Hacker News: oblio

New comment by oblio in "US and Iran agree to provisional ceasefire"

oblio — Wed, 08 Apr 2026 19:49:38 +0000

Yeah, that "shock and awe" would probably destroy any remaining US alliances.

New comment by oblio in "US and Iran agree to provisional ceasefire"

oblio — Wed, 08 Apr 2026 19:44:53 +0000

It's interesting that these days any treaty that the US hasn't signed is probably a decent one, especially if hundreds of other countries have signed it.

It's usually the US and a bunch of garbage regimes on these lists, I guess there was a message being sent over time.

New comment by oblio in "US and Iran agree to provisional ceasefire"

oblio — Wed, 08 Apr 2026 19:36:49 +0000

Indonesia?

New comment by oblio in "System Card: Claude Mythos Preview [pdf]"

oblio — Tue, 07 Apr 2026 20:46:50 +0000

In corporate circles there is an allergy to use "request" ("ask" is used as a noun) and "lesson" ("learning" has been invented for the same role).

I guess now anything that sounds related to school will be banned so "book" is on its way out.

New comment by oblio in "System Card: Claude Mythos Preview [pdf]"

oblio — Tue, 07 Apr 2026 20:35:32 +0000

Also Chinese smartphones. Huawei was about 12-18 months from becoming the biggest smartphone manufacturer in the world a few years ago. If it would have been allowed to sell its phones freely in the US I'm fairly sure Apple would have been closer to Nokia than to current day Apple.

New comment by oblio in "My Experience as a Rice Farmer"

oblio — Tue, 07 Apr 2026 16:44:50 +0000

Yes, but there weren't that many large grazing animals because most of the world was covered in woods, not pastures. Trees are the most successful large creatures and we've probably reduced their habitat by 50%.

That's the actual tragedy. Forests contain a lot more like per cubic km than pastures do.

New comment by oblio in "My Experience as a Rice Farmer"

oblio — Tue, 07 Apr 2026 15:20:38 +0000

I'm fairly sure there weren't 1.5 billion cows in the world before humans.

New comment by oblio in "My Experience as a Rice Farmer"

oblio — Tue, 07 Apr 2026 13:04:52 +0000

Oooops :-D

New comment by oblio in "My Experience as a Rice Farmer"

oblio — Tue, 07 Apr 2026 12:23:03 +0000

Some of this is being slowly reverted:

https://openknowledge.fao.org/server/api/core/bitstreams/2de...

New comment by oblio in "My Experience as a Rice Farmer"

oblio — Tue, 07 Apr 2026 12:12:28 +0000

If you think Musk doesn't want central planning, you're sorely misunderstanding his point of view.

Musk wants to be a founding father. And just as the OG founding fathers, his problem isn't necessarily with the centralization part in general, but with the centralizing being done by others. There's a reason the original American voters were all white land owning men (and in some cases, slave owning men!).

New comment by oblio in "My Experience as a Rice Farmer"

oblio — Tue, 07 Apr 2026 12:09:47 +0000

We could probably reduced cultivated land by 50% if we would stop wanting to eat mid-sized or large animals (cows and pigs).

New comment by oblio in "My Experience as a Rice Farmer"

oblio — Tue, 07 Apr 2026 12:07:32 +0000

The amount of people that want truly rural environments is infinitesimal.

Everyone wants a huge house with lots of land far from neighbors.

But then they want the state of the art hospital to be close. They want to be able yo reach the closest airport in max 1 hour. They want their kids to play with other kids, ideally without being chauffeured around endlessly, etc, etc.

What I've discovered is that humanity has mastered the ancestral art of "having the cake and eating it, too", also called delusion and/or hypocrisy :-)

New comment by oblio in "The cult of vibe coding is dogfooding run amok"

oblio — Mon, 06 Apr 2026 20:52:22 +0000

Don't worry, the Gemini website does the same, at least on Firefox mobile. You switch apps and you lose the response AND the prompt.

Normally some software devs should be fired for that.

New comment by oblio in "The cult of vibe coding is dogfooding run amok"

oblio — Mon, 06 Apr 2026 20:50:46 +0000

Isn't Anthropic basically a bunch of AI PhDs writing code? I'd imagine they had to be dragged kicking and screaming into actual software engineering.

New comment by oblio in "German men 18-45 need military permit for extended stays abroad"

oblio — Sat, 04 Apr 2026 21:27:38 +0000

Let's turn this into an affirmation, not a negation. What are you affirming?

New comment by oblio in "F-15E jet shot down over Iran"

oblio — Sat, 04 Apr 2026 08:36:26 +0000

There will be no knockout punch here, instead it will be death by exhaustion.

North Vietnam didn't die of exhaustion, nor did Afghanistan (2x), Iraq.

For reference, it's likely Ukraine is making more medium cheap drones per year than Iran, the current boogeyman.

This war will end the same way, probably around 2030.

New comment by oblio in "F-15E jet shot down over Iran"

oblio — Sat, 04 Apr 2026 06:53:01 +0000

In case you haven't been following Ukraine, that's what it's doing. It has multiple cheap long range drones (FP-1, FP-2, etc) plus more expensive ones (FP-5), and it's making them in the millions a year, I think.

They just took out 40% of Russian oil export capacity.

New comment by oblio in "Google releases Gemma 4 open models"

oblio — Fri, 03 Apr 2026 08:59:34 +0000

How do these compare to Open AI OSS?

New comment by oblio in "What Is Copilot Exactly?"

oblio — Wed, 01 Apr 2026 18:19:37 +0000

Nah. DotNet.

New comment by oblio in "I quit. The clankers won"

oblio — Wed, 01 Apr 2026 16:55:34 +0000

Does it even make sense to build everything on top of machines that are 70% reliable? The sheer orchestration and validation overhead at scale risks being more expensive than just keeping most software engineers and having them manage a few AI agents.

Also, 200 years ago we didn't have bike mechanics. Car mechanics. Boat mechanics. Plumbers. Electricians. Not all new professions fade away.