It's actually very clever. Despite the apparent simplicity, no current model could pass it.

Re your forecasts, I think they are optimistic in terms of timing but not ridiculously so.

Using carefully written specs, I've found Claude will produce flawless code for quite complex problems. It's magic.

LeCun is right to say that continuous self supervised (hierarchical) learning is the next frontier, and that means we need world models. I'm not sure that JEPA is the right tool to get us past that frontier, but at the moment there are not a lot of alternatives on the table.

It's also a huge barrier to adoption by mainstream businesses, which are used to working to unambiguous business rules. If it's tricky for us developers it's even more frustrating to end users. Very often they end up just saying, f* it, this is too hard.

I also use LLM's to write code and for that they are a huge productivity boon. Just remember to test! But I'm noticing that use of LLM's in mainstream business applications lags the hype quite a bit. They are touted as panaceas, but like any IT technology they are tricky to implement. People always underestimate the effort necessary to get a real return, even with deterministic apps. With indeterministic apps it's an even bigger problem.

Fast forward a few years and the guy flees the US after being charged with securities fraud. Spends the rest of his life living on his millions in a foreign country with no US extradition treaty.

I understand your current systems are holding you back and there may be no appetite to get a bunch of expensive consultants in to answer all these questions. But just hiring a bunch of devs without a plan for what you want them to do is a recipe for disaster.

The cognitive load to fact check everything is too great, so we decide which sources we think are reliable and just accept them. The solution is not to disbelieve everything you are told, but to accept that some of the facts you have not checked might be wrong, and be prepared to re-evaluate when contrary evidence appears.

Some are just special purpose utilities (eg Postman). Some are niche products with a relatively limited set of use cases(eg Airtable), some are enterprise grade platforms which can be used to build huge systems (eg Salesforce, MS Power platform), and there is every type of gradation between these.

This is a multi billion dollar business, growing steadily. It's going to accelerate even faster as LLM Technologies are increasingly tuned to build code extensions.

I had a midlife crisis in my 40's. My career was going nowhere, I was trapped in a job I hated. I felt I was wasting my life.

What kept me going was the sense of obligation I had to others who depend on me. If you have nothing or no one to whom you owe service, then you can change that. Find a partner, or volunteer yourself for charitable work. By helping others, you also help yourself.

I made a point of enjoying the little things in life. Exercise. Walk in the sun. Go fishing. Grow tomatoes. Buy a friend a drink. Whatever, just sneak the little pleasures when you can.

I set some goals. Not boring goals like to make money, goals to achieve something meaningful, that engaged my interests and (modest) abilities.

Things got better. My 50's and 60's were some of the most rewarding years of my life. (I'm 69 now). I achieved some things I'd never thought I could achieve, just by pluggin' away.

Life is hard. John Stuart Mill wrote that most people have a limited capacity for happiness. I think that is true. But the strange thing is that by relieving yourself of the obligation to feel happy, sometimes it happens anyway.