two issues were, which is precisely why now the entire world knows what's actually going on. If risking your company's existence to prevent a (potential) atrocity is weakness, I don't know what strength is.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sat, 28 Feb 2026 01:12:59 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47188633</link><dc:creator>nilkn</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47188633</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47188633</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by nilkn in "I am directing the Department of War to designate Anthropic a supply-chain risk"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>I don't know what you're referencing, but it doesn't matter. I judge people by their actions more than their words. The actions in this case are simple: Anthropic doesn't want their models to be used for fully autonomous weapons or mass surveillance of American citizens, but everything else is fair game; in response, the sitting administration is attempting to kill the company (since a strict reading of the security risk order would force most of their partners, suppliers, etc., to cut them off completely).<p>Giving precedence to words over actions is how you get taken advantage, abused, deceived, etc.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sat, 28 Feb 2026 01:03:51 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47188554</link><dc:creator>nilkn</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47188554</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47188554</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by nilkn in "I am directing the Department of War to designate Anthropic a supply-chain risk"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Obviously Anthropic does make a product that could do that -- just give Claude classified data and ask it who to target.<p>Obviously the military wants to use it for that purpose since they couldn't accept Anthropic's extremely limited terms.<p>One can easily and immediately infer the answers to both your questions are yes.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sat, 28 Feb 2026 00:52:58 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47188461</link><dc:creator>nilkn</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47188461</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47188461</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by nilkn in "I am directing the Department of War to designate Anthropic a supply-chain risk"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Anthropic specifically called out systems "that take humans out of the loop entirely and automate selecting and engaging targets".<p>I take that to mean they don't want the military using Claude to decide who to kill. As a hyperbolic yet frankly realistic example, they don't want Claude to make a mistake and direct the military to kill innocent children accidentally identified as narco-terrorists.<p>At least, that's the most charitable interpretation of everything going on. I suspect they are also worried that the sitting administration wants to use AI to help them execute a full autocratic takeover of the United States, so they're attempting to kill one of the world's most innovative companies to set an example and pressure other AI labs into letting their technology be used for such purposes.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sat, 28 Feb 2026 00:49:12 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47188418</link><dc:creator>nilkn</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47188418</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47188418</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by nilkn in "Nvidia and OpenAI abandon unfinished $100B deal in favour of $30B investment"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>If you'd been DCAing a fixed amount monthly into stocks for 10 years prior to the 2007 peak, then during the crash continued doing so without selling, the total value of your portfolio would've matched its pre-cash peak in just 3 years and exceeded it significantly by the time the market itself recovered in ~5.5 years.<p>3 years is really not a long time. So I'd say it comes down to emotional fortitude and probability of staying employed. If your time horizon is longer than 3 years, the calculation of whether to sell should essentially come down to calculating your odds of keeping your job. I bet it's possible to build a robust mathematical model that recommends a decision given your best personal estimate of your layoff probability during a severe market crash.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sat, 21 Feb 2026 04:24:21 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47097481</link><dc:creator>nilkn</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47097481</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47097481</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by nilkn in "Be wary of Bluesky"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Pangram itself looks like it was just generated by Google AI Studio.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sat, 21 Feb 2026 00:16:43 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47095949</link><dc:creator>nilkn</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47095949</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47095949</guid></item></channel></rss>